Barcelona Guayaquil vs Independiente del Valle
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
- Feed close
- 1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 1.87 · 0.0% CLV
- Score
- 1-2
· first seen 1m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3917
3916 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−209.2u
over 3916u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W2
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 728 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1480 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1494 | 70.5%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
813
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1986 | 68.5% | −84.8u |
| Match winner | 1931 | 60.5% | −124.5u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 729 | 67.2% | −20.6u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3917 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1m before
Football · USL. League 1
HomeMatch Winner
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Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
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Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
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Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
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Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
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Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
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Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
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Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
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Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
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Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
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Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
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Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 37m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
Handball · Bundesliga
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Football · Regional League. West
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 46m before
Football · Regional League. West
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 46m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona Guayaquil vs Independiente del ValleFootball · Premier League | first seen 1m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 1.87 · 0.0% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Forward Madison vs One KnoxvilleFootball · USL. League 1 | first seen 1m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.95 · 0.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee BrewersBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | — | 5-9 | LOST |
| Kansas City Royals vs Miami MarlinsBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 6-9 | WON |
| Minnesota Twins vs Detroit TigersBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | — | 6-11 | LOST |
| Cleveland Guardians vs Toronto Blue JaysBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 0-11 | LOST |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Francisco GiantsBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 4-5 | LOST |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs New York MetsBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | — | 6:2 | WON |
| Boston Red Sox vs Seattle MarinersBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 2-4 | LOST |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia PhilliesBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | — | 1:2 | WON |
| Celtic vs AberdeenFootball · Premier League | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.25 · 0.0% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Colorado Rockies vs Baltimore OriolesBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 1:2 | WON |
| Macara vs MantaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.47 · +5.0% CLV | 4-3 | WON |
| Falkirk vs RangersFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.57 · +4.7% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Floriana vs Gzira UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.45 · −9.4% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Wigan Athletic vs Milton Keynes DonsFootball · League 1 | first seen 47m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 2.65+16533/201.65+1.65-0.61from 2.80 · +5.7% CLV | 3-1 | LOST |
| Dundee vs St JohnstoneFootball · Premier League | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.65+16533/201.65+1.65-0.61from 2.55 · −3.8% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Texas Rangers vs AthleticsBaseball · MLB | first seen 37m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | — | 8:1 | WON |
| Thun vs Lausanne SportsFootball · Superleague | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 2.00 · +2.6% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Borac Banja Luka vs Zeljeznicar SarajevoFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.37 · +5.4% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Grasshoppers Zurich vs Sankt GallenFootball · Superleague | first seen 32m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.70 · +8.3% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Rhein-Neckar Lowen vs VFL GummersbachHandball · Bundesliga | first seen 2m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.18 · +1.4% CLV | 26-31 | WON |
| Bohemians Prague vs JablonecFootball · Superleague | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.55 · +6.3% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Sportfreunde Lotte vs Bergisch Gladbach 09Football · Regional League. West | first seen 46m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.65 · 0.0% CLV | 0-2 | LOST |
| Wiedenbruck vs Borussia Monchengladbach 2Football · Regional League. West | first seen 46m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.80 · +2.9% CLV | 1-4 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.