Alianza FC Valledupar vs Atletico Bucaramanga
Football · Serie A
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 2-3
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
4024
4023 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−212.8u
over 4023u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W7
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 762 | 55.5%52%–59% | −0.4pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1511 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1529 | 70.3%68%–73% | −4.7pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 207 | 71.5%65%–77% | −8.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
920
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±86.6u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2028 | 68.6% | −85.5u |
| Match winner | 1996 | 60.4% | −127.3u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 739 | 67.3% | −21.1u |
| Superleague | 341 | 61.3% | −40.4u |
| League 1 | 325 | 67.1% | −11.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 207 | 59.4% | +18.8u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 104 | 65.4% | −5.2u |
| Serie B | 101 | 62.4% | −7.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 79 | 63.3% | −5.8u |
| Championship | 76 | 65.8% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4024 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Serie A
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · USL
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie B
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier Division
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Primera Nacional
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Primera Division. Group stage
X2Double Chance
· first seen 40m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 19h before
Football · Women. NWSL
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 40m before
Football · Primera Nacional
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 10m before
Football · Primera Division. Group stage
X2Double Chance
· first seen 10m before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 45m before
Football · Serie C
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 45m before
Football · Serie B
X2Double Chance
· first seen 45m before
Football · Primera Nacional
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 45m before
Football · Serie A
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 45m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 45m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 15m before
Football · Clubs
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 23h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 15m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 0m before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 0m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alianza FC Valledupar vs Atletico BucaramangaFootball · Serie A | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2-3 | WON |
| Indy Eleven vs Hartford AthleticFootball · USL | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Cuiaba vs FortalezaFootball · Serie B | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Inter San Carlos vs AD San CarlosFootball · Premier Division | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Delfin vs OrenseFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| San Martin Tucuman vs San Martin San JuanFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Defensa y Justicia vs Newell's Old BoysFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Gimnasia La Plata vs Barracas CentralFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Comerciantes vs Bentín Tacna HeroicaFootball · Division 2 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Zamora Barinas vs Academia Puerto CabelloFootball · Primera Division. Group stage | first seen 40m before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Instituto Cordoba vs Gimnasia y Esgrima MendozaFootball · Premier League | first seen 19h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Boston Legacy (w) vs Portland Thorns (w)Football · Women. NWSL | first seen 40m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 3-4 | LOST |
| Godoy Cruz vs Chaco For EverFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 10m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Academia Anzoategui vs PortuguesaFootball · Primera Division. Group stage | first seen 10m before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 3-4 | WON |
| Novorizontino vs Juventude RSFootball · Serie B | first seen 45m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Ypiranga Erechim vs FlorestaFootball · Serie C | first seen 45m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 4-1 | WON |
| Nautico Capibaribe vs Atletico GoianienseFootball · Serie B | first seen 45m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Racing Cordoba vs Atletico San MiguelFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 45m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| O'Higgins vs Deportes LimacheFootball · Serie A | first seen 45m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-3 | LOST |
| Sportivo San Lorenzo vs Sportivo LuquenoFootball · Premier League | first seen 45m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Vanspor vs KayserisporFootball · League 1 | first seen 15m before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Mantova vs CarpiFootball · Clubs | first seen 23h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Bodrumspor vs BursasporFootball · League 1 | first seen 15m before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.70 · −1.2% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| KA Akureyri vs HafnarfjordurFootball · Premier League | first seen 0m before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Widzew LodzFootball · Superleague | first seen 0m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.