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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3909

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3910

3909 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.6%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−207.7u

over 3909u staked

Yield

−5.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W5

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%72255.3%52%–59%52%–59%−0.7pp
60–70%avg claim 66%147962.5%60%–65%60%–65%−3.8pp
70–80%avg claim 75%149470.5%68%–73%68%–73%−4.4pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20070.5%64%–76%64%–76%−9.9pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

806

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3909

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance198568.6%−83.8u
Match winner192560.5%−123.9u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League72767.3%−20.5u
Superleague32960.8%−41.4u
League 132067.5%−9.1u
MLB↗MLB league page18959.8%+18.2u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210166.3%−3.6u
Serie B9661.5%−8.8u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7862.8%−6.1u
Championship6965.2%−4.6u
Serie A6752.2%−14.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5461.1%−5.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3910 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Voluntari vs Arges Pitesti

Football · League 1

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-09-07 · first seen 1h before

Leon vs Club America

Football · 3rd place. Houston

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-09-06 · first seen 1h before

Atletico Balboa vs Municipal Limeno

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-09-06 · first seen 27m before

Trujillanos vs Caracas

Football · Primera Division. Group stage

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-09-06 · first seen 27m before

Atletico Guemes vs Gimnasia Tiro

Football · Primera Nacional

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-3

2026-09-06 · first seen 2h before

Union Comercio vs Deportivo Universidad San Martín

Football · Division 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
4.80+38019/53.80+3.80-0.26from 4.50 · −6.3% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-06 · first seen 2h before

Lanus vs Defensa y Justicia

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-09-06 · first seen 2h before

ASA Arapiraca vs Uberlandia

Football · Serie D. Promotion/Relegation. First leg

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-09-06 · first seen 2h before

Portland Thorns (w) vs Washington Spirit (w)

Football · Women. NWSL

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-09-06 · first seen 2h before

Rentistas vs Atletico Fenix

Football · Segunda Division

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-09-06 · first seen 2h before

Central Norte vs Almirante Brown

Football · Primera Nacional

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-09-06 · first seen 2h before

Velez Sarsfield vs Estudiantes La Plata

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-09-06 · first seen 20h before

Coban Imperial vs Deportivo Guastatoya

Football · Liga Nacional

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-09-06 · first seen 1h before

Nacional Montevideo vs Juventud Las Piedras

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-09-06 · first seen 1h before

Temperley vs CA Colegiales

Football · Primera Nacional

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-1

2026-09-06 · first seen 1h before

Espanyol vs Sevilla

Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
1:1

2026-09-06 · first seen 1h before

Floresta vs Maringa

Football · Serie C

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-09-06 · first seen 1h before

Cruzeiro vs Atletico Paranaense

Football · Serie A

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
4.30+33033/103.30+3.30-0.30from 4.30 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2:1

2026-09-06 · first seen 1h before

Cittadella vs Lumezzane

Football · Serie C. Group A

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-09-06 · first seen 1h before

Ospitaletto vs Arzignano Valchiampo

Football · Serie C. Group A

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-1

2026-09-06 · first seen 1h before

Juventus vs Milan

Football · Serie A. Season 26/27

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
1:1

2026-09-06 · first seen 47m before

Almagro vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Jujuy

Football · Primera Nacional

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-09-06 · first seen 32m before

Zabbar St. Patrick vs Hamrun Spartans

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-09-06 · first seen 32m before

Panathinaikos vs PAOK

Football · Superleague 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-1

2026-09-06 · first seen 32m before

Deportivo Liniers vs Deportivo Laferrere

Football · Primera B Metropolitana

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-09-06 · first seen 2m before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Voluntari vs Arges PitestiFootball · League 12026-09-07first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—1-0LOST
Leon vs Club AmericaFootball · 3rd place. Houston2026-09-06first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—1-0WON
Atletico Balboa vs Municipal LimenoFootball · Premier League2026-09-06first seen 27m beforeX2Double Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—0-2WON
Trujillanos vs CaracasFootball · Primera Division. Group stage2026-09-06first seen 27m beforeX2Double Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—0-1WON
Atletico Guemes vs Gimnasia TiroFootball · Primera Nacional2026-09-06first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—1-3WON
Union Comercio vs Deportivo Universidad San MartínFootball · Division 22026-09-06first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived4.80+38019/53.80+3.80-0.26from 4.50 · −6.3% CLV1-1WON
Lanus vs Defensa y JusticiaFootball · Premier League2026-09-06first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—1-0WON
ASA Arapiraca vs UberlandiaFootball · Serie D. Promotion/Relegation. First leg2026-09-06first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—0-2LOST
Portland Thorns (w) vs Washington Spirit (w)Football · Women. NWSL2026-09-06first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—1-2LOST
Rentistas vs Atletico FenixFootball · Segunda Division2026-09-06first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—1-1WON
Central Norte vs Almirante BrownFootball · Primera Nacional2026-09-06first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—0-0WON
Velez Sarsfield vs Estudiantes La PlataFootball · Premier League2026-09-06first seen 20h before1XDouble Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—1-0WON
Coban Imperial vs Deportivo GuastatoyaFootball · Liga Nacional2026-09-06first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—0-1WON
Nacional Montevideo vs Juventud Las PiedrasFootball · Premier League2026-09-06first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—2-2WON
Temperley vs CA ColegialesFootball · Primera Nacional2026-09-06first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—3-1WON
Espanyol vs SevillaFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/272026-09-06first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—1:1WON
Floresta vs MaringaFootball · Serie C2026-09-06first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—0-1LOST
Cruzeiro vs Atletico ParanaenseFootball · Serie A2026-09-06first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived4.30+33033/103.30+3.30-0.30from 4.30 · 0.0% CLV2:1LOST
Cittadella vs LumezzaneFootball · Serie C. Group A2026-09-06first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—2-1WON
Ospitaletto vs Arzignano ValchiampoFootball · Serie C. Group A2026-09-06first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—3-1WON
Juventus vs MilanFootball · Serie A. Season 26/272026-09-06first seen 47m before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—1:1WON
Almagro vs Gimnasia y Esgrima JujuyFootball · Primera Nacional2026-09-06first seen 32m before1XDouble Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—1-2LOST
Zabbar St. Patrick vs Hamrun SpartansFootball · Premier League2026-09-06first seen 32m beforeX2Double Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—1-2WON
Panathinaikos vs PAOKFootball · Superleague 12026-09-06first seen 32m before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—3-1WON
Deportivo Liniers vs Deportivo LaferrereFootball · Primera B Metropolitana2026-09-06first seen 2m before1XDouble Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—2-2WON

26–50 of 1985· 1361 won / 624 lost · −83.8u · −4.2% yield · of 3910 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.