Independiente vs Platense
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
- Feed close
- 1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.80 · +1.1% CLV
- Score
- 0-1
· first seen 19h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
4027
4026 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−214.2u
over 4026u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 763 | 55.4%52%–59% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1513 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1529 | 70.3%68%–73% | −4.7pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 207 | 71.5%65%–77% | −8.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
923
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±86.7u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2028 | 68.6% | −85.5u |
| Match winner | 1999 | 60.4% | −128.7u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 739 | 67.3% | −21.1u |
| Superleague | 341 | 61.3% | −40.4u |
| League 1 | 325 | 67.1% | −11.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 207 | 59.4% | +18.8u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 104 | 65.4% | −5.2u |
| Serie B | 101 | 62.4% | −7.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 79 | 63.3% | −5.8u |
| Championship | 76 | 65.8% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4027 picks with a captured kickoff.
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Football · Division Nationale
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente vs PlatenseFootball · Premier League | first seen 19h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.80 · +1.1% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Quilmes vs AlmagroFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 40m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.48 · −1.3% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Benfica vs Academico ViseuFootball · Premier League | first seen 10m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.10-10001/100.10-10.00+0.10from 1.10 · 0.0% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Gil Vicente vs Rio AveFootball · Premier League | first seen 10m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 1.90 · −7.3% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Minnesota Lynx (w) vs Dallas Wings (w)Basketball · WNBA | first seen 10m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 103-90 | WON |
| Corinthians SP (w) vs Santos SP (w)Football · Women. Series A1 | first seen 45m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.32 · −0.8% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Maringa vs AmazonasFootball · Serie C | first seen 45m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.50 · +8.7% CLV | 0-3 | LOST |
| Bahia vs Vasco da Gama RJFootball · Serie A | first seen 45m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.95 · −2.5% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Zrinjski Mostar vs Celik ZenicaFootball · Premier League | first seen 45m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.25 · 0.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Washington Mystics (w) vs Phoenix Mercury (w)Basketball · WNBA | first seen 45m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 95-75 | WON |
| Palmeiras SP vs Internacional RSFootball · Serie A | first seen 45m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Colon Santa Fe vs Atletico San TelmoFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 15m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.55 · +10.7% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Universitatea Craiova vs Arges PitestiFootball · League 1 | first seen 15m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.62 · +5.9% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Bravo vs Brinje GrosupljeFootball · Superleague | first seen 0m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.78 · −3.8% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA SofiaFootball · League 1 | first seen 0m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.48 · +8.0% CLV | 0-3 | WON |
| Vojvodina Novi Sad vs Radnik SurdulicaFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.40 · +3.7% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Stjarnan vs KeflavikFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 3.55+25551/202.55+2.55-0.39from 3.45 · −2.8% CLV | 1-0 | LOST |
| CA Colegiales vs Patronato ParanaFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92from 1.95 · +1.6% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Vikingur Reykjavik vs IB VestmannaeyjarFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.35 · +3.8% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Macva Sabac vs IMT Novi BeogradFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.90 · −5.0% CLV | 1-0 | LOST |
| Los Andes vs Ferro Carril OesteFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 2.60+1608/51.60+1.60-0.63from 2.55 · −1.9% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Alemannia Aachen vs VerlFootball · Bundesliga 3 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 1.95 · −4.9% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Kristiansund vs MoldeFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.65 · +1.9% CLV | 2-1 | LOST |
| Jeunesse Esch vs Atert BissenFootball · Division Nationale | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.47 · +1.4% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Sheriff Tiraspol vs Dacia BuiucaniFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.17-58817/1000.17-5.88+0.17from 1.25 · +6.8% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
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