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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3951

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3952

3951 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.5%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−210.9u

over 3951u staked

Yield

−5.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W1

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%73955.3%52%–59%52%–59%−0.6pp
60–70%avg claim 66%149062.3%60%–65%60%–65%−4.0pp
70–80%avg claim 75%150670.6%68%–73%68%–73%−4.4pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20270.8%64%–77%64%–77%−9.6pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

848

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3951

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.7u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance200168.5%−86.1u
Match winner195160.5%−124.8u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League73267.2%−21.0u
Superleague33160.7%−41.9u
League 132167.3%−10.1u
MLB↗MLB league page19259.9%+19.1u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210265.7%−4.6u
Serie B9961.6%−8.4u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7862.8%−6.1u
Championship7464.9%−5.2u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5560.0%−6.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3952 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Washington Nationals vs Colorado Rockies

Baseball · MLB

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-3

2026-08-25 · first seen 3h before

Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays

Baseball · MLB

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-1

2026-08-25 · first seen 3h before

Miami Marlins vs Boston Red Sox

Baseball · MLB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-7

2026-08-25 · first seen 3h before

Afturelding vs Grotta

Football · Division 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15from 1.30 · +13.0% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-25 · first seen 10m before

Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Gas Al Shimal

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.45 · +3.6% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-25 · first seen 33m before

Arsenal Sarandi vs Ituzaingo

Football · Primera B Metropolitana

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.35 · +2.3% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-25 · first seen 4h before

Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Nassr Riyadh

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.25 · +4.2% CLV
Score
2-3

2026-08-25 · first seen 4h before

Sportivo Italiano vs Defensores Unidos

Football · Primera B Metropolitana

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.65 · +6.5% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-08-25 · first seen 4h before

Al Zawraa vs Naft Maysan

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.68 · +5.0% CLV
Score
4-0

2026-08-25 · first seen 4h before

Al Fahaheel vs Al Qadsia Kuwait

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-25 · first seen 4h before

Orlando Pirates vs Sekhukhune United

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-25 · first seen 4h before

Zakho vs Diyala

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.82 · +4.0% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-08-25 · first seen 2h before

Angers vs Lille

Football · Ligue 1. Season 26/27

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.72 · −3.4% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-08-23 · first seen 49m before

SSG Landers vs KT Wiz Suwon

Baseball · KBO

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-3

2026-08-23 · first seen 2h before

NC Dinos vs Samsung Lions

Baseball · KBO

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-23 · first seen 2h before

Fubon Guardians vs Wei Chuan Dragons

Baseball · CPBL

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-3

2026-08-23 · first seen 1h before

San Diego Padres vs Minnesota Twins

Baseball · MLB

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
—
Score
8-1

2026-08-23 · first seen 28m before

Magallanes vs Deportes Santa Cruz

Football · Serie B

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.80 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 3m before

Dinamo Zagreb vs Varazdin

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.42 · −8.4% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 3m before

Mlada Boleslav vs Slovacko

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.80 · −1.6% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 1h before

KAMAZ vs Sochi

Football · League 1. Season 26/27

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
2.17+117117/1001.17+1.17-0.85from 1.88 · −13.4% CLV
Score
2-3

2026-08-24 · first seen 1h before

Botev Vratsa vs Botev Plovdiv

Football · League 1

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 2.05 · +7.9% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-24 · first seen 2h before

Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu Linnameeskond

Football · League 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.67 · +3.1% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-08-24 · first seen 2h before

Charleston Battery vs Miami

Football · USL

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.43 · +2.1% CLV
Score
5-0

2026-08-24 · first seen 28h before

Jong Utrecht vs Heracles Almelo

Football · Division 1

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.52 · +7.0% CLV
Score
1-6

2026-08-24 · first seen 4h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Washington Nationals vs Colorado RockiesBaseball · MLB2026-08-25first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived—1-3LOST
Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay RaysBaseball · MLB2026-08-25first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived—4-1LOST
Miami Marlins vs Boston Red SoxBaseball · MLB2026-08-25first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived—3-7WON
Afturelding vs GrottaFootball · Division 12026-08-25first seen 10m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15from 1.30 · +13.0% CLV2-0WON
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Gas Al ShimalFootball · Superleague2026-08-25first seen 33m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.45 · +3.6% CLV1-1LOST
Arsenal Sarandi vs ItuzaingoFootball · Primera B Metropolitana2026-08-25first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.35 · +2.3% CLV2-0WON
Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Nassr RiyadhFootball · Premier League2026-08-25first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.25 · +4.2% CLV2-3WON
Sportivo Italiano vs Defensores UnidosFootball · Primera B Metropolitana2026-08-25first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.65 · +6.5% CLV0-2LOST
Al Zawraa vs Naft MaysanFootball · Superleague2026-08-25first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.68 · +5.0% CLV4-0WON
Al Fahaheel vs Al Qadsia KuwaitFootball · Premier League2026-08-25first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV1-2WON
Orlando Pirates vs Sekhukhune UnitedFootball · Premier League2026-08-25first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV2-0WON
Zakho vs DiyalaFootball · Superleague2026-08-25first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.82 · +4.0% CLV2-2LOST
Angers vs LilleFootball · Ligue 1. Season 26/272026-08-23first seen 49m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.72 · −3.4% CLV0-2WON
SSG Landers vs KT Wiz SuwonBaseball · KBO2026-08-23first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived—1-3WON
NC Dinos vs Samsung LionsBaseball · KBO2026-08-23first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived—1-2WON
Fubon Guardians vs Wei Chuan DragonsBaseball · CPBL2026-08-23first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived—2-3LOST
San Diego Padres vs Minnesota TwinsBaseball · MLB2026-08-23first seen 28m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived—8-1WON
Magallanes vs Deportes Santa CruzFootball · Serie B2026-08-22first seen 3m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.80 · 0.0% CLV1-0WON
Dinamo Zagreb vs VarazdinFootball · Premier League2026-08-22first seen 3m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.42 · −8.4% CLV3-1WON
Mlada Boleslav vs SlovackoFootball · Superleague2026-08-22first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.80 · −1.6% CLV2-1WON
KAMAZ vs SochiFootball · League 1. Season 26/272026-08-24first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived2.17+117117/1001.17+1.17-0.85from 1.88 · −13.4% CLV2-3WON
Botev Vratsa vs Botev PlovdivFootball · League 12026-08-24first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 2.05 · +7.9% CLV1-0LOST
Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu LinnameeskondFootball · League 22026-08-24first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.67 · +3.1% CLV1-3LOST
Charleston Battery vs MiamiFootball · USL2026-08-24first seen 28h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.43 · +2.1% CLV5-0WON
Jong Utrecht vs Heracles AlmeloFootball · Division 12026-08-24first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.52 · +7.0% CLV1-6WON

826–850 of 1951· 1179 won / 771 lost · −124.8u · −6.4% yield · of 3952 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.