Llandudno Town vs Holywell Town
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
- Feed close
- 1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.35 · +9.8% CLV
- Score
- 3-1
· first seen 32m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3929
3928 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−211.2u
over 3928u staked
Yield
−5.4%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L2
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 732 | 55.1%51%–59% | −0.9pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1483 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1499 | 70.6%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
825
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.5u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 92 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1991 | 68.6% | −84.2u |
| Match winner | 1938 | 60.4% | −127.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 731 | 67.2% | −21.2u |
| Superleague | 331 | 60.7% | −41.9u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 102 | 65.7% | −4.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3929 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 32m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 17m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 9m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 6h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 55m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llandudno Town vs Holywell TownFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.35 · +9.8% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Airbus UK vs AmmanfordFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Balzan vs MarsaxlokkFootball · Premier League | first seen 17m before | X2Double Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Dinamo Zagreb vs RudesFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.10-10001/100.10-10.00+0.10from 1.11 · +0.9% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Al-Ettifaq vs Al-RiyadhFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 2.00 · +5.3% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
| Telstar vs Sparta RotterdamFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1-3 | LOST |
| Stellenbosch vs Marumo GallantsFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Aluminium ArakFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Dnepr Mogilev vs Belschina BobruiskFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.60 · −5.9% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Turan Tovuz vs QabalaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Al Nasr Dubai vs Al Ittihad KalbaFootball · Premier League | first seen 9m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.60 · −5.9% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs Slavia MozyrFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa ReysolFootball · Premier League | first seen 6h before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Al-Shabab Riyadh vs Al-Qadsiah El-KhobarFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Al-Diriyah vs Al-Ahli JeddahFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.38 · −13.8% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Abha vs Al-HazemFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Urartu vs SyuniqFootball · Premier League | first seen 55m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.38 · −3.5% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Durban City vs Golden ArrowsFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| AmaZulu vs Orlando PiratesFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.55 · +2.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Kaizer Chiefs vs Sekhukhune UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92from 1.82 · −5.2% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Chippa United vs Richards BayFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Polokwane City vs StellenboschFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 3-3 | WON |
| Marumo Gallants vs Kruger UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| TS Galaxy vs Mamelodi SundownsFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.53 · +3.4% CLV | 2-3 | WON |
| Union Santa Fe vs Central Cordoba SdEFootball · Premier League | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.70 · 0.0% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
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