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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3912

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3913

3912 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.6%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−208.9u

over 3912u staked

Yield

−5.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%72455.2%52%–59%52%–59%−0.7pp
60–70%avg claim 66%148062.4%60%–65%60%–65%−3.8pp
70–80%avg claim 75%149470.5%68%–73%68%–73%−4.4pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20070.5%64%–76%64%–76%−9.9pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

809

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3912

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance198668.5%−84.8u
Match winner192760.5%−124.1u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League72967.2%−20.6u
Superleague32960.8%−41.4u
League 132067.5%−9.1u
MLB↗MLB league page18959.8%+18.2u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210166.3%−3.6u
Serie B9661.5%−8.8u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7862.8%−6.1u
Championship6965.2%−4.6u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5461.1%−5.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3913 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Servette vs Grasshoppers Zurich

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.55 · +4.7% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 5h before

Spartak Trnava vs Dukla Banska Bystrica

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.28 · −3.8% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-08-08 · first seen 5h before

Celje vs Olimpija Ljubljana

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.05 · −12.8% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-08 · first seen 4h before

Korona Kielce vs Legia Warsaw

Football · Superleague

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close
2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.55 · +13.3% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 4h before

Mlada Boleslav vs Sparta Prague

Football · Superleague

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.78 · −8.7% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-08 · first seen 4h before

Radnichki Kragujevac vs Zemun

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.33 · −2.9% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-08-08 · first seen 4h before

Real Sireti vs Balti

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 2.60 · +46.9% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 3h before

Jaro vs VPS Vaasa

Football · Superleague

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-3

2026-08-08 · first seen 2h before

Ruzomberok vs Zeleziarne Podbrezova

Football · Superleague

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
2.65+16533/201.65+1.65-0.61from 2.50 · −5.7% CLV
Score
1-4

2026-08-08 · first seen 2h before

IK Start vs Fredrikstad

Football · Superleague

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 2h before

Lausanne Sports vs Young Boys

Football · Superleague

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.92 · +16.4% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-08-08 · first seen 2h before

Politehnica UTM vs Milsami

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
Feed close
3.30+23023/102.30+2.30-0.43from 2.60 · −21.2% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 1h before

Teplice vs Viktoria Plzen

Football · Superleague

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
5-5

2026-08-08 · first seen 1h before

Viking vs Sarpsborg 08

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.38 · +2.2% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

Radomiak Radom vs Gornik Zabrze

Football · Superleague

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.45 · −3.9% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-08-08 · first seen 32m before

Yunnan Yukun vs Chengdu Rongcheng

Football · Superleague

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-08 · first seen 4h before

Valerenga vs Bodo/Glimt

Football · Superleague

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-08 · first seen 4h before

Gimcheon Sangmu vs FC Seoul

Football · Superleague

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-08 · first seen 3h before

Anyang vs Daejeon Citizen

Football · Superleague

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-08 · first seen 3h before

Pohang Steelers vs Ulsan Hyundai

Football · Superleague

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-08 · first seen 3h before

Bucheon 1995 vs FC Gwangju

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.90 · +2.7% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-08-08 · first seen 3h before

Qingdao Manatee vs Shanghai Shenhua

Football · Superleague

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 3h before

Wisla Krakow vs Wisla Plock

Football · Superleague

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-07 · first seen 16m before

Sonderjyske vs Viborg

Football · Superleague

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-07 · first seen 3h before

Zbrojovka Brno vs Slovan Liberec

Football · Superleague

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-07 · first seen 3h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Servette vs Grasshoppers ZurichFootball · Superleague2026-08-08first seen 5h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.55 · +4.7% CLV2-1WON
Spartak Trnava vs Dukla Banska BystricaFootball · Superleague2026-08-08first seen 5h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.28 · −3.8% CLV3-0WON
Celje vs Olimpija LjubljanaFootball · Superleague2026-08-08first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.05 · −12.8% CLV1-0WON
Korona Kielce vs Legia WarsawFootball · Superleague2026-08-08first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.55 · +13.3% CLV1-1LOST
Mlada Boleslav vs Sparta PragueFootball · Superleague2026-08-08first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.78 · −8.7% CLV2-0LOST
Radnichki Kragujevac vs ZemunFootball · Superleague2026-08-08first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.33 · −2.9% CLV3-0WON
Real Sireti vs BaltiFootball · Superleague2026-08-08first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 2.60 · +46.9% CLV1-1LOST
Jaro vs VPS VaasaFootball · Superleague2026-08-08first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—1-3WON
Ruzomberok vs Zeleziarne PodbrezovaFootball · Superleague2026-08-08first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived2.65+16533/201.65+1.65-0.61from 2.50 · −5.7% CLV1-4WON
IK Start vs FredrikstadFootball · Superleague2026-08-08first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—0-1WON
Lausanne Sports vs Young BoysFootball · Superleague2026-08-08first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.92 · +16.4% CLV2-2LOST
Politehnica UTM vs MilsamiFootball · Superleague2026-08-08first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived3.30+23023/102.30+2.30-0.43from 2.60 · −21.2% CLV1-1LOST
Teplice vs Viktoria PlzenFootball · Superleague2026-08-08first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—5-5WON
Viking vs Sarpsborg 08Football · Superleague2026-08-08first seen 30m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.38 · +2.2% CLV2-1WON
Radomiak Radom vs Gornik ZabrzeFootball · Superleague2026-08-08first seen 32m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.45 · −3.9% CLV1-3WON
Yunnan Yukun vs Chengdu RongchengFootball · Superleague2026-08-08first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—1-0LOST
Valerenga vs Bodo/GlimtFootball · Superleague2026-08-08first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV1-2WON
Gimcheon Sangmu vs FC SeoulFootball · Superleague2026-08-08first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—0-0WON
Anyang vs Daejeon CitizenFootball · Superleague2026-08-08first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—1-2LOST
Pohang Steelers vs Ulsan HyundaiFootball · Superleague2026-08-08first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—0-2WON
Bucheon 1995 vs FC GwangjuFootball · Superleague2026-08-08first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.90 · +2.7% CLV0-0LOST
Qingdao Manatee vs Shanghai ShenhuaFootball · Superleague2026-08-08first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—0-1WON
Wisla Krakow vs Wisla PlockFootball · Superleague2026-08-07first seen 16m before1XDouble Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—2-1WON
Sonderjyske vs ViborgFootball · Superleague2026-08-07first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—0-0WON
Zbrojovka Brno vs Slovan LiberecFootball · Superleague2026-08-07first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—0-1LOST

301–325 of 329· 200 won / 129 lost · −41.4u · −12.6% yield · of 3913 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.