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black.swan

Publishes on Blogabet · first tracked 2026-08-12

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

38

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Blogabet or with black.swan, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Blogabet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Published prices

Indicativen=89

Prices as published by the tipster — profit here is a return someone could have taken.

Settled

104

89 graded · 15 void

Win rate

39.3%

95% CI 30%–50%

Profit

−21.6u

over 115u staked

Yield

−18.7%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

6

Longest losing streak

12

Current streak

L4

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

−31.1u

from a +0.3u peak · bottomed 2026-09-04

Performance charts

Computed from published prices only, level stakes.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 89

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends inside the shaded band (±26.1u) — the range a bettor with no edge lands in 95% of the time, so this record is not yet distinguishable from chance.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Asian handicap3938.2%−15.2u
Unmapped2833.3%−4.0u
Asian over under1958.3%+3.4u
Over/Under1540.0%−4.7u
Draw no bet2——
Handicap1—−1.0u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Livebet6343.4%−7.6u
Premier League9—−3.3u
Superleague5—+0.8u
Serie C. Cup. Round of 32↗Serie C. Cup. Round of 32 league page3—−4.0u
U21. Premier League 2. Division 1↗U21. Premier League 2. Division 1 league page3—−6.0u
Women. Primera division↗Women. Primera division league page3—−4.0u
Liga Leumit↗Liga Leumit league page2—+2.1u
Primera B Metropolitana↗Primera B Metropolitana league page2—−1.0u
U20. Women. Group stage2—−4.0u
2 division↗2 division league page1—−1.0u
Bundesliga 2↗Bundesliga 2 league page1—+1.4u
League 11——

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 38h before kickoff — median over 13 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Moreirense vs Braga

Football · Premier League

Lost

Away - BragaHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80
Feed close
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Score
—

—

Southern Districts Raiders vs Macarthur FC

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half

Tipster odds
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

—

NK Celje vs Ararat Armenia

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home - NK CeljeHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

—

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Moreirense vs BragaFootball · Premier League—Away - BragaHalf Time/Full Time2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80——LOST
Southern Districts Raiders vs Macarthur FCFootball · Livebet—Home YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91——LOST
NK Celje vs Ararat ArmeniaFootball · Livebet—Home - NK CeljeHalf Time/Full Time2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83——LOST

26–28 of 28· 9 won / 18 lost · −4.0u · −14.9% yield · of 104 total

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