CRB vs America Mineiro
Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
- Feed close
- 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.45 · −2.0% CLV
- Score
- 3-1
· first seen 32m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3913
3912 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−208.9u
over 3912u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 724 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1480 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1494 | 70.5%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
809
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1986 | 68.5% | −84.8u |
| Match winner | 1927 | 60.5% | −124.1u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 729 | 67.2% | −20.6u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3913 picks with a captured kickoff.
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| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CRB vs America MineiroFootball · Serie B | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.45 · −2.0% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue JaysBaseball · MLB | first seen 12m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | — | 2-9 | WON |
| Houston Astros vs Arizona DiamondbacksBaseball · MLB | first seen 12m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Texas Rangers vs Tampa Bay RaysBaseball · MLB | first seen 7m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 6-7 | LOST |
| Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red SoxBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit TigersBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 7-6 | WON |
| Alianza Atletico vs UTC CajamarcaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.60 · +10.3% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Sandefjord vs VikingFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.65 · −8.3% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Shamrock Rovers vs ShelbourneFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.75 · +8.0% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Fiorentino vs VirtusFootball · Championship | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.25 · −3.8% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Tre Penne vs SS CosmosFootball · Championship | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.25 · −17.8% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| SP Domagnano vs San GiovanniFootball · Championship | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.52 · −1.9% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Porto vs MoreirenseFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.11-90911/1000.11-9.09+0.11from 1.20 · +8.1% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Faetano vs Tre FioriFootball · Championship | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.08-12502/250.08-12.50+0.08from 1.07 · −0.9% CLV | 0-4 | WON |
| Real Oruro vs San Antonio Bulo BuloFootball · Primera division | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.60 · −3.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Ipswich Town vs LiverpoolFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.50 · −5.1% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Finn Harps vs Athlone TownFootball · Division 1 | first seen 46m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.72 · +11.0% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Larne vs GlentoranFootball · Premier League | first seen 46m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.35 · +4.4% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Lommel United vs BruggeFootball · Premier League | first seen 46m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.27 · 0.0% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Genoa vs ComoFootball · Serie A. Season 26/27 | first seen 46m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.80 · +9.1% CLV | 1:4 | WON |
| Connahs Quay vs HaverfordwestFootball · Premier League | first seen 46m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.37 · +7.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Cardiff Metropolitan vs Cambrian UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 46m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.88 · +9.3% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Helmond Sport vs VVV-VenloFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.45 · +19.5% CLV | 4-2 | LOST |
| Livingston vs StenhousemuirFootball · Championship | first seen 31m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.40 · 0.0% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Stuttgart vs KölnFootball · Bundesliga. Season 26/27 | first seen 31m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.50 · +3.4% CLV | 4:1 | WON |
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