Igdir Belediyespor vs Manisa
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 2-4
· first seen 2h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3913
3912 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−208.9u
over 3912u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 724 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1480 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1494 | 70.5%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
809
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1986 | 68.5% | −84.8u |
| Match winner | 1927 | 60.5% | −124.1u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 729 | 67.2% | −20.6u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3913 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 47m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 47m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 47m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 16m before
Football · League 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 16m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 16m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 45m before
Football · League 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 45m before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 45m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 45m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 45m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 45m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 13m before
Football · League 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 13m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 13m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 14m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 32m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igdir Belediyespor vs ManisaFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 2-4 | LOST |
| Arys vs EkibastuzFootball · League 1 | first seen 2m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Reading vs Mansfield TownFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 5-0 | LOST |
| Wigan Athletic vs Milton Keynes DonsFootball · League 1 | first seen 47m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 2.65+16533/201.65+1.65-0.61from 2.80 · +5.7% CLV | 3-1 | LOST |
| Burton Albion vs AFC WimbledonFootball · League 1 | first seen 47m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 4-1 | WON |
| Barnsley vs BlackpoolFootball · League 1 | first seen 47m before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Luton Town vs Stockport CountyFootball · League 1 | first seen 47m before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 2-0 | LOST |
| Sivasspor vs Mardin BBFootball · League 1 | first seen 16m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 3.05+20541/202.05+2.05-0.49from 2.90 · −4.9% CLV | 2-2 | WON |
| Slavia Sofia vs Levski SofiaFootball · League 1 | first seen 16m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV | 1:1 | LOST |
| Fatih Karagumruk vs KayserisporFootball · League 1 | first seen 16m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Vanspor vs Batman PetrolsporFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Huddersfield vs Oxford UnitedFootball · League 1 | first seen 45m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Wycombe Wanderers vs Sheffield WednesdayFootball · League 1 | first seen 45m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 2.70+17017/101.70+1.70-0.59from 2.40 · −11.1% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Bradford City vs Cambridge UnitedFootball · League 1 | first seen 45m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 4.30 · +126.3% CLV | 3:3 | LOST |
| Peterborough United vs StevenageFootball · League 1 | first seen 45m before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Doncaster Rovers vs Notts CountyFootball · League 1 | first seen 45m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Bromley vs Leyton OrientFootball · League 1 | first seen 45m before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.55 · 0.0% CLV | 0-5 | WON |
| Teleoptik vs VozdovacFootball · League 1 | first seen 13m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Boluspor vs Keciorengucu AnkaraFootball · League 1 | first seen 13m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.48 · +4.2% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Helsingborg vs OrebroFootball · League 1 | first seen 13m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Umraniyespor vs MuglasporFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0:1 | LOST |
| Arda Kardzhali vs Botev VratsaFootball · League 1 | first seen 14m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.52 · −1.9% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Rapid Bucuresti vs Universitatea CraiovaFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1:1 | WON |
| Backa Topola vs Smederevo 1924Football · League 1 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Manisa vs BodrumsporFootball · League 1 | first seen 32m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
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