Al Talaba vs Newroz
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-0
· first seen 37m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3913
3912 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−208.9u
over 3912u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 724 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1480 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1494 | 70.5%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
809
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1986 | 68.5% | −84.8u |
| Match winner | 1927 | 60.5% | −124.1u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 729 | 67.2% | −20.6u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3913 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 37m before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 43m before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 50m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 33m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 22m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 27m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 7m before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 22m before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 6m before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 22m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 7m before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Talaba vs NewrozFootball · Superleague | first seen 37m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Al Minaa vs Al GarafFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Qizilqum Zarafshon vs NasafFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Sogdiana vs Qizilqum ZarafshonFootball · Superleague | first seen 43m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.87 · +15.4% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Trans Narva vs Paide LinnameeskondFootball · Superleague | first seen 50m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.88 · +7.4% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Gas Al ShimalFootball · Superleague | first seen 33m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.45 · +3.6% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Al Zawraa vs Naft MaysanFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.68 · +5.0% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Zakho vs DiyalaFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.82 · +4.0% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Dinamo Samarqand vs PakhtakorFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Mlada Boleslav vs SlovackoFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.80 · −1.6% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Kocaelispor vs AmedsporFootball · Superleague | first seen 22m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Brondby vs SilkeborgFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.42 · −2.1% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| GKS Katowice vs Wisla PlockFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 5-0 | WON |
| Tammeka Tartu vs KuressaareFootball · Superleague | first seen 50m before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Shanghai Port vs Qingdao ManateeFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.30 · 0.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Artis Brno vs Sparta PragueFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.37 · +1.5% CLV | 0-4 | WON |
| Kosice vs Slovan BratislavaFootball · Superleague | first seen 27m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.95 · +2.6% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Maribor vs BravoFootball · Superleague | first seen 7m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.65 · +6.5% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Alanyaspor vs BesiktasFootball · Superleague | first seen 22m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.90 · +11.8% CLV | 1-0 | LOST |
| Vojvodina Novi Sad vs Zeleznicar PancevoFootball · Superleague | first seen 6m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Goztepe vs GenclerbirligiFootball · Superleague | first seen 22m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla KrakowFootball · Superleague | first seen 7m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.40 · +14.3% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Radnik Surdulica vs Novi PazarFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Sheriff Tiraspol vs Politehnica UTMFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 4-0 | WON |
| Zilina vs KomarnoFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.73 · +0.6% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.