FCM Traiskirchen vs SV Leobendorf
Football · Regional League. East
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 5-4
· first seen 4h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3952
3951 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−210.9u
over 3951u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 739 | 55.3%52%–59% | −0.6pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1490 | 62.3%60%–65% | −4.0pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1506 | 70.6%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 202 | 70.8%64%–77% | −9.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
848
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.7u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2001 | 68.5% | −86.1u |
| Match winner | 1951 | 60.5% | −124.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 732 | 67.2% | −21.0u |
| Superleague | 331 | 60.7% | −41.9u |
| League 1 | 321 | 67.3% | −10.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 192 | 59.9% | +19.1u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 102 | 65.7% | −4.6u |
| Serie B | 99 | 61.6% | −8.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 74 | 64.9% | −5.2u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3952 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Regional League. East
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Challenge League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Challenge League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · 2 division
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 3
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Regional League. West
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1. Season 26/27
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superliga
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Victoria.National Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Segunda Division
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 23m before
Football · Primera B Metropolitana
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Primera B Metropolitana
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Round of 16. Second leg
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4d 3h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 54m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · MLS
X2Double Chance
· first seen 11d 4h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FCM Traiskirchen vs SV LeobendorfFootball · Regional League. East | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 5-4 | WON |
| Neuchatel Xamax vs Stade Lausanne-OuchyFootball · Challenge League | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Aldosivi vs Union Santa FeFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-3 | LOST |
| Petrolul Ploiesti vs Rapid BucurestiFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Nyonnais vs Etoile-CarougeFootball · Challenge League | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Vikingur Gota vs B-36 TorshavnFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Thisted vs SkiveFootball · 2 division | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Cajamarca vs Atletico GrauFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 2.20 · +12.8% CLV | 1-3 | LOST |
| Hranice vs HavirovFootball · League 3 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 6-0 | LOST |
| Sportfreunde Siegen vs Borussia Monchengladbach 2Football · Regional League. West | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Floriana vs Sliema WanderersFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Torpedo Moscow vs Spartak KostromaFootball · League 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Minsk vs VitebskFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Malisheva vs DrenicaFootball · Superliga | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Green Gully vs St Albans SaintsFootball · Victoria.National Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Bor 1919 vs VozdovacFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Burgos CF vs CordobaFootball · Segunda Division | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
| Gaziantep BB vs AlanyasporFootball · Superleague | first seen 23m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Arsenal Sarandi vs Talleres RemediosFootball · Primera B Metropolitana | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Villa Dalmine vs Brown AdrogueFootball · Primera B Metropolitana | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Cacahuatique vs Fuerte San FranciscoFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 1.90 · −1.6% CLV | 0-0 | WON |
| Macara vs Santos SPFootball · Round of 16. Second leg | first seen 4d 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| United Nordic vs Varbergs BoISFootball · League 1 | first seen 54m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Royal Antwerp vs SK BeverenFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis CityFootball · MLS | first seen 11d 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.