Limavady United vs Carrick Rangers
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-2
· first seen 55m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3924
3923 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−210.3u
over 3923u staked
Yield
−5.4%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 730 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1482 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1497 | 70.5%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
820
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 92 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1989 | 68.5% | −85.0u |
| Match winner | 1935 | 60.4% | −125.3u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 730 | 67.1% | −21.6u |
| Superleague | 331 | 60.7% | −41.9u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 102 | 65.7% | −4.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3924 picks with a captured kickoff.
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Football · Premier League
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· first seen 32m before
Football · Premier League
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· first seen 32m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Limavady United vs Carrick RangersFootball · Premier League | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Union Saint-Gilloise vs Zulte WaregemFootball · Premier League | first seen 55m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.35 · −6.9% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Linfield vs GlentoranFootball · Premier League | first seen 55m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Kaizer Chiefs vs Mamelodi SundownsFootball · Premier League | first seen 54m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Cerro Montevideo vs Albion MontevideoFootball · Premier League | first seen 54m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Zhenys vs ZhetysuFootball · Premier League | first seen 54m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.05 · −10.9% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Mjolby vs SiriusFootball · Premier League | first seen 54m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.00 · −9.1% CLV | 4-3 | LOST |
| Kudrovka vs Obolon KievFootball · Premier League | first seen 24m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Barry Town vs Cardiff MetropolitanFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| JEF United vs Machida ZelviaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.87 · +11.3% CLV | 0-4 | WON |
| Urawa Red Diamonds vs Sanfrecce HiroshimaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-4 | WON |
| Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo OsakaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 3-0 | LOST |
| Kryvbas vs Levy Bereg KievFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Vissel Kobe vs TokyoFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.15 · −4.4% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Kawasaki Frontale vs Kyoto SangaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Fagiano Okayama vs V-Varen NagasakiFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Shimizu S-Pulse vs Yokohama F-MarinosFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Kashima Antlers vs Nagoya GrampusFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.78 · −3.8% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Mito HollyHock vs Gamba OsakaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Atletico Grau vs Comerciantes UnidosFootball · Premier League | first seen 30m before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Sporting Lisbon vs Vitoria GuimaraesFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.23 · −10.2% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Connahs Quay vs TrefelinFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.27 · −5.9% CLV | 6-0 | WON |
| Cercle Brugge vs Sint-TruidenseFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 3-3 | WON |
| Cambrian United vs Flint Town UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Llandudno Town vs Holywell TownFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.35 · +9.8% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
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