Alloa Athletic vs Montrose
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 3-0
· first seen 55m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
4018
4017 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−214.6u
over 4017u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 760 | 55.4%52%–59% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1508 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1528 | 70.3%68%–73% | −4.7pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 207 | 71.5%65%–77% | −8.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
914
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±86.5u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2027 | 68.6% | −85.9u |
| Match winner | 1991 | 60.4% | −128.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 739 | 67.3% | −21.1u |
| Superleague | 341 | 61.3% | −40.4u |
| League 1 | 325 | 67.1% | −11.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 206 | 59.2% | +18.1u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 104 | 65.4% | −5.2u |
| Serie B | 101 | 62.4% | −7.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 79 | 63.3% | −5.8u |
| Championship | 76 | 65.8% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4018 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · National League. South
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · Division 2. South
X2Double Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · National League. South
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · National league. North
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · National league
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · National league
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · League 3. Group A
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · National league
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · League Cup. Round of 16
X2Double Chance
· first seen 6d 18h before
Football · National League. South
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · National league
X2Double Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · Division 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 55m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alloa Athletic vs MontroseFootball · League 1 | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Grimsby Town vs Exeter CityFootball · League 2 | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Maardu Linnameeskond vs TallinnFootball · League 2 | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Tonbridge Angels vs Torquay UnitedFootball · National League. South | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Accrington Stanley vs Colchester UnitedFootball · League 2 | first seen 55m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Crawley Town vs Crewe AlexandraFootball · League 2 | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Laholms vs Jonkopings SodraFootball · Division 2. South | first seen 55m before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Northampton Town vs Swindon TownFootball · League 2 | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Totton vs Billericay TownFootball · National League. South | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Worksop Town vs TelfordFootball · National league. North | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| ViOn Zlate Moravce vs Zilina 2Football · League 2 | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Tamworth vs FyldeFootball · National league | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Portsmouth vs QPRFootball · Championship | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-3 | LOST |
| Cheltenham Town vs RotherhamFootball · League 2 | first seen 55m before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Yeovil Town vs Carlisle UnitedFootball · National league | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Puiu vs KiffenFootball · League 3. Group A | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 5-6 | LOST |
| Gateshead vs WokingFootball · National league | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Blackpool vs Wycombe WanderersFootball · League 1 | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Aberdeen vs DundeeFootball · League Cup. Round of 16 | first seen 6d 18h before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Farnborough vs Hemel Hempstead TownFootball · National League. South | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Bristol City vs MillwallFootball · Championship | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Gillingham vs WalsallFootball · League 2 | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-3 | LOST |
| Limavady United vs Carrick RangersFootball · Premier League | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Kidderminster vs EastleighFootball · National league | first seen 55m before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Lyn vs OddFootball · Division 1 | first seen 55m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 5-1 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.