Persepolis Tehran vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
- Feed close
- 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.30 · 0.0% CLV
- Score
- 4-1
· first seen 2h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3918
3917 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−208.9u
over 3917u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W2
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 728 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1480 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1495 | 70.6%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
814
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 92 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1987 | 68.5% | −84.4u |
| Match winner | 1931 | 60.5% | −124.5u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 729 | 67.2% | −20.6u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3918 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 27m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 23m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 8m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 8m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 24m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 36m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Persepolis Tehran vs Esteghlal KhuzestanFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.30 · 0.0% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Aluminium Arak vs Chador MaluFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Astana vs OkzhetpesFootball · Premier League | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.65 · +7.8% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Avispa Fukuoka vs Vissel KobeFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| River Plate vs Argentinos JuniorsFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 2-0 | LOST |
| 07 Vestur vs B-36 TorshavnFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Kaisar vs AktobeFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo GallantsFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.25 · 0.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Haverfordwest vs PenybontFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.20 · −4.3% CLV | 0-3 | WON |
| The New Saints vs Briton FerryFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.08-12502/250.08-12.50+0.08from 1.18 · +9.3% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| KR Reykjavik vs BreidablikFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.52 · −1.9% CLV | 3-3 | LOST |
| Crusaders vs Ballymena UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 55m before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Celik Zenica vs Siroki BrijegFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Vikingur Gota vs B-68 ToftirFootball · Premier League | first seen 27m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19from 1.27 · +6.7% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza vs Talleres CordobaFootball · Premier League | first seen 23m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| FC Siauliai vs PanevezysFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.25 · +12.5% CLV | 1-0 | LOST |
| Nassaji Mazandaran vs Esteghlal TehranFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Fram Reykjavik vs StjarnanFootball · Premier League | first seen 8m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.88 · +4.4% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Casa Pia vs BenficaFootball · Premier League | first seen 8m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15from 1.20 · +4.3% CLV | 0-7 | WON |
| Sliema Wanderers vs HiberniansFootball · Premier League | first seen 24m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Sporting Cristal vs Sport HuancayoFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 4-1 | WON |
| Racing Montevideo vs Nacional MontevideoFootball · Premier League | first seen 36m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 3.10+21021/102.10+2.10-0.48from 3.15 · +1.6% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Paykan vs Gol GoharFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Sekhukhune United vs Polokwane CityFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.35 · +2.2% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Esteghlal Tehran vs Mes Shahr BabakFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.25 · 0.0% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
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