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LMGuerra

Publishes on Blogabet · first tracked 2026-08-17

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

40

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Blogabet or with LMGuerra, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Blogabet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Published prices

Indicativen=52

Prices as published by the tipster — profit here is a return someone could have taken.

Settled

55

52 graded · 3 void

Win rate

50.0%

95% CI 37%–63%

Profit

−4.1u

over 52u staked

Yield

−7.8%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

5

Longest losing streak

4

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

−8.6u

from a +4.5u peak · bottomed 2026-10-24

Performance charts

Computed from published prices only, level stakes.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 52

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends inside the shaded band (±13.2u) — the range a bettor with no edge lands in 95% of the time, so this record is not yet distinguishable from chance.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Asian handicap3651.4%−1.8u
Over/Under1345.5%−1.8u
Asian over under6—−0.5u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Primera Division. Season 26/27↗Primera Division. Season 26/27 league page1550.0%−1.1u
Spa. Segunda1145.5%−1.8u
League phase9—+1.1u
Segunda Division5—−1.4u
Corners↗Corners league page3—−1.1u
Spa. Primera3—−1.1u
Champions L2—−0.0u
Europa League2—−0.1u
Division 11—+0.8u
Division 21——
Division A. Group stage↗Division A. Group stage league page1—−1.0u
Ligue 1. Season 26/27↗Ligue 1. Season 26/27 league page1—+0.9u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 10h before kickoff — median over 53 picks with a captured kickoff.

FC Eindhoven vs De Graafschap

Division 1

Won

Full Event Over 2.25O/U

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-03 · tipped 7d 7h before

England vs Spain

Division A. Group stage

Lost

Full Event Home +0.50AH

Tipster odds
1.76-13219/250.76-1.32+0.76
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-26* · tipped 7h before

Celta Vigo (Corners) vs Racing Santander (Corners)

Corners

Lost

Full Event Over 9.5O/U

Tipster odds
1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-19* · tipped 3h before

Sevilla vs Barcelona

Primera Division. Season 26/27

Won

Full Event Away -1.50AH

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-19* · tipped 1h before

Cadiz vs Girona

Segunda Division

Won

Full Event Away -0.25AH

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-19* · tipped 1h before

Sabadell vs Real Oviedo

Spa. Segunda

Lost

Full Event Away +0.25AH

Tipster odds
2.02+10251/501.02+1.02-0.98
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-20* · tipped 2h before

Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth

Europa League

Won

Full Event Over 2.75O/U

Tipster odds
1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-17* · tipped 10h before

Malaga (Corners) vs Villarreal (Corners)

Corners

Won

Full Event Over 9.5O/U

Tipster odds
1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-17* · tipped 1h before

Alaves vs Atletico Madrid

Primera Division. Season 26/27

Won

Full Event Under 2.5O/U

Tipster odds
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-10 · tipped 22d before

Levante vs Athletic Bilbao

Primera Division. Season 26/27

Void

Full Event Over 2.5O/U

Tipster odds
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-16* · tipped 32h before

Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla

Primera Division. Season 26/27

Lost

Full Event Home +0.00AH

Tipster odds
1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-16* · tipped 30h before

Real Valladolid vs Real Oviedo

Spa. Segunda

Won

Full Event Away +0.25AH

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-13* · tipped 2h before

Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol

Primera Division. Season 26/27

Won

Full Event Home -0.25AH

Tipster odds
1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-15* · tipped 22h before

Racing Santander vs Alaves

Primera Division. Season 26/27

Won

Full Event Home +0.00AH

Tipster odds
1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-12* · tipped 16h before

Celta Vigo vs Malaga

Spa. Primera

Lost

Full Event Home -0.75AH

Tipster odds
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-13* · tipped 39h before

FC Andorra vs Real Sociedad II

Spa. Segunda

Won

Full Event Away +1.00AH

Tipster odds
1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-12* · tipped 1h before

Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid

Primera Division. Season 26/27

Won

Full Event Over 2.75O/U

Tipster odds
1.84-11921/250.84-1.19+0.84
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-13* · tipped 32h before

Cadiz vs Las Palmas

Segunda Division

Won

Full Event Away +0.25AH

Tipster odds
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-12* · tipped 47m before

Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid

League phase

Won

Full Event Home -0.50AH

Tipster odds
1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-09* · tipped 38m before

Malaga vs Levante

Primera Division. Season 26/27

Lost

Full Event Over 2.5O/U

Tipster odds
1.99-10199/1000.99-1.01+0.99
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06* · tipped 27h before

Eldense B vs Mallorca

Spa. Segunda

Lost

Full Event Away -0.50AH

Tipster odds
2.09+109109/1001.09+1.09-0.92
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-05* · tipped 26m before

Atletico Saguntino vs Atletico Levante UD

Tercera Division

Won

Full Event Home +0.25AH

Tipster odds
1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06 · tipped 2d 7h before

Union Atletico El Vigia vs Atletico Barinas

Division 2

Void

Full Event Over 2O/U

Tipster odds
1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-02 · tipped 3d before

Osasuna vs Getafe

Primera Division. Season 26/27

Lost

Full Event Over 1.75O/U

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-31* · tipped 38m before

Le Mans vs Lens

Ligue 1. Season 26/27

Won

Full Event Home -0.50AH

Tipster odds
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-13 · tipped 15d before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
FC Eindhoven vs De GraafschapDivision 12026-10-03tipped 7d 7h beforeFull Event Over 2.25O/U1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82——WON
England vs SpainDivision A. Group stage2026-09-26*tipped 7h beforeFull Event Home +0.50AH1.76-13219/250.76-1.32+0.76——LOST
Celta Vigo (Corners) vs Racing Santander (Corners)Corners2026-09-19*tipped 3h beforeFull Event Over 9.5O/U1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88——LOST
Sevilla vs BarcelonaPrimera Division. Season 26/272026-09-19*tipped 1h beforeFull Event Away -1.50AH1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75——WON
Cadiz vs GironaSegunda Division2026-09-19*tipped 1h beforeFull Event Away -0.25AH1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79——WON
Sabadell vs Real OviedoSpa. Segunda2026-09-20*tipped 2h beforeFull Event Away +0.25AH2.02+10251/501.02+1.02-0.98——LOST
Real Sociedad vs BournemouthEuropa League2026-09-17*tipped 10h beforeFull Event Over 2.75O/U1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88——WON
Malaga (Corners) vs Villarreal (Corners)Corners2026-09-17*tipped 1h beforeFull Event Over 9.5O/U1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87——WON
Alaves vs Atletico MadridPrimera Division. Season 26/272026-10-10tipped 22d beforeFull Event Under 2.5O/U1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95——WON
Levante vs Athletic BilbaoPrimera Division. Season 26/272026-09-16*tipped 32h beforeFull Event Over 2.5O/U1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90——VOID
Deportivo La Coruna vs SevillaPrimera Division. Season 26/272026-09-16*tipped 30h beforeFull Event Home +0.00AH1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78——LOST
Real Valladolid vs Real OviedoSpa. Segunda2026-09-13*tipped 2h beforeFull Event Away +0.25AH1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75——WON
Rayo Vallecano vs EspanyolPrimera Division. Season 26/272026-09-15*tipped 22h beforeFull Event Home -0.25AH1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98——WON
Racing Santander vs AlavesPrimera Division. Season 26/272026-09-12*tipped 16h beforeFull Event Home +0.00AH1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87——WON
Celta Vigo vs MalagaSpa. Primera2026-09-13*tipped 39h beforeFull Event Home -0.75AH1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95——LOST
FC Andorra vs Real Sociedad IISpa. Segunda2026-09-12*tipped 1h beforeFull Event Away +1.00AH1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88——WON
Real Sociedad vs Atletico MadridPrimera Division. Season 26/272026-09-13*tipped 32h beforeFull Event Over 2.75O/U1.84-11921/250.84-1.19+0.84——WON
Cadiz vs Las PalmasSegunda Division2026-09-12*tipped 47m beforeFull Event Away +0.25AH1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80——WON
Liverpool vs Atletico MadridLeague phase2026-09-09*tipped 38m beforeFull Event Home -0.50AH1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78——WON
Malaga vs LevantePrimera Division. Season 26/272026-09-06*tipped 27h beforeFull Event Over 2.5O/U1.99-10199/1000.99-1.01+0.99——LOST
Eldense B vs MallorcaSpa. Segunda2026-09-05*tipped 26m beforeFull Event Away -0.50AH2.09+109109/1001.09+1.09-0.92——LOST
Atletico Saguntino vs Atletico Levante UDTercera Division2026-09-06tipped 2d 7h beforeFull Event Home +0.25AH1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87——WON
Union Atletico El Vigia vs Atletico BarinasDivision 22026-09-02tipped 3d beforeFull Event Over 2O/U1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78——VOID
Osasuna vs GetafePrimera Division. Season 26/272026-08-31*tipped 38m beforeFull Event Over 1.75O/U1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96——LOST
Le Mans vs LensLigue 1. Season 26/272026-09-13tipped 15d beforeFull Event Home -0.50AH1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90——WON

* date as the source published it — not matched to a feed fixture.

26–50 of 55

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