Sacramento Republic vs Lexington
Football · USL
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-0
· first seen 53m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
4001
4000 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−216.1u
over 4000u staked
Yield
−5.4%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L2
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 749 | 55.3%52%–59% | −0.6pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1506 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.9pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1524 | 70.3%68%–73% | −4.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 207 | 71.5%65%–77% | −8.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
897
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±86.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2023 | 68.6% | −85.9u |
| Match winner | 1978 | 60.3% | −130.2u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 739 | 67.3% | −21.1u |
| Superleague | 341 | 61.3% | −40.4u |
| League 1 | 325 | 67.1% | −11.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 197 | 59.4% | +17.7u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 104 | 65.4% | −5.2u |
| Serie B | 101 | 62.4% | −7.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 79 | 63.3% | −5.8u |
| Championship | 76 | 65.8% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4001 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · USL
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 53m before
Football · Liga MX
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 53m before
Football · MLS
X2Double Chance
· first seen 23m before
Football · USL
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier Division
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · USL
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 53m before
Football · MLS
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 23m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 8m before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Primera division
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Women. Series A1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie C
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Primera Division. Group stage
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie C
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 51m before
Football · Primera Nacional
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 36m before
Football · Serie A
X2Double Chance
· first seen 36m before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 6m before
Football · Liga Nacional
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 6m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 6m before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 6m before
Football · Serie C. Cup. 1/32 Finals
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 6m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento Republic vs LexingtonFootball · USL | first seen 53m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Atlas vs Tigres MonterreyFootball · Liga MX | first seen 53m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis CityFootball · MLS | first seen 23m before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Orange County vs Louisville CityFootball · USL | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 2-3 | LOST |
| Deportivo Saprissa vs CartaginesFootball · Premier Division | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
| Colorado Springs Switchbacks vs Birmingham LegionFootball · USL | first seen 53m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 2-3 | LOST |
| Nashville vs Inter MiamiFootball · MLS | first seen 23m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 4-1 | WON |
| Platense vs Boca JuniorsFootball · Premier League | first seen 8m before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Juventude RS vs FortalezaFootball · Serie B | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Guayaquil City vs Libertad LojaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Guabira vs The StrongestFootball · Primera division | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Los Chancas vs MelgarFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-3 | LOST |
| Bahia (w) vs Corinthians SP (w)Football · Women. Series A1 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Gualaceo vs Atletico RojiblancoFootball · Division 2 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 5-4 | LOST |
| Amazonas vs Botafogo ParaibaFootball · Serie C | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Estudiantes Merida vs Academia AnzoateguiFootball · Primera Division. Group stage | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Volta Redonda vs ItuanoFootball · Serie C | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Estudiantes La Plata vs Gimnasia La PlataFootball · Premier League | first seen 51m before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 4-0 | LOST |
| Colon Santa Fe vs Patronato ParanaFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 36m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Fluminense RJ vs Palmeiras SPFootball · Serie A | first seen 36m before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 3-2 | LOST |
| Cukaricki vs OFK BeogradFootball · Superleague | first seen 6m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Coban Imperial vs Deportivo MixcoFootball · Liga Nacional | first seen 6m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
| Manta vs Leones del NorteFootball · Premier League | first seen 6m before | X2Double Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Ceara Fortaleza vs CuiabaFootball · Serie B | first seen 6m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-3 | LOST |
| Campobasso vs CaveseFootball · Serie C. Cup. 1/32 Finals | first seen 6m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.