Raufoss vs Asane
Football · Division 1
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-2
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3913
3912 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−208.9u
over 3912u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 724 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1480 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1494 | 70.5%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
809
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1986 | 68.5% | −84.8u |
| Match winner | 1927 | 60.5% | −124.1u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 729 | 67.2% | −20.6u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3913 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Division 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Division 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Division 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Division 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Division 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Division 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Division 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Division 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · Division 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 31m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raufoss vs AsaneFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Egersunds vs StabaekFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 0-4 | WON |
| FC Volendam vs OssFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.33 · −7.0% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Lyn vs OddFootball · Division 1 | first seen 55m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 5-1 | LOST |
| NAC Breda vs VVV-VenloFootball · Division 1 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.42 · +7.6% CLV | 0-2 | LOST |
| Waalwijk vs DordrechtFootball · Division 1 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.72 · −1.7% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Heracles Almelo vs Den BoschFootball · Division 1 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.47 · +1.4% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| HK Kopavogur vs Leiknir ReykjavikFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.45 · +5.8% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Grotta vs NjardvikFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.90+19019/101.90+1.90-0.53from 3.35 · +15.5% CLV | 1-4 | LOST |
| Fylkir Reykjavik vs AftureldingFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.55 · +10.9% CLV | 3-3 | LOST |
| Grindavik vs Throttur ReykjavikFootball · Division 1 | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.55 · −3.1% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| IF Vestri vs IR ReykjavikFootball · Division 1 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Jong AZ Alkmaar vs FC EindhovenFootball · Division 1 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Jong PSV Eindhoven vs FC VolendamFootball · Division 1 | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.97-10397/1000.97-1.03+0.97from 1.85 · −6.1% CLV | 2-3 | WON |
| Moss vs OddFootball · Division 1 | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 2.08 · +6.7% CLV | 3-3 | LOST |
| Volsungur vs HK KopavogurFootball · Division 1 | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.53 · −5.6% CLV | 3-2 | LOST |
| Sandnes Ulf vs HoddFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 3-4 | WON |
| Stromsgodset vs EgersundsFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.38 · −1.4% CLV | 0-2 | LOST |
| Helmond Sport vs De GraafschapFootball · Division 1 | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.97-10397/1000.97-1.03+0.97from 2.05 · +4.1% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Den Bosch vs Almere CityFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Grotta vs Throttur ReykjavikFootball · Division 1 | first seen 30m before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 2-3 | WON |
| Njardvik vs IF VestriFootball · Division 1 | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.47 · +6.5% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Leiknir Reykjavik vs Fylkir ReykjavikFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.48 · +9.6% CLV | 3-0 | LOST |
| Afturelding vs GrindavikFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.30 · +4.0% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Cork City vs KerryFootball · Division 1 | first seen 31m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 4-2 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.