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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3949

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3950

3949 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.5%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−212.5u

over 3949u staked

Yield

−5.4%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

L3

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%73755.2%52%–59%52%–59%−0.7pp
60–70%avg claim 66%149062.3%60%–65%60%–65%−4.0pp
70–80%avg claim 75%150670.6%68%–73%68%–73%−4.4pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20270.8%64%–77%64%–77%−9.6pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

846

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3949

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.7u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance200168.5%−86.1u
Match winner194960.4%−126.4u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League73267.2%−21.0u
Superleague33160.7%−41.9u
League 132167.3%−10.1u
MLB↗MLB league page19259.9%+19.1u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210265.7%−4.6u
Serie B9861.2%−9.1u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7862.8%−6.1u
Championship7464.9%−5.2u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5560.0%−6.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3950 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Vasalund vs IFK Stocksund

Football · Division 2. North

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-3

2026-08-23 · first seen 3h before

Los Angeles vs Portland Timbers

Football · MLS

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-23 · first seen 22m before

Orange County vs Tulsa

Football · USL

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-5

2026-08-23 · first seen 1h before

Vancouver Whitecaps vs Dallas

Football · MLS

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
5-0

2026-08-23 · first seen 1h before

Atletico San Miguel vs Colon Santa Fe

Football · Primera Nacional

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-22 · first seen 27m before

Kraluv Dvur vs Pisek

Football · League 3

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 1h before

Tammeka Tartu vs Kuressaare

Football · Superleague

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 50m before

Bocholt vs Rodinghausen

Football · Regional League. West

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Koninklijke vs Barendrecht

Football · Division 2

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Cheonan City vs Suwon Samsung Bluewings

Football · K League 2

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 3h before

Etoile Metlaoui vs Club Afrikan

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-23 · first seen 2h before

VJS Vantaa vs FC Jazz

Football · League 2

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-23 · first seen 51m before

KI Klaksvik vs NSI Runavik

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-08-23 · first seen 51m before

Viitorul Selimbar vs Afumati

Football · League 2

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-23 · first seen 52m before

Defensores Unidos vs San Martin Burzaco

Football · Primera B Metropolitana

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Umraniyespor vs Erokspor

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 2h before

Wil 1900 vs Kriens

Football · Challenge League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-22 · first seen 2h before

Juventus U23 vs Novara

Football · Serie C. Group A

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 2h before

Akhmat vs Rostov

Football · Premier League. Season 26/27

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 1h before

Rheindorf Altach vs Hartberg

Football · Bundesliga

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-22 · first seen 1h before

Swansea vs Sheffield United

Football · Championship

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 50m before

Everton vs Crystal Palace

Football · Premier League. Season 26/27

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 50m before

Mosta vs Balzan

Football · Premier League

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-23 · first seen 6m before

Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Ironi Modiin

Football · Liga Leumit

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-4

2026-08-23 · first seen 2h before

Maccabi Herzliya vs Hapoel Raanana

Football · Liga Leumit

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.95 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-3

2026-08-23 · first seen 2h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Vasalund vs IFK StocksundFootball · Division 2. North2026-08-23first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—4-3WON
Los Angeles vs Portland TimbersFootball · MLS2026-08-23first seen 22m before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—1-1WON
Orange County vs TulsaFootball · USL2026-08-23first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—1-5LOST
Vancouver Whitecaps vs DallasFootball · MLS2026-08-23first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—5-0WON
Atletico San Miguel vs Colon Santa FeFootball · Primera Nacional2026-08-22first seen 27m beforeX2Double Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—1-2WON
Kraluv Dvur vs PisekFootball · League 32026-08-22first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—3-1WON
Tammeka Tartu vs KuressaareFootball · Superleague2026-08-22first seen 50m beforeX2Double Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—1-0LOST
Bocholt vs RodinghausenFootball · Regional League. West2026-08-22first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—2-2WON
Koninklijke vs BarendrechtFootball · Division 22026-08-22first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—1-2LOST
Cheonan City vs Suwon Samsung BluewingsFootball · K League 22026-08-22first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—0-1WON
Etoile Metlaoui vs Club AfrikanFootball · League 12026-08-23first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—0-1WON
VJS Vantaa vs FC JazzFootball · League 22026-08-23first seen 51m beforeX2Double Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—1-1WON
KI Klaksvik vs NSI RunavikFootball · Premier League2026-08-23first seen 51m before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—2-2WON
Viitorul Selimbar vs AfumatiFootball · League 22026-08-23first seen 52m beforeX2Double Chance1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived—1-1WON
Defensores Unidos vs San Martin BurzacoFootball · Primera B Metropolitana2026-08-22first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—2-0WON
Umraniyespor vs EroksporFootball · League 12026-08-22first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—1-1WON
Wil 1900 vs KriensFootball · Challenge League2026-08-22first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—0-2LOST
Juventus U23 vs NovaraFootball · Serie C. Group A2026-08-22first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—1-0WON
Akhmat vs RostovFootball · Premier League. Season 26/272026-08-22first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—4-1WON
Rheindorf Altach vs HartbergFootball · Bundesliga2026-08-22first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—1-2LOST
Swansea vs Sheffield UnitedFootball · Championship2026-08-22first seen 50m before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—0-0WON
Everton vs Crystal PalaceFootball · Premier League. Season 26/272026-08-22first seen 50m before1XDouble Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—2-0WON
Mosta vs BalzanFootball · Premier League2026-08-23first seen 6m beforeX2Double Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—2-1LOST
Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Ironi ModiinFootball · Liga Leumit2026-08-23first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—1-4LOST
Maccabi Herzliya vs Hapoel RaananaFootball · Liga Leumit2026-08-23first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.95 · 0.0% CLV2-3LOST

776–800 of 2001· 1371 won / 630 lost · −86.1u · −4.3% yield · of 3950 total

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