Arouca vs Santa Clara
Premier League
AwayFull Time Result
- Tipster odds
- 2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57
- Feed close
- 2.85+18537/201.85+1.85-0.54from 2.75 · −3.5% CLV
- Score
- 1-2
· tipped 2d 20h before
LarryCalarga
Publishes on Oddspedia · first tracked
Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.
Tipzy Score
35
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Oddspedia or with LarryCalarga, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Oddspedia and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Claimed vs measured
Claimed on Oddspedia
−457.2% ROI
over 924 tips
Measured by Tipzy
−13.2%
over 12 priced picks
These measure different sets over different periods — we track from the date above, not from the start of their history — so a gap is not by itself evidence of anything. It is shown so both numbers are visible at once.
Published prices
Unprovenn=12Prices as published by the tipster — profit here is a return someone could have taken.
Settled
12
12 graded
Win rate
41.7%
95% CI 19%–68%
Profit
−1.6u
over 12u staked
Yield
−13.2%
Streaks and worst run
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
3
Longest losing streak
3
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
−4.3u
from a +0.2u peak · bottomed 2026-09-03
Performance charts
Computed from published prices only, level stakes.
Cumulative P/L by pick (units)
all 12
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends inside the shaded band (±11.8u) — the range a bettor with no edge lands in 95% of the time, so this record is not yet distinguishable from chance.
P/L by month (units)
P/L by league (units)
Biggest samples first · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
By market
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 4 | — | +0.5u |
| Draw no bet | 3 | — | −3.0u |
| Over/Under | 3 | — | +1.1u |
| Both teams to score | 1 | — | +0.8u |
| Double chance | 1 | — | −1.0u |
By league
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 9 | — | −0.7u |
| Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg | 3 | — | −0.8u |
Recent settled picks
Tips typically appear 2d 3h before kickoff — median over 12 picks with a captured kickoff.
Won
Benfica vs Gil Vicente
Premier League
AwayDraw No Bet
- Tipster odds
- 11.00+100010/110.00+10.00-0.10
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 3-1
· tipped 2d 20h before
Academico Viseu vs Vitoria Guimaraes
Premier League
YesBoth Teams to Score
- Tipster odds
- 1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
- Feed close
- 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.85 · −2.6% CLV
- Score
- 2-1
· tipped 46h before
Casa Pia vs Porto
Premier League
Over 2.75Total Goals
- Tipster odds
- 1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-4
· tipped 44h before
Gil Vicente vs Academico Viseu
Premier League
HomeFull Time Result
- Tipster odds
- 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90
- Feed close
- 2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 1.87 · −22.1% CLV
- Score
- 0-1
· tipped 3d 3h before
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Casa Pia
Premier League
Over 1.75Total Goals
- Tipster odds
- 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 0-0
· tipped 3d before
Santa Clara vs Rio Ave
Premier League
HomeFull Time Result
- Tipster odds
- 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75
- Feed close
- 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.73 · −11.3% CLV
- Score
- 4-0
· tipped 2d 22h before
Sporting Lisbon vs Nacional Madeira
Premier League
AwayFull Time Result
- Tipster odds
- 12.00+110011/111.00+11.00-0.09
- Feed close
- 21.00+200020/120.00+20.00-0.05from 13.00 · −38.1% CLV
- Score
- 2-0
· tipped 2d 3h before
Maritimo vs Benfica
Premier League
HomeDraw No Bet
- Tipster odds
- 8.00+7007/17.00+7.00-0.14
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 0-3
· tipped 2d before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arouca vs Santa ClaraPremier League | tipped 2d 20h before | AwayFull Time Result | 2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57 | 2.85+18537/201.85+1.85-0.54from 2.75 · −3.5% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Benfica vs Gil VicentePremier League | tipped 2d 20h before | AwayDraw No Bet | 11.00+100010/110.00+10.00-0.10 | — | 3-1 | LOST |
| Academico Viseu vs Vitoria GuimaraesPremier League | tipped 46h before | YesBoth Teams to Score | 1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83 | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.85 · −2.6% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Casa Pia vs PortoPremier League | tipped 44h before | Over 2.75Total Goals | 1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93 | — | 1-4 | WON |
| Gil Vicente vs Academico ViseuPremier League | tipped 3d 3h before | HomeFull Time Result | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90 | 2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 1.87 · −22.1% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Vitoria Guimaraes vs Casa PiaPremier League | tipped 3d before | Over 1.75Total Goals | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41 | — | 0-0 | LOST |
| Santa Clara vs Rio AvePremier League | tipped 2d 22h before | HomeFull Time Result | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75 | 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.73 · −11.3% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Sporting Lisbon vs Nacional MadeiraPremier League | tipped 2d 3h before | AwayFull Time Result | 12.00+110011/111.00+11.00-0.09 | 21.00+200020/120.00+20.00-0.05from 13.00 · −38.1% CLV | 2-0 | LOST |
| Maritimo vs BenficaPremier League | tipped 2d before | HomeDraw No Bet | 8.00+7007/17.00+7.00-0.14 | — | 0-3 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.