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LMGuerra

Publishes on Blogabet · first tracked 2026-08-17

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

40

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Blogabet or with LMGuerra, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Blogabet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Published prices

Indicativen=52

Prices as published by the tipster — profit here is a return someone could have taken.

Settled

55

52 graded · 3 void

Win rate

50.0%

95% CI 37%–63%

Profit

−4.1u

over 52u staked

Yield

−7.8%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

5

Longest losing streak

4

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

−8.6u

from a +4.5u peak · bottomed 2026-10-24

Performance charts

Computed from published prices only, level stakes.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 52

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends inside the shaded band (±13.2u) — the range a bettor with no edge lands in 95% of the time, so this record is not yet distinguishable from chance.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Asian handicap3651.4%−1.8u
Over/Under1345.5%−1.8u
Asian over under6—−0.5u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Primera Division. Season 26/27↗Primera Division. Season 26/27 league page1550.0%−1.1u
Spa. Segunda1145.5%−1.8u
League phase9—+1.1u
Segunda Division5—−1.4u
Corners↗Corners league page3—−1.1u
Spa. Primera3—−1.1u
Champions L2—−0.0u
Europa League2—−0.1u
Division 11—+0.8u
Division 21——
Division A. Group stage↗Division A. Group stage league page1—−1.0u
Ligue 1. Season 26/27↗Ligue 1. Season 26/27 league page1—+0.9u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 10h before kickoff — median over 53 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Fenerbahce vs Slavia Prague

League phase

Lost

Full Event Home -0.75AH

Tipster odds
1.81-12381/1000.81-1.23+0.81
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-20* · tipped 22h before

Porto vs PSV

League phase

Lost

Full Event Home -1.00AH

Tipster odds
1.94-10647/500.94-1.06+0.94
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-20* · tipped 24h before

Liverpool vs Villarreal

League phase

Void

Full Event Home -1.00AH

Tipster odds
1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-20* · tipped 24h before

Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid

League phase

Lost

Full Event Away -0.25AH

Tipster odds
1.86-11643/500.86-1.16+0.86
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-20* · tipped 24h before

Feyenoord vs Como

League phase

Won

Full Event Over 3O/U

Tipster odds
1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77
Feed close
—
Score
3:2

2026-10-14* · tipped 8h before

Arsenal vs Lille

League phase

Won

Full Event Home -1.50AH

Tipster odds
1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-13* · tipped 24h before

Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United

League phase

Won

Full Event Home -0.50AH

Tipster odds
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-13* · tipped 24h before

Villarreal vs Napoli

League phase

Won

Full Event Home -0.25AH

Tipster odds
1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-13* · tipped 24h before

Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid

League phase

Won

Full Event Home -0.50AH

Tipster odds
1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-09* · tipped 38m before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Fenerbahce vs Slavia PragueLeague phase2026-10-20*tipped 22h beforeFull Event Home -0.75AH1.81-12381/1000.81-1.23+0.81——LOST
Porto vs PSVLeague phase2026-10-20*tipped 24h beforeFull Event Home -1.00AH1.94-10647/500.94-1.06+0.94——LOST
Liverpool vs VillarrealLeague phase2026-10-20*tipped 24h beforeFull Event Home -1.00AH1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87——VOID
Stuttgart vs Atletico MadridLeague phase2026-10-20*tipped 24h beforeFull Event Away -0.25AH1.86-11643/500.86-1.16+0.86——LOST
Feyenoord vs ComoLeague phase2026-10-14*tipped 8h beforeFull Event Over 3O/U1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77—3:2WON
Arsenal vs LilleLeague phase2026-10-13*tipped 24h beforeFull Event Home -1.50AH1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68——WON
Atletico Madrid vs Manchester UnitedLeague phase2026-10-13*tipped 24h beforeFull Event Home -0.50AH1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95——WON
Villarreal vs NapoliLeague phase2026-10-13*tipped 24h beforeFull Event Home -0.25AH1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89——WON
Liverpool vs Atletico MadridLeague phase2026-09-09*tipped 38m beforeFull Event Home -0.50AH1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78——WON

* date as the source published it — not matched to a feed fixture.

1–9 of 9· 5 won / 3 lost · +1.1u · +13.4% yield · of 55 total

Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.