Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-0
· first seen 3h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3952
3951 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−210.9u
over 3951u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 739 | 55.3%52%–59% | −0.6pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1490 | 62.3%60%–65% | −4.0pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1506 | 70.6%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 202 | 70.8%64%–77% | −9.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
848
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.7u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2001 | 68.5% | −86.1u |
| Match winner | 1951 | 60.5% | −124.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 732 | 67.2% | −21.0u |
| Superleague | 331 | 60.7% | −41.9u |
| League 1 | 321 | 67.3% | −10.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 192 | 59.9% | +19.1u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 102 | 65.7% | −4.6u |
| Serie B | 99 | 61.6% | −8.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 74 | 64.9% | −5.2u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3952 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Segunda Division
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3m before
Football · Serie C. Group A
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 42m before
Football · Ligue 1. Season 26/27
X2Double Chance
· first seen 42m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 42m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 42m before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Division 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 27m before
Football · Primera Nacional
X2Double Chance
· first seen 27m before
Football · Primera Nacional
X2Double Chance
· first seen 27m before
Football · Primera Nacional
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 27m before
Football · Primera Nacional
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 27m before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 12m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 12m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Primera B Metropolitana
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol vs Virtus EntellaFootball · Serie B | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Albacete vs Real Sociedad 2Football · Segunda Division | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Carrarese vs MantovaFootball · Serie B | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Al Masry vs SmouhaFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Avellino vs ArezzoFootball · Serie B | first seen 3m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Gimnasia La Plata vs Gimnasia y Esgrima MendozaFootball · Premier League | first seen 3m before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-3 | WON |
| Lecco vs Arzignano ValchiampoFootball · Serie C. Group A | first seen 3m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Zabbar St. Patrick vs Birzebbuga Saint PetersFootball · Premier League | first seen 3m before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Siroki Brijeg vs Radnik BijeljinaFootball · Premier League | first seen 42m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Toulouse vs LyonFootball · Ligue 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 42m before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Royal Antwerp vs GenkFootball · Premier League | first seen 42m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 4-4 | WON |
| Velez Mostar vs Sloga DobojFootball · Premier League | first seen 42m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Fehervar vs Mezokovesd ZsoryFootball · League 2 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Kozarmisleny SE vs Szeged 2011Football · League 2 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Gyirmot vs KecskemetiFootball · League 2 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-4 | WON |
| Stade Tunisien vs CS SfaxienFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Longford Town vs Bray WanderersFootball · Division 1 | first seen 27m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 4-2 | WON |
| San Martin San Juan vs Gimnasia TiroFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 27m before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 3-1 | LOST |
| Defensores Belgrano vs Almirante BrownFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 27m before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Almagro vs CA ColegialesFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 27m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Nueva Chicago vs AtlantaFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 27m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Slask Wroclaw vs Widzew LodzFootball · Superleague | first seen 12m before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 3-3 | WON |
| UTC Cajamarca vs Comerciantes UnidosFootball · Premier League | first seen 12m before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Jezero vs Sutjeska NiksicFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Deportivo Flandria vs Deportivo LiniersFootball · Primera B Metropolitana | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.