Stjarnan vs Thor Akureyri
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
- Feed close
- 1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.40 · +1.4% CLV
- Score
- 4-2
· first seen 3h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3917
3916 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−209.2u
over 3916u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W2
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 728 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1480 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1494 | 70.5%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
813
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1986 | 68.5% | −84.8u |
| Match winner | 1931 | 60.5% | −124.5u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 729 | 67.2% | −20.6u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3917 picks with a captured kickoff.
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1XDouble Chance
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X2Double Chance
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Football · Premier League
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X2Double Chance
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1XDouble Chance
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1XDouble Chance
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1XDouble Chance
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X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
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1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stjarnan vs Thor AkureyriFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.40 · +1.4% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
| Al Ahly Cairo vs ENPPIFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.38 · +2.2% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Keflavik vs IB VestmannaeyjarFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 1.97 · +2.1% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Zalgiris Vilnius vs Dziugas TelsiaiFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.60 · +16.8% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Gzira United vs VallettaFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.67 · +1.2% CLV | 0-3 | WON |
| Cambuur vs FeyenoordFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.30 · +8.3% CLV | 2-5 | WON |
| Hammarby vs GAISFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.35 · −3.6% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Brommapojkarna vs DegerforsFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Danubio vs Racing MontevideoFootball · Premier League | first seen 51m before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| HB Torshavn vs 07 VesturFootball · Premier League | first seen 51m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.35 · +3.8% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Dynamos vs Chicken InnFootball · Premier League | first seen 49m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98from 1.98 · 0.0% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Baranovichi vs Dynamo BrestFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.80 · +9.1% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Machida Zelvia vs Urawa Red DiamondsFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.82 · −1.6% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Go Ahead Eagles vs ADO Den HaagFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.70 · +3.0% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Atletico Tucuman vs Instituto CordobaFootball · Premier League | first seen 3m before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Halifax Wanderers vs VancouverFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Fortuna Sittard vs AZ AlkmaarFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.60 · +3.2% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Ajman vs Hatta DubaiFootball · Premier League | first seen 50m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 4-3 | WON |
| Slavia Mozyr vs GomelFootball · Premier League | first seen 57m before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Cacahuatique vs Municipal LimenoFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 1-3 | LOST |
| Heerenveen vs PEC ZwolleFootball · Premier League | first seen 3m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.55 · +6.9% CLV | 0-2 | LOST |
| Al-Ahli Jeddah vs AbhaFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19from 1.20 · +0.8% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Maritimo vs Academico ViseuFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Deportivo Maldonado vs Penarol MontevideoFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Independiente vs Independiente RivadaviaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
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