NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-3
· first seen 2h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3913
3912 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−208.9u
over 3912u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 724 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1480 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1494 | 70.5%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
809
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1986 | 68.5% | −84.8u |
| Match winner | 1927 | 60.5% | −124.1u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 729 | 67.2% | −20.6u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3913 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · National league. North
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Segunda Division
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Division 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Championship
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League. Season 26/27
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League. Season 26/27
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Bundesliga. Season 26/27
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Bundesliga. Season 26/27
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie A. Season 26/27
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 2. Group 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Ligue 3
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 47m before
Football · Ligue 3
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 47m before
Football · Ligue 3
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 47m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen vs FeyenoordFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Brackley Town vs Harborough TownFootball · National league. North | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico MadridFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/27 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 3-0 | LOST |
| Sporting Gijon vs GironaFootball · Segunda Division | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 0:2 | WON |
| Barnsley vs StevenageFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-5 | LOST |
| Burton Albion vs Cambridge UnitedFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.70 · +12.5% CLV | 3:2 | WON |
| IR Reykjavik vs Leiknir ReykjavikFootball · Division 1 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1:1 | WON |
| Portsmouth vs Cardiff CityFootball · Championship | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 2:1 | LOST |
| QPR vs MiddlesbroughFootball · Championship | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 0:1 | WON |
| Nottingham Forest vs TottenhamFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| West Bromwich vs WatfordFootball · Championship | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 1:1 | WON |
| Fulham vs Crystal PalaceFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 2-3 | LOST |
| Stal Mielec vs Odra OpoleFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Paderborn vs FreiburgFootball · Bundesliga. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Borussia Monchengladbach vs ElversbergFootball · Bundesliga. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 3-4 | WON |
| Chippa United vs MilfordFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Sudtirol vs CatanzaroFootball · Serie B | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Fiorentina vs TorinoFootball · Serie A. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Degerfors vs HalmstadsFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 2:0 | WON |
| Kloetinge vs IJsselmeervogelsFootball · Division 2 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| CAPS United vs DynamosFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Mjondalen IF vs JervFootball · Division 2. Group 1 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0-3 | LOST |
| Concarneau vs ThionvilleFootball · Ligue 3 | first seen 47m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Bastia vs AmiensFootball · Ligue 3 | first seen 47m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0-3 | LOST |
| Versailles vs CannesFootball · Ligue 3 | first seen 47m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 0-3 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.