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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3951

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3952

3951 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.5%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−210.9u

over 3951u staked

Yield

−5.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W1

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%73955.3%52%–59%52%–59%−0.6pp
60–70%avg claim 66%149062.3%60%–65%60%–65%−4.0pp
70–80%avg claim 75%150670.6%68%–73%68%–73%−4.4pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20270.8%64%–77%64%–77%−9.6pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

848

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3951

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.7u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance200168.5%−86.1u
Match winner195160.5%−124.8u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League73267.2%−21.0u
Superleague33160.7%−41.9u
League 132167.3%−10.1u
MLB↗MLB league page19259.9%+19.1u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210265.7%−4.6u
Serie B9961.6%−8.4u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7862.8%−6.1u
Championship7464.9%−5.2u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5560.0%−6.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3952 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Cittadella vs Pergolettese

Football · Serie C. Group A

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
Feed close
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.63 · +8.7% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 2h before

Sandnes Ulf vs Bryne

Football · Division 1

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88from 1.95 · +3.7% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 50m before

Naftan Novopolotsk vs Neman Grodno

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.40 · 0.0% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-08-22 · first seen 1h before

KF Ballkani vs Vushtrria

Football · Superliga

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15from 1.15 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 1h before

Bytca vs ViOn Zlate Moravce

Football · League 2

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.40 · +2.2% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 1h before

NAC Breda vs Jong Ajax

Football · Division 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.25 · +1.6% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-08-22 · first seen 1h before

Harborough Town vs Darlington

Football · National league. North

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.85 · +5.7% CLV
Score
4-2

2026-08-22 · first seen 50m before

Sollentuna vs IF Karlstad

Football · Division 2. North

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.77 · +4.1% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 50m before

Preston North End vs Wolverhampton

Football · Championship

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.80 · −10.0% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-08-22 · first seen 50m before

Shrewsbury Town vs Barnet

Football · League 2

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 1.87 · −3.1% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-08-22 · first seen 50m before

Kelantan Red Warrior vs Selangor

Football · Superleague

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.10-10001/100.10-10.00+0.10from 1.05 · −4.5% CLV
Score
1-4

2026-08-22 · first seen 57m before

Terengganu vs Melaka

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 57m before

Korona Kielce vs Motor Lublin

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.93 · +8.4% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 42m before

Tampere United vs RoPS

Football · League 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 2.03 · +5.2% CLV
Score
4-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Boston United vs Altrincham

Football · National league

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.85 · +12.1% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Metz vs Laval

Football · Ligue 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.75 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Beijing Guoan vs Yunnan Yukun

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.47 · −2.0% CLV
Score
3-3

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Chengdu Rongcheng vs Shanghai Shenhua

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
Feed close
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 1.78 · −2.2% CLV
Score
4-5

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Luton Town vs Notts County

Football · League 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.52 · +4.8% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Carlisle United vs Hornchurch

Football · National league

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV
Score
4-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Yeovil Town vs Gateshead

Football · National league

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.93 · −1.0% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Bristol Rovers vs Newport County

Football · League 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.55 · −4.9% CLV
Score
5-3

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Birmingham City vs Bristol City

Football · Championship

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.75 · +2.9% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Harrogate Town vs Barrow

Football · National league

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.95 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Solihull Moors vs Southend United

Football · National league

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.72 · +1.2% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Cittadella vs PergoletteseFootball · Serie C. Group A2026-08-22first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.63 · +8.7% CLV2-0WON
Sandnes Ulf vs BryneFootball · Division 12026-08-22first seen 50m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88from 1.95 · +3.7% CLV0-1WON
Naftan Novopolotsk vs Neman GrodnoFootball · Premier League2026-08-22first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.40 · 0.0% CLV0-2WON
KF Ballkani vs VushtrriaFootball · Superliga2026-08-22first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15from 1.15 · 0.0% CLV2-1WON
Bytca vs ViOn Zlate MoravceFootball · League 22026-08-22first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.40 · +2.2% CLV2-1LOST
NAC Breda vs Jong AjaxFootball · Division 12026-08-22first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.25 · +1.6% CLV3-2WON
Harborough Town vs DarlingtonFootball · National league. North2026-08-22first seen 50m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.85 · +5.7% CLV4-2WON
Sollentuna vs IF KarlstadFootball · Division 2. North2026-08-22first seen 50m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.77 · +4.1% CLV2-1LOST
Preston North End vs WolverhamptonFootball · Championship2026-08-22first seen 50m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.80 · −10.0% CLV1-3WON
Shrewsbury Town vs BarnetFootball · League 22026-08-22first seen 50m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 1.87 · −3.1% CLV1-3WON
Kelantan Red Warrior vs SelangorFootball · Superleague2026-08-22first seen 57m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.10-10001/100.10-10.00+0.10from 1.05 · −4.5% CLV1-4WON
Terengganu vs MelakaFootball · Superleague2026-08-22first seen 57m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV3-0WON
Korona Kielce vs Motor LublinFootball · Superleague2026-08-22first seen 42m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.93 · +8.4% CLV1-1LOST
Tampere United vs RoPSFootball · League 22026-08-22first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 2.03 · +5.2% CLV4-0WON
Boston United vs AltrinchamFootball · National league2026-08-22first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.85 · +12.1% CLV1-0WON
Metz vs LavalFootball · Ligue 22026-08-22first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.75 · 0.0% CLV1-1LOST
Beijing Guoan vs Yunnan YukunFootball · Superleague2026-08-22first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.47 · −2.0% CLV3-3LOST
Chengdu Rongcheng vs Shanghai ShenhuaFootball · Superleague2026-08-22first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 1.78 · −2.2% CLV4-5LOST
Luton Town vs Notts CountyFootball · League 12026-08-22first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.52 · +4.8% CLV2-2LOST
Carlisle United vs HornchurchFootball · National league2026-08-22first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV4-1WON
Yeovil Town vs GatesheadFootball · National league2026-08-22first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.93 · −1.0% CLV3-0WON
Bristol Rovers vs Newport CountyFootball · League 22026-08-22first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.55 · −4.9% CLV5-3WON
Birmingham City vs Bristol CityFootball · Championship2026-08-22first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.75 · +2.9% CLV2-2LOST
Harrogate Town vs BarrowFootball · National league2026-08-22first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.95 · 0.0% CLV2-2LOST
Solihull Moors vs Southend UnitedFootball · National league2026-08-22first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.72 · +1.2% CLV1-3WON

1051–1075 of 1951· 1179 won / 771 lost · −124.8u · −6.4% yield · of 3952 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.