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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3912

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3913

3912 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.6%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−208.9u

over 3912u staked

Yield

−5.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%72455.2%52%–59%52%–59%−0.7pp
60–70%avg claim 66%148062.4%60%–65%60%–65%−3.8pp
70–80%avg claim 75%149470.5%68%–73%68%–73%−4.4pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20070.5%64%–76%64%–76%−9.9pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

809

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3912

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance198668.5%−84.8u
Match winner192760.5%−124.1u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League72967.2%−20.6u
Superleague32960.8%−41.4u
League 132067.5%−9.1u
MLB↗MLB league page18959.8%+18.2u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210166.3%−3.6u
Serie B9661.5%−8.8u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7862.8%−6.1u
Championship6965.2%−4.6u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5461.1%−5.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3913 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Genk vs SK Beveren

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.48 · −4.5% CLV
Score
4-0

2026-08-28 · first seen 47m before

Connahs Quay vs Cambrian United

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.45 · −6.5% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-08-28 · first seen 47m before

Celik Zenica vs Velez Mostar

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-0

2026-08-28 · first seen 2m before

Al-Nassr Riyadh vs Al-Taawoun Buraydah

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.19 · −3.3% CLV
Score
0:0

2026-08-28 · first seen 2m before

Al- Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Hilal SFC

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.22 · −3.9% CLV
Score
4:3

2026-08-28 · first seen 2m before

Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.55 · +3.3% CLV
Score
2:3

2026-08-28 · first seen 2m before

Vikingur Gota vs HB Torshavn

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-3

2026-08-28 · first seen 5h before

Foolad Khuzestan vs Esteghlal Tehran

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-28 · first seen 5h before

Al Ittihad Alexandria vs Ceramika Cleopatra

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-3

2026-08-28 · first seen 5h before

Gomel vs Belschina Bobruisk

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.28 · −3.8% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-28 · first seen 5h before

Hibernians vs Zabbar St. Patrick

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-28 · first seen 4h before

Al Wasl Dubai vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
2.12+11228/251.12+1.12-0.89from 1.93 · −9.0% CLV
Score
0:3

2026-08-28 · first seen 4h before

Sepahan vs Gol Gohar

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-28 · first seen 4h before

Al-Fayha vs Abha

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.95 · +15.7% CLV
Score
1:1

2026-08-28 · first seen 4h before

Al-Riyadh vs Neom

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.93 · +5.5% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-08-28 · first seen 3h before

Nassaji Mazandaran vs Shams Azar

Football · Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-28 · first seen 3h before

Aluminium Arak vs Kheybar Khorramabad

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-08-28 · first seen 3h before

Paykan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-28 · first seen 3h before

Vitebsk vs Naftan Novopolotsk

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.42 · −2.1% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-28 · first seen 3h before

ENPPI vs Wadi Degla

Football · Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-3

2026-08-28 · first seen 2h before

Al Mokawloon vs Al Masry

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-3

2026-08-27 · first seen 6h before

Sitra vs Malkiya

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-0

2026-08-27 · first seen 5h before

Al-Diriyah vs Al-Kholood

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-26 · first seen 4h before

Petrojet vs Talaa El Geish

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-3

2026-08-26 · first seen 3h before

Polokwane City vs Milford

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-26 · first seen 4h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Genk vs SK BeverenFootball · Premier League2026-08-28first seen 47m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.48 · −4.5% CLV4-0WON
Connahs Quay vs Cambrian UnitedFootball · Premier League2026-08-28first seen 47m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.45 · −6.5% CLV3-0WON
Celik Zenica vs Velez MostarFootball · Premier League2026-08-28first seen 2m before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—3-0WON
Al-Nassr Riyadh vs Al-Taawoun BuraydahFootball · Premier League2026-08-28first seen 2m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.19 · −3.3% CLV0:0LOST
Al- Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Hilal SFCFootball · Premier League2026-08-28first seen 2m beforeX2Double Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.22 · −3.9% CLV4:3WON
Groningen vs Fortuna SittardFootball · Premier League2026-08-28first seen 2m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.55 · +3.3% CLV2:3LOST
Vikingur Gota vs HB TorshavnFootball · Premier League2026-08-28first seen 5h beforeX2Double Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—1-3WON
Foolad Khuzestan vs Esteghlal TehranFootball · Premier League2026-08-28first seen 5h beforeX2Double Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—0-0WON
Al Ittihad Alexandria vs Ceramika CleopatraFootball · Premier League2026-08-28first seen 5h beforeX2Double Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—1-3WON
Gomel vs Belschina BobruiskFootball · Premier League2026-08-28first seen 5h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.28 · −3.8% CLV1-0WON
Hibernians vs Zabbar St. PatrickFootball · Premier League2026-08-28first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—1-1WON
Al Wasl Dubai vs Shabab Al Ahli DubaiFootball · Premier League2026-08-28first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived2.12+11228/251.12+1.12-0.89from 1.93 · −9.0% CLV0:3WON
Sepahan vs Gol GoharFootball · Premier League2026-08-28first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—2-0WON
Al-Fayha vs AbhaFootball · Premier League2026-08-28first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.95 · +15.7% CLV1:1LOST
Al-Riyadh vs NeomFootball · Premier League2026-08-28first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.93 · +5.5% CLV0-2WON
Nassaji Mazandaran vs Shams AzarFootball · Premier League2026-08-28first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—0-2LOST
Aluminium Arak vs Kheybar KhorramabadFootball · Premier League2026-08-28first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—2-2WON
Paykan vs Esteghlal KhuzestanFootball · Premier League2026-08-28first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—0-0WON
Vitebsk vs Naftan NovopolotskFootball · Premier League2026-08-28first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.42 · −2.1% CLV2-0WON
ENPPI vs Wadi DeglaFootball · Premier League2026-08-28first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—1-3LOST
Al Mokawloon vs Al MasryFootball · Premier League2026-08-27first seen 6h beforeX2Double Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—2-3WON
Sitra vs MalkiyaFootball · Premier League2026-08-27first seen 5h before1XDouble Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—3-0WON
Al-Diriyah vs Al-KholoodFootball · Premier League2026-08-26first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—1-1WON
Petrojet vs Talaa El GeishFootball · Premier League2026-08-26first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—2-3WON
Polokwane City vs MilfordFootball · Premier League2026-08-26first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—0-0WON

276–300 of 729· 490 won / 239 lost · −20.6u · −2.8% yield · of 3913 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.