Bregalnica Stip vs Shkendija Haracine
Football · Division 1
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 0-1
· first seen 4h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3913
3912 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−208.9u
over 3912u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 724 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1480 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1494 | 70.5%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
809
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1986 | 68.5% | −84.8u |
| Match winner | 1927 | 60.5% | −124.1u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 729 | 67.2% | −20.6u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3913 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Division 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Bundesliga 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 0m before
Football · League 3. Group A
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · 1st Division
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Division 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier league
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2m before
Football · Western Australia. National Premier League. Semi-finals
X2Double Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · K League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · K League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Serie A
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Primera Division. Group stage
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Division 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Ligue 3
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 47m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 47m before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bregalnica Stip vs Shkendija HaracineFootball · Division 1 | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Arminia Bielefeld vs St. PauliFootball · Bundesliga 2 | first seen 0m before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 2:2 | WON |
| MyPa vs ReipasFootball · League 3. Group A | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 5-1 | LOST |
| Kyapaz vs ShamakhiFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-4 | WON |
| Hobro vs HvidovreFootball · 1st Division | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Omonia May 29 vs KarmiotissaFootball · Division 1 | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Al Qadsia Kuwait vs Al Nasr Al FarwaniyahFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Toktogul vs TalantFootball · Premier league | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Navbahor vs Lokomotiv TashkentFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Qabala vs ImisliFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Kaspiy Aktau 2 vs Turan TurkistanFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 3-0 | LOST |
| Bunyodkor Tashkent vs SurkhonFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Herentals vs Bulawayo ChiefsFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Pattani vs BG Pathum UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 2m before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Bali United vs PSS SlemanFootball · League 1 | first seen 2m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Perth RedStar vs Perth SCFootball · Western Australia. National Premier League. Semi-finals | first seen 5h before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Paju Frontier vs DaeguFootball · K League 2 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| FC Cheongju vs Seoul E-LandFootball · K League 2 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Deportivo Pereira vs Independiente MedellinFootball · Serie A | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-3 | WON |
| JS El Biar vs Oued AkbouFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Academia Anzoategui vs MonagasFootball · Primera Division. Group stage | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Deportivo Capiata vs 3 de NoviembreFootball · Division 2 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 4-3 | LOST |
| Rouen vs ValenciennesFootball · Ligue 3 | first seen 47m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Hibernian vs HeartsFootball · Premier League | first seen 47m before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Duhok vs Al Quwa Al JawiyaFootball · Superleague | first seen 2m before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.