Brackley Town vs Hebburn Town
Football · National league. North
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
- Feed close
- 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.70 · +3.0% CLV
- Score
- 1-1
· first seen 55m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
4024
4023 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−212.8u
over 4023u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W7
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 762 | 55.5%52%–59% | −0.4pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1511 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1529 | 70.3%68%–73% | −4.7pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 207 | 71.5%65%–77% | −8.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
920
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±86.6u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2028 | 68.6% | −85.5u |
| Match winner | 1996 | 60.4% | −127.3u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 739 | 67.3% | −21.1u |
| Superleague | 341 | 61.3% | −40.4u |
| League 1 | 325 | 67.1% | −11.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 207 | 59.4% | +18.8u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 104 | 65.4% | −5.2u |
| Serie B | 101 | 62.4% | −7.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 79 | 63.3% | −5.8u |
| Championship | 76 | 65.8% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4024 picks with a captured kickoff.
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| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brackley Town vs Hebburn TownFootball · National league. North | first seen 55m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.70 · +3.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Aldershot Town vs Hartlepool UnitedFootball · National league | first seen 55m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.00 · −7.0% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Mjondalen IF vs Eik TonsbergFootball · Division 2. Group 1 | first seen 54m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.33 · −1.5% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Quick Boys vs RKAV VolendamFootball · Division 2 | first seen 54m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.37 · −2.1% CLV | 5-0 | WON |
| Jiskra Domazlice vs BenesovFootball · League 3 | first seen 54m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.35 · +8.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Zhenys vs ZhetysuFootball · Premier League | first seen 54m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.05 · −10.9% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Mjolby vs SiriusFootball · Premier League | first seen 54m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.00 · −9.1% CLV | 4-3 | LOST |
| Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Hoffenheim 2Football · Bundesliga 3 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.48 · +2.1% CLV | 0-2 | LOST |
| Rot-Weiss Essen vs TSV HavelseFootball · Bundesliga 3 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.28 · +2.4% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Brommapojkarna (w) vs Hacken (w)Football · Women. Major League | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.22-45511/500.22-4.55+0.22from 1.20 · −1.6% CLV | 0-6 | WON |
| Preussen Munster vs Ingolstadt 04Football · Bundesliga 3 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.25 · −8.2% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Guangxi Hengchen vs Meizhou HakkaFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Notodden vs BrattvagFootball · Division 2. Group 1 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.60 · +26.8% CLV | 0-3 | LOST |
| Uppsala (w) vs Malmo (w)Football · Women. Major League | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.05-20001/200.05-20.00+0.05from 1.06 · +1.0% CLV | 0-6 | WON |
| Busan I'Park vs HwaseongFootball · K League 2 | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 2.80+1809/51.80+1.80-0.56from 2.80 · 0.0% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| JEF United vs Machida ZelviaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.87 · +11.3% CLV | 0-4 | WON |
| Yanbian Longding vs Dalian K'un CityFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.20 · +7.3% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Vissel Kobe vs TokyoFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.15 · −4.4% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Eltham Wildcats vs Frankston BluesBasketball · NBL 1. South. Final | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23derived | — | 75-78 | LOST |
| West Torrens Birkalla vs Adelaide United 2Football · South Australia. National Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.06-16673/500.06-16.67+0.06from 1.06 · 0.0% CLV | 3-4 | LOST |
| Kashima Antlers vs Nagoya GrampusFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.78 · −3.8% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Yenisey vs KAMAZFootball · League 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73from 1.75 · +1.2% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Velke Hamry vs SK ZapyFootball · League 3 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.55 · +6.9% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Altona City vs Kingston CityFootball · Victoria. National Premier League 3 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 2.65+16533/201.65+1.65-0.61from 2.45 · −7.5% CLV | 1-4 | LOST |
| APIA Tigers U20 vs Southern Districts Raiders U20Football · U20. New South Wales. National Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.55 · +1.3% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
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