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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3958

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3959

3958 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.5%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−212.4u

over 3958u staked

Yield

−5.4%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W1

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%74055.3%52%–59%52%–59%−0.7pp
60–70%avg claim 66%149362.3%60%–65%60%–65%−4.0pp
70–80%avg claim 75%150870.6%68%–73%68%–73%−4.4pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20370.9%64%–77%64%–77%−9.4pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

855

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3958

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.8u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance200468.6%−84.8u
Match winner195560.4%−127.6u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League73267.2%−21.0u
Superleague33461.1%−40.8u
League 132167.3%−10.1u
MLB↗MLB league page19259.9%+19.1u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210366.0%−4.2u
Serie B9961.6%−8.4u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7862.8%−6.1u
Championship7464.9%−5.2u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5560.0%−6.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3959 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Nykobing vs B-93 Copenhagen

Football · 2 division

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-0

2026-08-14 · first seen 2h before

Skive vs Fremad Amager

Football · 2 division

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-14 · first seen 2h before

KI Klaksvik vs HB Torshavn

Football · Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-10 · first seen 3h before

Otrant vs Petrovac

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 4h before

Houston Dash (w) vs Kansas City (w)

Football · Women. NWSL

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 30m before

VSK Aarhus vs Fremad Amager

Football · 2 division

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-0

2026-08-08 · first seen 3h before

Darmstadt 98 vs Holstein Kiel

Football · Bundesliga 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-08-08 · first seen 3h before

Eskilsminne vs Rosengard

Football · Division 2. South

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-08 · first seen 3h before

Seongnam vs Cheonan City

Football · K League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-2

2026-08-08 · first seen 3h before

Sandefjord vs KFUM Oslo

Football · Superleague

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-07 · first seen 3h before

Once Caldas vs America de Cali

Football · Serie A

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-06 · first seen 2h before

Necaxa vs Leon

Football · Liga MX

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-18 · first seen 53m before

Deportes Temuco vs Deportes Recoleta

Football · Serie B

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-18 · first seen 23m before

Noah vs Alashkert

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-17 · first seen 2h before

Birkirkara vs Gzira United

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-0

2026-08-17 · first seen 2h before

Cajamarca vs Universitario Lima

Football · Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73from 1.70 · −1.7% CLV
Score
2-3

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

Sportivo Las Parejas vs Independiente Chivilcoy

Football · Torneo Federal A. Losers stage

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

Atletico Fenix vs Plaza Colonia

Football · Segunda Division

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-4

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

Brinje Grosuplje vs Mura

Football · Superleague

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-16 · first seen 2h before

Stal Mielec vs Polonia Bytom

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
5-2

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

Leixoes vs Tondela

Football · Division 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

Polanka nad Odrou vs Vitkovice

Football · League 3

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

Skeid vs Levanger

Football · Division 2. Group 2

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-5

2026-08-16 · first seen 58m before

Motor Lublin vs GKS Katowice

Football · Superleague

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 43m before

FC San Antonio vs El Paso Locomotive

Football · USL

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-3

2026-08-16 · first seen 53m before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Nykobing vs B-93 CopenhagenFootball · 2 division2026-08-14first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—4-0LOST
Skive vs Fremad AmagerFootball · 2 division2026-08-14first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—0-2LOST
KI Klaksvik vs HB TorshavnFootball · Premier League2026-08-10first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—0-2LOST
Otrant vs PetrovacFootball · League 12026-08-09first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—0-0WON
Houston Dash (w) vs Kansas City (w)Football · Women. NWSL2026-08-09first seen 30m beforeX2Double Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—1-1WON
VSK Aarhus vs Fremad AmagerFootball · 2 division2026-08-08first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—3-0WON
Darmstadt 98 vs Holstein KielFootball · Bundesliga 22026-08-08first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—2-2WON
Eskilsminne vs RosengardFootball · Division 2. South2026-08-08first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—0-0WON
Seongnam vs Cheonan CityFootball · K League 22026-08-08first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—3-2WON
Sandefjord vs KFUM OsloFootball · Superleague2026-08-07first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—0-1LOST
Once Caldas vs America de CaliFootball · Serie A2026-08-06first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—0-1LOST
Necaxa vs LeonFootball · Liga MX2026-08-18first seen 53m before1XDouble Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—1-2LOST
Deportes Temuco vs Deportes RecoletaFootball · Serie B2026-08-18first seen 23m before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—1-1WON
Noah vs AlashkertFootball · Premier League2026-08-17first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—1-0WON
Birkirkara vs Gzira UnitedFootball · Premier League2026-08-17first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—4-0WON
Cajamarca vs Universitario LimaFootball · Premier League2026-08-16first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73from 1.70 · −1.7% CLV2-3LOST
Sportivo Las Parejas vs Independiente ChivilcoyFootball · Torneo Federal A. Losers stage2026-08-16first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived—0-0WON
Atletico Fenix vs Plaza ColoniaFootball · Segunda Division2026-08-16first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—1-4WON
Brinje Grosuplje vs MuraFootball · Superleague2026-08-16first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—1-2LOST
Stal Mielec vs Polonia BytomFootball · League 12026-08-16first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—5-2WON
Leixoes vs TondelaFootball · Division 22026-08-16first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—1-0WON
Polanka nad Odrou vs VitkoviceFootball · League 32026-08-16first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—0-0WON
Skeid vs LevangerFootball · Division 2. Group 22026-08-16first seen 58m beforeX2Double Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—0-5WON
Motor Lublin vs GKS KatowiceFootball · Superleague2026-08-16first seen 43m beforeX2Double Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—1-0LOST
FC San Antonio vs El Paso LocomotiveFootball · USL2026-08-16first seen 53m before1XDouble Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—0-3LOST

1226–1250 of 2004· 1374 won / 630 lost · −84.8u · −4.2% yield · of 3959 total

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