Kapfenberg vs Wacker Innsbruck
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 0-1
· first seen 3h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
4007
4006 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−214.8u
over 4006u staked
Yield
−5.4%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 754 | 55.4%52%–59% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1506 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.9pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1525 | 70.3%68%–73% | −4.7pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 207 | 71.5%65%–77% | −8.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
903
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±86.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2024 | 68.5% | −86.9u |
| Match winner | 1983 | 60.4% | −127.9u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 739 | 67.3% | −21.1u |
| Superleague | 341 | 61.3% | −40.4u |
| League 1 | 325 | 67.1% | −11.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 201 | 59.7% | +19.3u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 104 | 65.4% | −5.2u |
| Serie B | 101 | 62.4% | −7.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 79 | 63.3% | −5.8u |
| Championship | 76 | 65.8% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4007 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Segunda Division
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League. Season 26/27
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · National League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Segunda Division
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Bundesliga 3
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superliga
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · National League. South
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · Division 2. South
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kapfenberg vs Wacker InnsbruckFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Kortrijk vs Royal AntwerpFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0-3 | WON |
| Al-Taawoun Buraydah vs Al- Khaleej SaihatFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.80 · 0.0% CLV | 0-0 | WON |
| Caernarfon vs Colwyn BayFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Istanbulspor vs BodrumsporFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Uruguay Montevideo vs Atenas San CarlosFootball · Segunda Division | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Tallinna Kalev vs FC ElvaFootball · League 2 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Juventud Las Piedras vs Montevideo City TorqueFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Skalica vs KosiceFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 2-4 | LOST |
| Rostov vs RubinFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Nyiregyhaza vs KisvardaFootball · National League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Mezokovesd Zsory vs BVSC ZugloFootball · League 2 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Sturm 2 Graz vs Admira Wacker ModlingFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Kecskemeti vs FehervarFootball · League 2 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Szeged 2011 vs GyirmotFootball · League 2 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Diosgyori vs AjkaFootball · League 2 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| FC Andorra vs CeutaFootball · Segunda Division | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 5-1 | WON |
| Slovacko vs Sigma OlomoucFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.35 · +2.2% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Sandvikens vs NorrkopingFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-4 | WON |
| Sporting 2 Lisbon vs ChavesFootball · Division 2 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Verl vs MSV DuisburgFootball · Bundesliga 3 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 2-4 | WON |
| Drenica vs KF DukagjiniFootball · Superliga | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Al Dhafra vs Al SharjahFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Braintree Town vs Chesham UnitedFootball · National League. South | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
| Kristianstad FC vs TvaakersFootball · Division 2. South | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.