Tecnico Universitario vs Guayaquil City
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 2-3
· first seen 2h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3918
3917 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−208.9u
over 3917u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W2
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 728 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1480 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1495 | 70.6%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
814
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 92 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1987 | 68.5% | −84.4u |
| Match winner | 1931 | 60.5% | −124.5u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 729 | 67.2% | −20.6u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3918 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 33m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 42m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 42m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 42m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 12m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 57m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tecnico Universitario vs Guayaquil CityFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 2-3 | WON |
| Cavalry vs Atletico OttawaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.55 · +4.7% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Al Masry vs SmouhaFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Sporting Lisbon vs AlvercaFootball · Premier League | first seen 33m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.20 · 0.0% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Gimnasia La Plata vs Gimnasia y Esgrima MendozaFootball · Premier League | first seen 3m before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-3 | WON |
| Zabbar St. Patrick vs Birzebbuga Saint PetersFootball · Premier League | first seen 3m before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Siroki Brijeg vs Radnik BijeljinaFootball · Premier League | first seen 42m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Royal Antwerp vs GenkFootball · Premier League | first seen 42m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 4-4 | WON |
| Velez Mostar vs Sloga DobojFootball · Premier League | first seen 42m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| UTC Cajamarca vs Comerciantes UnidosFootball · Premier League | first seen 12m before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Cerro Largo vs Defensor SportingFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 3.00+2002/12.00+2.00-0.50from 2.95 · −1.7% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Ramat GanFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.37 · +1.5% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Slaven Belupo vs HNK GoricaFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Ghazl El Mahalla vs PyramidsFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.48 · +2.1% CLV | 0-3 | WON |
| Sparta Rotterdam vs UtrechtFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 3-3 | WON |
| Birkirkara vs Hamrun SpartansFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Charleroi vs MechelenFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.68 · +3.1% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Naftan Novopolotsk vs Neman GrodnoFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.40 · 0.0% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Zulte Waregem vs SK BeverenFootball · Premier League | first seen 50m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 4-0 | WON |
| Central Espanol vs Juventud Las PiedrasFootball · Premier League | first seen 50m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Bulawayo Chiefs vs CAPS UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 57m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Yokohama F-Marinos vs Vissel KobeFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Kyoto Sanga vs Mito HollyHockFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 2.12+11228/251.12+1.12-0.89from 2.07 · −2.4% CLV | 1-3 | LOST |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kawasaki FrontaleFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.60 · +6.7% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba OsakaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.