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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3944

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3945

3944 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.5%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−213.0u

over 3944u staked

Yield

−5.4%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

L3

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%73355.1%51%–59%51%–59%−0.8pp
60–70%avg claim 66%148962.3%60%–65%60%–65%−3.9pp
70–80%avg claim 75%150670.6%68%–73%68%–73%−4.4pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20270.8%64%–77%64%–77%−9.6pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

841

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3944

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.6u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance200068.5%−85.1u
Match winner194560.4%−127.9u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League73267.2%−21.0u
Superleague33160.7%−41.9u
League 132167.3%−10.1u
MLB↗MLB league page18959.8%+18.2u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210265.7%−4.6u
Serie B9661.5%−8.8u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7862.8%−6.1u
Championship7464.9%−5.2u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5560.0%−6.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3945 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz vs Prostejov

Football · League 2

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
3.30+23023/102.30+2.30-0.43from 3.20 · −3.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-29 · first seen 3h before

Strasbourg vs Lens

Football · Ligue 1. Season 26/27

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 2.05 · +10.8% CLV
Score
2:1

2026-08-29 · first seen 3h before

Pardubice vs Artis Brno

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.43 · −21.9% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-29 · first seen 2h before

Arouca vs Maritimo

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93from 2.10 · +1.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-29 · first seen 2h before

Krasnodar vs Rostov

Football · Premier League. Season 26/27

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.62 · −3.6% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-29 · first seen 2h before

De Graafschap vs Almere City

Football · Division 1

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.50 · +2.0% CLV
Score
1-4

2026-08-29 · first seen 2h before

Slough Town vs Folkestone Invicta

Football · National League. South

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73from 1.85 · +6.9% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-08-29 · first seen 1h before

Afturelding vs IF Vestri

Football · Division 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.12-8333/250.12-8.33+0.12from 1.25 · +11.6% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-29 · first seen 1h before

Walsall vs Accrington Stanley

Football · League 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
2.02+10251/501.02+1.02-0.98from 1.80 · −10.9% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-08-29 · first seen 1h before

Sheffield Wednesday vs Bromley

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.73 · +1.8% CLV
Score
7-2

2026-08-29 · first seen 1h before

Grindavik vs HK Kopavogur

Football · Division 1

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.12 · −9.8% CLV
Score
4-3

2026-08-29 · first seen 1h before

Chelmsford City vs Maidenhead United

Football · National League. South

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 2.00 · +2.6% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-29 · first seen 1h before

Shrewsbury Town vs Salford City

Football · League 2

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.90 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-29 · first seen 1h before

York City vs Exeter City

Football · League 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.60 · +1.9% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-29 · first seen 1h before

Leyton Orient vs Barnsley

Football · League 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.10 · +5.0% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-08-29 · first seen 1h before

Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen

Football · Bundesliga. Season 26/27

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close
1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.60 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-08-29 · first seen 1h before

Quick Boys vs Kloetinge

Football · Division 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.37 · +7.9% CLV
Score
4-0

2026-08-29 · first seen 59m before

Elfsborg vs Degerfors

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-29 · first seen 59m before

San Giovanni vs Tre Penne

Football · Championship

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.22 · −2.4% CLV
Score
2-3

2026-08-29 · first seen 59m before

Dinamo Minsk vs Baranovichi

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.30 · −1.5% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-08-29 · first seen 59m before

Hacken vs Vasteras

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.47 · +5.0% CLV
Score
1:3

2026-08-29 · first seen 59m before

Deportivo Santani vs Atletico Tembetary

Football · Division 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.53 · +9.3% CLV
Score
3-4

2026-08-29 · first seen 59m before

Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
Feed close
2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.30 · 0.0% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-08-29 · first seen 44m before

Nomme United vs Harju Laagri

Football · Superleague

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57from 2.55 · −7.3% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-29 · first seen 4h before

Blackpool vs Peterborough United

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 1.70 · −17.1% CLV
Score
4-0

2026-08-29 · first seen 4h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz vs ProstejovFootball · League 22026-08-29first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived3.30+23023/102.30+2.30-0.43from 3.20 · −3.0% CLV2-1LOST
Strasbourg vs LensFootball · Ligue 1. Season 26/272026-08-29first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 2.05 · +10.8% CLV2:1LOST
Pardubice vs Artis BrnoFootball · Superleague2026-08-29first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.43 · −21.9% CLV1-2LOST
Arouca vs MaritimoFootball · Premier League2026-08-29first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93from 2.10 · +1.0% CLV2-1WON
Krasnodar vs RostovFootball · Premier League. Season 26/272026-08-29first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.62 · −3.6% CLV1-0WON
De Graafschap vs Almere CityFootball · Division 12026-08-29first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.50 · +2.0% CLV1-4WON
Slough Town vs Folkestone InvictaFootball · National League. South2026-08-29first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73from 1.85 · +6.9% CLV0-2WON
Afturelding vs IF VestriFootball · Division 12026-08-29first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.12-8333/250.12-8.33+0.12from 1.25 · +11.6% CLV2-0WON
Walsall vs Accrington StanleyFootball · League 22026-08-29first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived2.02+10251/501.02+1.02-0.98from 1.80 · −10.9% CLV3-2WON
Sheffield Wednesday vs BromleyFootball · League 12026-08-29first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.73 · +1.8% CLV7-2WON
Grindavik vs HK KopavogurFootball · Division 12026-08-29first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.12 · −9.8% CLV4-3LOST
Chelmsford City vs Maidenhead UnitedFootball · National League. South2026-08-29first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 2.00 · +2.6% CLV1-0WON
Shrewsbury Town vs Salford CityFootball · League 22026-08-29first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.90 · 0.0% CLV1-0LOST
York City vs Exeter CityFootball · League 22026-08-29first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.60 · +1.9% CLV2-1WON
Leyton Orient vs BarnsleyFootball · League 12026-08-29first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.10 · +5.0% CLV1-3LOST
Elversberg vs Bayer LeverkusenFootball · Bundesliga. Season 26/272026-08-29first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.60 · 0.0% CLV3-2LOST
Quick Boys vs KloetingeFootball · Division 22026-08-29first seen 59m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.37 · +7.9% CLV4-0WON
Elfsborg vs DegerforsFootball · Premier League2026-08-29first seen 59m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV2-0WON
San Giovanni vs Tre PenneFootball · Championship2026-08-29first seen 59m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.22 · −2.4% CLV2-3WON
Dinamo Minsk vs BaranovichiFootball · Premier League2026-08-29first seen 59m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.30 · −1.5% CLV0-1LOST
Hacken vs VasterasFootball · Premier League2026-08-29first seen 59m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.47 · +5.0% CLV1:3LOST
Deportivo Santani vs Atletico TembetaryFootball · Division 22026-08-29first seen 59m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.53 · +9.3% CLV3-4LOST
Motor Lublin vs Piast GliwiceFootball · Superleague2026-08-29first seen 44m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.30 · 0.0% CLV0-2LOST
Nomme United vs Harju LaagriFootball · Superleague2026-08-29first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57from 2.55 · −7.3% CLV1-2WON
Blackpool vs Peterborough UnitedFootball · League 12026-08-29first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 1.70 · −17.1% CLV4-0WON

651–675 of 1945· 1174 won / 770 lost · −127.9u · −6.6% yield · of 3945 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.