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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3951

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3952

3951 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.5%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−210.9u

over 3951u staked

Yield

−5.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W1

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%73955.3%52%–59%52%–59%−0.6pp
60–70%avg claim 66%149062.3%60%–65%60%–65%−4.0pp
70–80%avg claim 75%150670.6%68%–73%68%–73%−4.4pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20270.8%64%–77%64%–77%−9.6pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

848

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3951

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.7u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance200168.5%−86.1u
Match winner195160.5%−124.8u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League73267.2%−21.0u
Superleague33160.7%−41.9u
League 132167.3%−10.1u
MLB↗MLB league page19259.9%+19.1u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210265.7%−4.6u
Serie B9961.6%−8.4u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7862.8%−6.1u
Championship7464.9%−5.2u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5560.0%−6.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3952 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Chungnam Asan vs Yongin City

Football · K League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-23 · first seen 3h before

Sydney United vs APIA Tigers

Football · New South Wales. National Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-23 · first seen 2h before

Central Norte vs Estudiantes Caseros

Football · Primera Nacional

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-23 · first seen 48m before

Colorado Springs Switchbacks vs El Paso Locomotive

Football · USL

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-23 · first seen 48m before

Giana Erminio vs Albinoleffe

Football · Serie C. Group A

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-22 · first seen 3m before

Benevento vs Modena

Football · Serie B

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-22 · first seen 3m before

Antalyaspor vs Pendikspor

Football · League 1

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-3

2026-08-22 · first seen 27m before

Hammam-Sousse vs US Monastir

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 2h before

Livingston vs Dunfermline

Football · Championship

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 50m before

Nantong Zhiyun vs Shaanxi Union

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

CFR Cluj vs FCSB

Football · League 1

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-23 · first seen 22m before

Bizertin vs AS Marsa

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-23 · first seen 2h before

Sepsi Sfantu Gheorghe vs Farul Constanta

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-23 · first seen 49m before

Deportivo Armenio vs Real Pilar

Football · Primera B Metropolitana

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 27m before

Dila Gori vs Torpedo Kutaisi

Football · National League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-08-22 · first seen 1h before

B-68 Toftir vs Skala

Football · Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-23 · first seen 3h before

Chapecoense vs Sao Paulo

Football · Serie A

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-23 · first seen 2h before

Criciuma vs Fortaleza

Football · Serie B

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-23 · first seen 2h before

Nacional Montevideo vs Atletico Progreso

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-23 · first seen 2h before

Guabira vs Blooming Santa Cruz

Football · Primera division

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-23 · first seen 2h before

Deportivo Mixco vs Deportivo Guastatoya

Football · Liga Nacional

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-2

2026-08-23 · first seen 2h before

Deportivo Pasto vs Llaneros Villavicencio

Football · Serie A

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-23 · first seen 2h before

Marathon vs Real Espana

Football · Liga Nacional

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-23 · first seen 2h before

Esteghlal Tehran vs Sepahan

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-23 · first seen 2h before

Sao Bernardo vs Nautico Capibaribe

Football · Serie B

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-23 · first seen 6m before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Chungnam Asan vs Yongin CityFootball · K League 22026-08-23first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—2-1WON
Sydney United vs APIA TigersFootball · New South Wales. National Premier League2026-08-23first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—0-0WON
Central Norte vs Estudiantes CaserosFootball · Primera Nacional2026-08-23first seen 48m beforeX2Double Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—2-1LOST
Colorado Springs Switchbacks vs El Paso LocomotiveFootball · USL2026-08-23first seen 48m beforeX2Double Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—0-1WON
Giana Erminio vs AlbinoleffeFootball · Serie C. Group A2026-08-22first seen 3m before1XDouble Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—1-2LOST
Benevento vs ModenaFootball · Serie B2026-08-22first seen 3m before1XDouble Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—1-2LOST
Antalyaspor vs PendiksporFootball · League 12026-08-22first seen 27m before1XDouble Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—2-3LOST
Hammam-Sousse vs US MonastirFootball · League 12026-08-22first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—0-0WON
Livingston vs DunfermlineFootball · Championship2026-08-22first seen 50m before1XDouble Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—2-0WON
Nantong Zhiyun vs Shaanxi UnionFootball · League 12026-08-22first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—4-1WON
CFR Cluj vs FCSBFootball · League 12026-08-23first seen 22m beforeX2Double Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—1-0LOST
Bizertin vs AS MarsaFootball · League 12026-08-23first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—1-0WON
Sepsi Sfantu Gheorghe vs Farul ConstantaFootball · League 12026-08-23first seen 49m beforeX2Double Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—1-1WON
Deportivo Armenio vs Real PilarFootball · Primera B Metropolitana2026-08-22first seen 27m before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—0-1LOST
Dila Gori vs Torpedo KutaisiFootball · National League2026-08-22first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—2-2WON
B-68 Toftir vs SkalaFootball · Premier League2026-08-23first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—0-1LOST
Chapecoense vs Sao PauloFootball · Serie A2026-08-23first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—1-0LOST
Criciuma vs FortalezaFootball · Serie B2026-08-23first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—0-2LOST
Nacional Montevideo vs Atletico ProgresoFootball · Premier League2026-08-23first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—1-0WON
Guabira vs Blooming Santa CruzFootball · Primera division2026-08-23first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—1-1WON
Deportivo Mixco vs Deportivo GuastatoyaFootball · Liga Nacional2026-08-23first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—4-2WON
Deportivo Pasto vs Llaneros VillavicencioFootball · Serie A2026-08-23first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—0-1WON
Marathon vs Real EspanaFootball · Liga Nacional2026-08-23first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—1-1WON
Esteghlal Tehran vs SepahanFootball · Premier League2026-08-23first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—2-0WON
Sao Bernardo vs Nautico CapibaribeFootball · Serie B2026-08-23first seen 6m before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—1-1WON

801–825 of 2001· 1371 won / 630 lost · −86.1u · −4.3% yield · of 3952 total

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