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OldToughGuy

Publishes on Blogabet · first tracked 2026-10-05

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

41

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Blogabet or with OldToughGuy, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Blogabet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Published prices

Unprovenn=20

Prices as published by the tipster — profit here is a return someone could have taken.

Settled

20

20 graded

Win rate

35.0%

95% CI 18%–57%

Profit

−17.6u

over 200u staked

Yield

−8.8%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

7

Longest losing streak

13

Current streak

W7

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

−130.0u

from a 0.0u peak · bottomed 2026-10-05

Performance charts

Computed from published prices only, level stakes.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 20

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends inside the shaded band (±113.4u) — the range a bettor with no edge lands in 95% of the time, so this record is not yet distinguishable from chance.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Over/Under1118.2%−65.9u
Asian handicap5—+50.7u
Asian over under2—−20.0u
Match winner2—+17.6u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Livebet1618.8%−78.3u
Division 14—+60.7u

Recent settled picks

Clear

Lyn II vs Rade

Livebet

Lost

Full Event Over 3.25O/U

Tipster odds
2.06+10653/501.06+1.06-0.94
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-05*

Lyn II vs Rade

Livebet

Lost

Full Event Over 3O/U

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-05*

Lyn II vs Rade

Livebet

Lost

Full Event Over 3.5O/U

Tipster odds
2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-05*

Sanliurfaspor vs Gebzespor

Livebet

Won

Full Event Home over 0.5Team O/U

Tipster odds
2.53+153153/1001.53+1.53-0.65
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-05*

Sanliurfaspor vs Gebzespor

Livebet

Won

Full Event Over 1.5O/U

Tipster odds
1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-05*

Sanliurfaspor vs Gebzespor

Livebet

Won

Full Event Draw1X2

Tipster odds
3.76+27669/252.76+2.76-0.36
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-05*

Kyrgyzstan vs Lebanon

Livebet

Lost

Full Event Away over 1.5Team O/U

Tipster odds
3.60+26013/52.60+2.60-0.38
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-04*

Kyrgyzstan vs Lebanon

Livebet

Lost

Full Event Draw1X2

Tipster odds
5.82+482241/504.82+4.82-0.21
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-04*

Kyrgyzstan vs Lebanon

Livebet

Lost

Full Event Away over 1.5Team O/U

Tipster odds
3.60+26013/52.60+2.60-0.38
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-04*

Stade Gabesien vs Moknine

Livebet

Lost

Full Event Home over 0.5Team O/U

Tipster odds
1.99-10199/1000.99-1.01+0.99
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-04*

Stade Gabesien vs Moknine

Livebet

Lost

Full Event Home -0.50AH

Tipster odds
2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-04*

Stade Gabesien vs Moknine

Livebet

Lost

Full Event Over 0.5O/U

Tipster odds
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-04*

Stade Gabesien vs Moknine

Livebet

Lost

Full Event Over 0.75O/U

Tipster odds
1.99-10199/1000.99-1.01+0.99
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-04*

Stade Gabesien vs Moknine

Livebet

Lost

Full Event Over 1O/U

Tipster odds
2.87+187187/1001.87+1.87-0.53
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-04*

Zeta vs OFK Grbalj

Livebet

Lost

Full Event Over 1.5O/U

Tipster odds
1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-04*

Zeta vs OFK Grbalj

Livebet

Lost

Full Event Away over 0.5Team O/U

Tipster odds
3.29+229229/1002.29+2.29-0.44
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-04*

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Lyn II vs RadeLivebet2026-10-05*Full Event Over 3.25O/U2.06+10653/501.06+1.06-0.94——LOST
Lyn II vs RadeLivebet2026-10-05*Full Event Over 3O/U1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82——LOST
Lyn II vs RadeLivebet2026-10-05*Full Event Over 3.5O/U2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77——LOST
Sanliurfaspor vs GebzesporLivebet2026-10-05*Full Event Home over 0.5Team O/U2.53+153153/1001.53+1.53-0.65——WON
Sanliurfaspor vs GebzesporLivebet2026-10-05*Full Event Over 1.5O/U1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88——WON
Sanliurfaspor vs GebzesporLivebet2026-10-05*Full Event Draw1X23.76+27669/252.76+2.76-0.36——WON
Kyrgyzstan vs LebanonLivebet2026-10-04*Full Event Away over 1.5Team O/U3.60+26013/52.60+2.60-0.38——LOST
Kyrgyzstan vs LebanonLivebet2026-10-04*Full Event Draw1X25.82+482241/504.82+4.82-0.21——LOST
Kyrgyzstan vs LebanonLivebet2026-10-04*Full Event Away over 1.5Team O/U3.60+26013/52.60+2.60-0.38——LOST
Stade Gabesien vs MoknineLivebet2026-10-04*Full Event Home over 0.5Team O/U1.99-10199/1000.99-1.01+0.99——LOST
Stade Gabesien vs MoknineLivebet2026-10-04*Full Event Home -0.50AH2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74——LOST
Stade Gabesien vs MoknineLivebet2026-10-04*Full Event Over 0.5O/U1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67——LOST
Stade Gabesien vs MoknineLivebet2026-10-04*Full Event Over 0.75O/U1.99-10199/1000.99-1.01+0.99——LOST
Stade Gabesien vs MoknineLivebet2026-10-04*Full Event Over 1O/U2.87+187187/1001.87+1.87-0.53——LOST
Zeta vs OFK GrbaljLivebet2026-10-04*Full Event Over 1.5O/U1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88——LOST
Zeta vs OFK GrbaljLivebet2026-10-04*Full Event Away over 0.5Team O/U3.29+229229/1002.29+2.29-0.44——LOST

* date as the source published it — not matched to a feed fixture.

1–16 of 16· 3 won / 13 lost · −78.3u · −48.9% yield · of 20 total

Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.