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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=4001

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

4002

4001 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.5%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−215.2u

over 4001u staked

Yield

−5.4%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W1

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%75055.3%52%–59%52%–59%−0.6pp
60–70%avg claim 66%150662.4%60%–65%60%–65%−3.9pp
70–80%avg claim 75%152470.3%68%–73%68%–73%−4.6pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20771.5%65%–77%65%–77%−8.9pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

898

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 4001

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±86.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance202368.6%−85.9u
Match winner197960.4%−129.3u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League73967.3%−21.1u
Superleague34161.3%−40.4u
League 132567.1%−11.1u
MLB↗MLB league page19859.6%+18.7u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210465.4%−5.2u
Serie B10162.4%−7.4u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7963.3%−5.8u
Championship7665.8%−4.4u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5560.0%−6.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4002 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Rapid Bucuresti vs Dinamo Bucuresti

Football · League 1

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 23m before

Manisa vs Vanspor

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 23m before

Olimpija Ljubljana vs Maribor

Football · Superleague

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 8m before

Atletico San Miguel vs CA Colegiales

Football · Primera Nacional

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 4h before

Milford vs Kruger United

Football · Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 4h before

Ferro Carril Oeste vs Atlanta

Football · Primera Nacional

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 4h before

Sutjeska Niksic vs Otrant

Football · League 1

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-4

2026-08-15 · first seen 4h before

Excelsior Virton vs Lierse Kempenzonen

Football · Division 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 4h before

Excursionistas vs Deportivo Laferrere

Football · Primera B Metropolitana

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
5-3

2026-08-15 · first seen 4h before

San Martin Burzaco vs Comunicaciones Buenos Aires

Football · Primera B Metropolitana

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 4h before

Sportivo Italiano vs Dock Sud

Football · Primera B Metropolitana

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 4h before

San Lorenzo Almagro vs Union Santa Fe

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
3.15+21543/202.15+2.15-0.47from 2.75 · −12.7% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 4h before

Alaves vs Getafe

Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 4h before

Aldosivi vs Tigre

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 4h before

Thor Akureyri vs Keflavik

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 3h before

Cadiz vs Celta B

Football · Segunda Division

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 3h before

Radnik Surdulica vs Macva Sabac

Football · Superleague

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 3h before

Torreense vs Penafiel

Football · Division 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 3h before

Alverca U19 vs Farense U19

Football · U19. National league. Division 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
5-4

2026-08-15 · first seen 3h before

Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-4

2026-08-15 · first seen 3h before

Istra 1961 vs Slaven Belupo

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 3h before

Sheffield United vs Birmingham City

Football · Championship

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 3h before

Voitsberg vs Schwarz Weiss Bregenz

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV
Score
6-5

2026-08-15 · first seen 3h before

Sanat Naft Abadan vs Malavan

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 3h before

Kapfenberg vs Wacker Innsbruck

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 3h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Rapid Bucuresti vs Dinamo BucurestiFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 23m before1XDouble Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—0-1LOST
Manisa vs VansporFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 23m before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—4-1WON
Olimpija Ljubljana vs MariborFootball · Superleague2026-08-15first seen 8m beforeX2Double Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—1-1WON
Atletico San Miguel vs CA ColegialesFootball · Primera Nacional2026-08-15first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—2-0LOST
Milford vs Kruger UnitedFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—2-1LOST
Ferro Carril Oeste vs AtlantaFootball · Primera Nacional2026-08-15first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—3-1WON
Sutjeska Niksic vs OtrantFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—1-4LOST
Excelsior Virton vs Lierse KempenzonenFootball · Division 22026-08-15first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—3-0WON
Excursionistas vs Deportivo LaferrereFootball · Primera B Metropolitana2026-08-15first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—5-3WON
San Martin Burzaco vs Comunicaciones Buenos AiresFootball · Primera B Metropolitana2026-08-15first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—0-0WON
Sportivo Italiano vs Dock SudFootball · Primera B Metropolitana2026-08-15first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—4-0WON
San Lorenzo Almagro vs Union Santa FeFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived3.15+21543/202.15+2.15-0.47from 2.75 · −12.7% CLV1-0WON
Alaves vs GetafeFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/272026-08-15first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—3-0WON
Aldosivi vs TigreFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—0-0WON
Thor Akureyri vs KeflavikFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—0-2WON
Cadiz vs Celta BFootball · Segunda Division2026-08-15first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—0-0WON
Radnik Surdulica vs Macva SabacFootball · Superleague2026-08-15first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—2-1WON
Torreense vs PenafielFootball · Division 22026-08-15first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—2-2WON
Alverca U19 vs Farense U19Football · U19. National league. Division 12026-08-15first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—5-4WON
Utrecht vs AZ AlkmaarFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—1-4WON
Istra 1961 vs Slaven BelupoFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—3-0WON
Sheffield United vs Birmingham CityFootball · Championship2026-08-15first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—0-0WON
Voitsberg vs Schwarz Weiss BregenzFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV6-5WON
Sanat Naft Abadan vs MalavanFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—1-1WON
Kapfenberg vs Wacker InnsbruckFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—0-1WON

1426–1450 of 2023· 1387 won / 636 lost · −85.9u · −4.2% yield · of 4002 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.