Piast Gliwice vs GKS Katowice
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
- Feed close
- 2.80+1809/51.80+1.80-0.56from 2.65 · −5.4% CLV
- Score
- 3-0
· first seen 31m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3913
3912 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−208.9u
over 3912u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 724 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1480 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1494 | 70.5%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
809
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1986 | 68.5% | −84.8u |
| Match winner | 1927 | 60.5% | −124.1u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 729 | 67.2% | −20.6u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3913 picks with a captured kickoff.
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HomeMatch Winner
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| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piast Gliwice vs GKS KatowiceFootball · Superleague | first seen 31m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 2.80+1809/51.80+1.80-0.56from 2.65 · −5.4% CLV | 3-0 | LOST |
| Arda Kardzhali vs Botev PlovdivFootball · League 1 | first seen 16m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.10 · +2.4% CLV | 2-3 | LOST |
| Nafta Lendava vs NK RadomljeFootball · Superleague | first seen 16m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.15 · +4.9% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Etoile-Carouge vs Wil 1900Football · Challenge League | first seen 16m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.68 · +0.6% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Czech Rep (w) vs Italy (w)Basketball · Women. Germany. Group stage | first seen 16m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.11-90911/1000.11-9.09+0.11derived | — | 54-63 | WON |
| Winterthur vs Neuchatel XamaxFootball · Challenge League | first seen 16m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.95 · +2.6% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Independiente Juniors vs Cuenca EcuadorFootball · Division 2. Championship Group | first seen 16m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.75 · −2.8% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Petrovac vs Sutjeska NiksicFootball · League 1 | first seen 1m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57from 2.55 · −7.3% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Dender vs SeraingFootball · Division 2 | first seen 1m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.55 · +5.4% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit TigersBaseball · MLB | first seen 11m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 7-6 | WON |
| Vitesse vs OssFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.55 · +2.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Varazdin vs Istra 1961Football · Premier League | first seen 1m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.80 · 0.0% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-RiyadhFootball · Premier League | first seen 1m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 8.50 · +608.3% CLV | 0:0 | LOST |
| Montpellier Handball vs Chartres Metropole HandballHandball · Star League | first seen 1m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19derived | 1.08-12502/250.08-12.50+0.08from 1.06 · −1.9% CLV | 41-22 | WON |
| Almere City vs Jong AjaxFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.40 · −6.7% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Al-Shabab Riyadh vs Al-Hilal SFCFootball · Premier League | first seen 1m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.28 · −1.5% CLV | 2:0 | LOST |
| Chambery Savoie Mt-Blanc Handball vs PSG HandballHandball · Star League | first seen 1m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18derived | 1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.22 · −0.8% CLV | 29-32 | WON |
| Heracles Almelo vs De GraafschapFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.38 · −2.8% CLV | 5-0 | WON |
| Emmen vs FC VolendamFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.55 · +8.5% CLV | 5-3 | LOST |
| Geneve Servette vs Eisbaren BerlinIce Hockey · Champions League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.60 · 0.0% CLV | 6-2 | WON |
| Davos vs StorhamarIce Hockey · Champions League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.35 · +3.8% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Richards Bay vs AmaZuluFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 3.10 · +34.8% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Adler Mannheim vs Vaxjo LakersIce Hockey · Champions League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 2.56+15639/251.56+1.56-0.64derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.40 · +4.3% CLV | 3-1 | LOST |
| Shkendija vs Tikvesh 1930Football · Division 1 | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.32 · +3.9% CLV | 1-3 | LOST |
| Al Wasl Dubai vs Khor FakkanFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.30 · +5.7% CLV | 5-2 | WON |
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