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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3956

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3957

3956 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.5%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−211.8u

over 3956u staked

Yield

−5.4%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

L2

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%74055.3%52%–59%52%–59%−0.7pp
60–70%avg claim 66%149262.3%60%–65%60%–65%−4.0pp
70–80%avg claim 75%150770.6%68%–73%68%–73%−4.4pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20370.9%64%–77%64%–77%−9.4pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

853

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3956

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.8u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance200368.5%−85.2u
Match winner195460.4%−126.6u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League73267.2%−21.0u
Superleague33461.1%−40.8u
League 132167.3%−10.1u
MLB↗MLB league page19259.9%+19.1u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210265.7%−4.6u
Serie B9961.6%−8.4u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7862.8%−6.1u
Championship7464.9%−5.2u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5560.0%−6.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3957 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Paykan vs Gol Gohar

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-18 · first seen 2h before

Pardubice vs Mlada Boleslav

Football · Superleague

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 1h before

Falkenbergs vs Norrby

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 1h before

Wolfurt vs Reichenau

Football · Regional League. West

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-14 · first seen 1h before

Toktogul vs Asiagoal Bishkek

Football · Premier league

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-2

2026-08-18 · first seen 43m before

Basingstoke Town vs Evesham United

Football · Southern. Premier League. South

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-4

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

Billericay Town vs Dover Athletic

Football · National League. South

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan

Football · Superleague

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-3

2026-08-18 · first seen 1h before

AB Argir vs KI Klaksvik

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-4

2026-08-17 · first seen 4h before

Tijuana vs Cruz Azul

Football · Liga MX

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-17 · first seen 59m before

Degerfors vs Goteborg

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

Konyaspor vs Rizespor

Football · Superleague

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Dukla Banska Bystrica vs Zilina

Football · Superleague

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-4

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Tartu Welco vs Flora 2 Tallinn

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Erokspor vs Saryer

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-14 · first seen 17m before

Cumbaya vs Deportivo Santo Domingo

Football · Division 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-3

2026-08-13 · first seen 48m before

Varnsdorf vs Benatky nad Jizerou

Football · League 3

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Juan Pablo 2 vs Atletico Grau

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-08 · first seen 1h before

Uniao Sao Joao vs Comercial Ribeirao Preto

Football · Copa Paulista. Group stage

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 44m before

Vitkovice vs Havirov

Football · League 3

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 1h before

Fastav Zlin vs Bohemians Prague

Football · Superleague

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-08 · first seen 1h before

Deportivo Capiata vs Sol de America

Football · Division 2

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-4

2026-08-08 · first seen 47m before

Eidsvold Turn vs Kjelsas

Football · Division 2. Group 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-08 · first seen 4h before

FC Elva vs Tartu Welco

Football · League 2

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 4h before

3 de Noviembre vs Atletico Tembetary

Football · Division 2

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-0

2026-08-17 · first seen 23m before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Paykan vs Gol GoharFootball · Premier League2026-08-18first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—0-0WON
Pardubice vs Mlada BoleslavFootball · Superleague2026-08-15first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—1-1WON
Falkenbergs vs NorrbyFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—2-0WON
Wolfurt vs ReichenauFootball · Regional League. West2026-08-14first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—2-1LOST
Toktogul vs Asiagoal BishkekFootball · Premier league2026-08-18first seen 43m before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—3-2WON
Basingstoke Town vs Evesham UnitedFootball · Southern. Premier League. South2026-08-08first seen 30m beforeX2Double Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—2-4WON
Billericay Town vs Dover AthleticFootball · National League. South2026-08-08first seen 30m before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—2-0WON
Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing GuoanFootball · Superleague2026-08-18first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—0-3WON
AB Argir vs KI KlaksvikFootball · Premier League2026-08-17first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—3-4WON
Tijuana vs Cruz AzulFootball · Liga MX2026-08-17first seen 59m before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—2-1WON
Degerfors vs GoteborgFootball · Premier League2026-08-16first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—3-0WON
Konyaspor vs RizesporFootball · Superleague2026-08-15first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—0-1LOST
Dukla Banska Bystrica vs ZilinaFootball · Superleague2026-08-15first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—3-4WON
Tartu Welco vs Flora 2 TallinnFootball · League 22026-08-15first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—2-1WON
Erokspor vs SaryerFootball · League 12026-08-14first seen 17m before1XDouble Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—1-1WON
Cumbaya vs Deportivo Santo DomingoFootball · Division 22026-08-13first seen 48m before1XDouble Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—3-3WON
Varnsdorf vs Benatky nad JizerouFootball · League 32026-08-09first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—1-0WON
Juan Pablo 2 vs Atletico GrauFootball · Premier League2026-08-08first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—0-0WON
Uniao Sao Joao vs Comercial Ribeirao PretoFootball · Copa Paulista. Group stage2026-08-08first seen 44m before1XDouble Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—1-1WON
Vitkovice vs HavirovFootball · League 32026-08-08first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—1-1WON
Fastav Zlin vs Bohemians PragueFootball · Superleague2026-08-08first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—0-2LOST
Deportivo Capiata vs Sol de AmericaFootball · Division 22026-08-08first seen 47m before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—1-4LOST
Eidsvold Turn vs KjelsasFootball · Division 2. Group 22026-08-08first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—1-0WON
FC Elva vs Tartu WelcoFootball · League 22026-08-08first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—2-1LOST
3 de Noviembre vs Atletico TembetaryFootball · Division 22026-08-17first seen 23m beforeX2Double Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—3-0LOST

1176–1200 of 2003· 1373 won / 630 lost · −85.2u · −4.3% yield · of 3957 total

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