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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3961

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3962

3961 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.5%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−213.8u

over 3961u staked

Yield

−5.4%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W1

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%74155.2%52%–59%52%–59%−0.7pp
60–70%avg claim 66%149562.3%60%–65%60%–65%−4.0pp
70–80%avg claim 75%150870.6%68%–73%68%–73%−4.4pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20370.9%64%–77%64%–77%−9.4pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

858

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3961

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.8u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance200568.5%−85.8u
Match winner195760.4%−127.9u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League73267.2%−21.0u
Superleague33561.2%−40.2u
League 132167.3%−10.1u
MLB↗MLB league page19259.9%+19.1u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210366.0%−4.2u
Serie B9961.6%−8.4u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7862.8%−6.1u
Championship7464.9%−5.2u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5560.0%−6.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3962 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Esteghlal Tehran vs Mes Shahr Babak

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.25 · 0.0% CLV
Score
4-0

2026-08-14 · first seen 1h before

Riga Mariners vs Tukums 2000 2

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.13-76913/1000.13-7.69+0.13from 1.09 · −3.5% CLV
Score
4-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 27m before

Järfälla vs IF Karlstad

Football · Division 2. North

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.67 · +17.6% CLV
Score
1-4

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

SC/ESV Parndorf vs Donau

Football · Regional League. East

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.27 · +1.6% CLV
Score
6-1

2026-08-07 · first seen 3h before

Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Sofia

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.77 · +4.1% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-08-17 · first seen 10m before

Emelec vs Tecnico Universitario

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
Feed close
1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.67 · +2.5% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 2h before

De Treffers vs GVVV Veenendaal

Football · Division 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.38 · −4.8% CLV
Score
5-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Mura vs NK Radomlje

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.92 · −4.0% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-08-10 · first seen 1h before

Botev Vratsa vs Slavia Sofia

Football · League 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.88 · −3.6% CLV
Score
0-3

2026-08-10 · first seen 1h before

Strommen vs Ranheim

Football · Division 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
2.02+10251/501.02+1.02-0.98from 2.18 · +7.9% CLV
Score
1-4

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Botafogo Paraiba vs Santa Cruz Recife

Football · Serie C

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.90 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-08-08 · first seen 44m before

Olympiacos Piraeus vs NEC Nijmegen

Football · Third qualifying round. First leg

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-04 · first seen 3h before

De Graafschap vs Jong AZ Alkmaar

Football · Division 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.67 · −14.4% CLV
Score
2-5

2026-08-17 · first seen 4h before

IR Reykjavik vs Njardvik

Football · Division 1

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.73 · −5.5% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-08-17 · first seen 4h before

Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners

Baseball · MLB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-3

2026-08-16 · first seen 13m before

Always Ready vs Real Potosi

Football · Primera division

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.20 · −11.1% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 8m before

Santiago Wanderers vs Puerto Montt

Football · Serie B

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88from 2.03 · +8.0% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 3h before

BATE Borisov vs Vitebsk

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
2.80+1809/51.80+1.80-0.56from 2.35 · −16.1% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 3h before

Academico Viseu vs Santa Clara

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
2.80+1809/51.80+1.80-0.56from 2.90 · +3.6% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 3h before

Bangor vs Cliftonville

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.80 · 0.0% CLV
Score
0-3

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Hoek vs Koninklijke

Football · Division 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.55 · +1.3% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 24m before

Navbahor vs Bunyodkor Tashkent

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.35 · +12.5% CLV
Score
4-3

2026-08-14 · first seen 1h before

Peninsula Power vs Brisbane City

Football · Queensland. National Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.60 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-08-14 · first seen 6h before

Weston Bears vs Adamstown Rosebud

Football · North New South Wales. National Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV
Score
4-2

2026-08-12 · first seen 1h before

Brindabella Blues vs Tuggeranong United

Football · Capital Territory. National Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.37 · +3.0% CLV
Score
0-6

2026-08-12 · first seen 21m before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Esteghlal Tehran vs Mes Shahr BabakFootball · Premier League2026-08-14first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.25 · 0.0% CLV4-0WON
Riga Mariners vs Tukums 2000 2Football · League 12026-08-09first seen 27m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.13-76913/1000.13-7.69+0.13from 1.09 · −3.5% CLV4-2WON
Järfälla vs IF KarlstadFootball · Division 2. North2026-08-08first seen 30m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.67 · +17.6% CLV1-4WON
SC/ESV Parndorf vs DonauFootball · Regional League. East2026-08-07first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.27 · +1.6% CLV6-1WON
Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv SofiaFootball · League 12026-08-17first seen 10m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.77 · +4.1% CLV3-1WON
Emelec vs Tecnico UniversitarioFootball · Premier League2026-08-16first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.67 · +2.5% CLV2-1WON
De Treffers vs GVVV VeenendaalFootball · Division 22026-08-15first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.38 · −4.8% CLV5-1WON
Mura vs NK RadomljeFootball · Superleague2026-08-10first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.92 · −4.0% CLV1-3LOST
Botev Vratsa vs Slavia SofiaFootball · League 12026-08-10first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.88 · −3.6% CLV0-3LOST
Strommen vs RanheimFootball · Division 12026-08-09first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived2.02+10251/501.02+1.02-0.98from 2.18 · +7.9% CLV1-4LOST
Botafogo Paraiba vs Santa Cruz RecifeFootball · Serie C2026-08-08first seen 44m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.90 · 0.0% CLV2-2LOST
Olympiacos Piraeus vs NEC NijmegenFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg2026-08-04first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived—0-0LOST
De Graafschap vs Jong AZ AlkmaarFootball · Division 12026-08-17first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.67 · −14.4% CLV2-5LOST
IR Reykjavik vs NjardvikFootball · Division 12026-08-17first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.73 · −5.5% CLV3-1LOST
Houston Astros vs Seattle MarinersBaseball · MLB2026-08-16first seen 13m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived—2-3WON
Always Ready vs Real PotosiFootball · Primera division2026-08-16first seen 8m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.20 · −11.1% CLV1-1LOST
Santiago Wanderers vs Puerto MonttFootball · Serie B2026-08-16first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88from 2.03 · +8.0% CLV1-1LOST
BATE Borisov vs VitebskFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived2.80+1809/51.80+1.80-0.56from 2.35 · −16.1% CLV1-0LOST
Academico Viseu vs Santa ClaraFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived2.80+1809/51.80+1.80-0.56from 2.90 · +3.6% CLV0-1LOST
Bangor vs CliftonvilleFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 55m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.80 · 0.0% CLV0-3WON
Hoek vs KoninklijkeFootball · Division 22026-08-15first seen 24m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.55 · +1.3% CLV3-1WON
Navbahor vs Bunyodkor TashkentFootball · Superleague2026-08-14first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.35 · +12.5% CLV4-3WON
Peninsula Power vs Brisbane CityFootball · Queensland. National Premier League2026-08-14first seen 6h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.60 · 0.0% CLV2-2LOST
Weston Bears vs Adamstown RosebudFootball · North New South Wales. National Premier League2026-08-12first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV4-2WON
Brindabella Blues vs Tuggeranong UnitedFootball · Capital Territory. National Premier League2026-08-12first seen 21m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.37 · +3.0% CLV0-6WON

1251–1275 of 1957· 1181 won / 775 lost · −127.9u · −6.5% yield · of 3962 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.