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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3912

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3913

3912 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.6%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−208.9u

over 3912u staked

Yield

−5.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%72455.2%52%–59%52%–59%−0.7pp
60–70%avg claim 66%148062.4%60%–65%60%–65%−3.8pp
70–80%avg claim 75%149470.5%68%–73%68%–73%−4.4pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20070.5%64%–76%64%–76%−9.9pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

809

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3912

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance198668.5%−84.8u
Match winner192760.5%−124.1u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League72967.2%−20.6u
Superleague32960.8%−41.4u
League 132067.5%−9.1u
MLB↗MLB league page18959.8%+18.2u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210166.3%−3.6u
Serie B9661.5%−8.8u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7862.8%−6.1u
Championship6965.2%−4.6u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5461.1%−5.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3913 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Lokeren Temse vs Eupen

Football · Division 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-21 · first seen 4h before

Real Frontera vs Deportivo Lara

Football · Division 2

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 36m before

De Treffers vs GVVV Veenendaal

Football · Division 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.38 · −4.8% CLV
Score
5-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Cumbaya vs Deportivo Santo Domingo

Football · Division 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-3

2026-08-13 · first seen 48m before

Deportivo Capiata vs Sol de America

Football · Division 2

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-4

2026-08-08 · first seen 47m before

3 de Noviembre vs Atletico Tembetary

Football · Division 2

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-0

2026-08-17 · first seen 23m before

Hoek vs Koninklijke

Football · Division 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.55 · +1.3% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 24m before

22 de Julio vs Cuenca Ecuador

Football · Division 2

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-14 · first seen 30m before

Leixoes vs Tondela

Football · Division 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

Resistencia vs Deportivo Capiata

Football · Division 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.40 · −2.0% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 58m before

Vizela vs Leiria

Football · Division 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 47m before

Porto 2 vs Farense

Football · Division 2

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-3

2026-08-16 · first seen 3h before

Amarante vs Lusitania Lourosa

Football · Division 2

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 58m before

Deportivo Santani vs Deportivo Carapegua

Football · Division 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.62 · −10.0% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 58m before

Portimonense vs Vizela

Football · Division 2

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 2h before

Gualaceo vs Atletico Rojiblanco

Football · Division 2

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
5-4

2026-08-15 · first seen 1h before

Excelsior Virton vs Lierse Kempenzonen

Football · Division 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 4h before

Union Minas vs Ayacucho

Football · Division 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 2.07 · +33.5% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 4h before

Torreense vs Penafiel

Football · Division 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 3h before

Sporting 2 Lisbon vs Chaves

Football · Division 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 1h before

Guarani Paraguari vs Sol de America

Football · Division 2

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 54m before

Quick Boys vs RKAV Volendam

Football · Division 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.37 · −2.1% CLV
Score
5-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 54m before

Spakenburg vs Katwijk

Football · Division 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 54m before

Leiria vs Benfica 2

Football · Division 2

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 54m before

Kozakken Boys vs IJsselmeervogels

Football · Division 2

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 54m before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Lokeren Temse vs EupenFootball · Division 22026-08-21first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—2-1WON
Real Frontera vs Deportivo LaraFootball · Division 22026-08-15first seen 36m beforeX2Double Chance1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived—0-2LOST
De Treffers vs GVVV VeenendaalFootball · Division 22026-08-15first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.38 · −4.8% CLV5-1WON
Cumbaya vs Deportivo Santo DomingoFootball · Division 22026-08-13first seen 48m before1XDouble Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—3-3WON
Deportivo Capiata vs Sol de AmericaFootball · Division 22026-08-08first seen 47m before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—1-4LOST
3 de Noviembre vs Atletico TembetaryFootball · Division 22026-08-17first seen 23m beforeX2Double Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—3-0LOST
Hoek vs KoninklijkeFootball · Division 22026-08-15first seen 24m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.55 · +1.3% CLV3-1WON
22 de Julio vs Cuenca EcuadorFootball · Division 22026-08-14first seen 30m beforeX2Double Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—0-1WON
Leixoes vs TondelaFootball · Division 22026-08-16first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—1-0WON
Resistencia vs Deportivo CapiataFootball · Division 22026-08-16first seen 58m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.40 · −2.0% CLV1-0WON
Vizela vs LeiriaFootball · Division 22026-08-09first seen 47m before1XDouble Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—1-0WON
Porto 2 vs FarenseFootball · Division 22026-08-16first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—1-3WON
Amarante vs Lusitania LourosaFootball · Division 22026-08-16first seen 58m before1XDouble Chance1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived—0-1LOST
Deportivo Santani vs Deportivo CarapeguaFootball · Division 22026-08-16first seen 58m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.62 · −10.0% CLV2-0WON
Portimonense vs VizelaFootball · Division 22026-08-16first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—2-0LOST
Gualaceo vs Atletico RojiblancoFootball · Division 22026-08-15first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—5-4LOST
Excelsior Virton vs Lierse KempenzonenFootball · Division 22026-08-15first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—3-0WON
Union Minas vs AyacuchoFootball · Division 22026-08-15first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 2.07 · +33.5% CLV3-1WON
Torreense vs PenafielFootball · Division 22026-08-15first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—2-2WON
Sporting 2 Lisbon vs ChavesFootball · Division 22026-08-15first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived—1-0WON
Guarani Paraguari vs Sol de AmericaFootball · Division 22026-08-15first seen 54m beforeX2Double Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—1-1WON
Quick Boys vs RKAV VolendamFootball · Division 22026-08-15first seen 54m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.37 · −2.1% CLV5-0WON
Spakenburg vs KatwijkFootball · Division 22026-08-15first seen 54m before1XDouble Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—1-0WON
Leiria vs Benfica 2Football · Division 22026-08-15first seen 54m before1XDouble Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—1-2LOST
Kozakken Boys vs IJsselmeervogelsFootball · Division 22026-08-15first seen 54m before1XDouble Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—1-2LOST

51–75 of 101· 67 won / 34 lost · −3.6u · −3.6% yield · of 3913 total

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