Lugano vs Zurich
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 5-0
· first seen 4h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
4027
4026 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−214.2u
over 4026u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 763 | 55.4%52%–59% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1513 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1529 | 70.3%68%–73% | −4.7pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 207 | 71.5%65%–77% | −8.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
923
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±86.7u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2028 | 68.6% | −85.5u |
| Match winner | 1999 | 60.4% | −128.7u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 739 | 67.3% | −21.1u |
| Superleague | 341 | 61.3% | −40.4u |
| League 1 | 325 | 67.1% | −11.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 207 | 59.4% | +18.8u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 104 | 65.4% | −5.2u |
| Serie B | 101 | 62.4% | −7.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 79 | 63.3% | −5.8u |
| Championship | 76 | 65.8% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4027 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · 1st Division
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · 1st Division
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Division 2. Group 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Division 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 51m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 51m before
Football · League 3
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 36m before
Football · League 3
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 36m before
Football · USL. League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 15m before
Football · Premier Division
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · USL
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie A
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · USL
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 45m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 45m before
Football · USL
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 15m before
Football · MLS Next Pro
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lugano vs ZurichFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 5-0 | WON |
| Shandong Taishan vs Tianjin Jinmen TigerFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Aalborg vs Kolding IFFootball · 1st Division | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shanghai PortFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 2-3 | WON |
| Guangdong GZ-Power vs Guangxi HengchenFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-0 | LOST |
| Henan Songshan Longmen vs Qingdao West CoastFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Hvidovre vs EsbjergFootball · 1st Division | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Rana vs SkeidFootball · Division 2. Group 2 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| V-Varen Nagasaki vs Kyoto SangaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Zorya vs KryvbasFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.70 · +1.2% CLV | 1-3 | LOST |
| Farense vs TorreenseFootball · Division 2 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Yanbian Longding vs Shenzhen JuniorsFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Tokyo Verdy vs Kawasaki FrontaleFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Slovan 2 Bratislava vs SamorinFootball · League 2 | first seen 51m before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Amstetten vs Admira Wacker ModlingFootball · League 1 | first seen 51m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Hradec Kralove 2 vs Pardubice 2Football · League 3 | first seen 36m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Karvina 2 vs SC Uhersky BrodFootball · League 3 | first seen 36m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| AV Alta vs Fort WayneFootball · USL. League 1 | first seen 15m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Puntarenas vs Deportivo SaprissaFootball · Premier Division | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Orange County vs Tampa Bay RowdiesFootball · USL | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-3 | LOST |
| Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo CaliFootball · Serie A | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| El Paso Locomotive vs Oakland RootsFootball · USL | first seen 45m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Sport Boys vs Alianza LimaFootball · Premier League | first seen 45m before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Tulsa vs Detroit CityFootball · USL | first seen 15m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Minnesota United 2 vs TownFootball · MLS Next Pro | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.