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black.swan

Publishes on Blogabet · first tracked 2026-08-12

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

38

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Blogabet or with black.swan, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Blogabet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Published prices

Indicativen=89

Prices as published by the tipster — profit here is a return someone could have taken.

Settled

104

89 graded · 15 void

Win rate

39.3%

95% CI 30%–50%

Profit

−21.6u

over 115u staked

Yield

−18.7%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

6

Longest losing streak

12

Current streak

L4

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

−31.1u

from a +0.3u peak · bottomed 2026-09-04

Performance charts

Computed from published prices only, level stakes.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 89

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends inside the shaded band (±26.1u) — the range a bettor with no edge lands in 95% of the time, so this record is not yet distinguishable from chance.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Asian handicap3938.2%−15.2u
Unmapped2833.3%−4.0u
Asian over under1958.3%+3.4u
Over/Under1540.0%−4.7u
Draw no bet2——
Handicap1—−1.0u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Livebet6343.4%−7.6u
Premier League9—−3.3u
Superleague5—+0.8u
Serie C. Cup. Round of 32↗Serie C. Cup. Round of 32 league page3—−4.0u
U21. Premier League 2. Division 1↗U21. Premier League 2. Division 1 league page3—−6.0u
Women. Primera division↗Women. Primera division league page3—−4.0u
Liga Leumit↗Liga Leumit league page2—+2.1u
Primera B Metropolitana↗Primera B Metropolitana league page2—−1.0u
U20. Women. Group stage2—−4.0u
2 division↗2 division league page1—−1.0u
Bundesliga 2↗Bundesliga 2 league page1—+1.4u
League 11——

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 38h before kickoff — median over 13 picks with a captured kickoff.

Lille U19 vs Chartres U19

Football · Livebet

Won

Home -0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06*

Wolfsburg (w) vs Werder Bremen (w)

Football · Women. Bundesliga

Won

Over 4Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06*

Jordan U20 vs Tajikistan U20

Football · Livebet

Won

Away 0.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06*

Viimsi JK (W) vs FC Flora Tallinn (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

Over 11st Half Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06*

Lech Poznan vs Rakow Czestochowa

Football · Superleague

Won

Home -0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06*

Fortuna Cologne vs Fortuna Dusseldorf

Football · Livebet

Void

Away 0.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06*

Real Madrid (w) vs Eibar (w)

Football · Women. Primera division

Lost

Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06*

GOSK Gabela vs NK Zvijezda Gradacac

Football · Livebet

Lost

Over 1.5GOSK Gabela Goals

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06*

Real Madrid (w) vs Eibar (w)

Football · Women. Primera division

Lost

Over 1.5Real Madrid (W) Goals

Tipster odds
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06*

Real Madrid (w) vs Eibar (w)

Football · Women. Primera division

Lost

Over 1Goal Line

Tipster odds
2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06*

Lille U19 vs Chartres U19

Football · Livebet

Won

Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
3.40+24012/52.40+2.40-0.42
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06*

Paris FC (W) vs Nantes (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

Home - Paris FC (W)Half Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06*

Spain U20 (w) vs Nigeria U20 (w)

Football · U20. Women. Group stage

Lost

Home -0.5,-1.01st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-07 · tipped 26h before

Spain U20 (w) vs Nigeria U20 (w)

Football · U20. Women. Group stage

Lost

Over 11st Half Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-07 · tipped 26h before

Lille U19 vs Chartres U19

Football · Livebet

Won

Over 2.5Lille U19 Goals

Tipster odds
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06*

OH Leuven (W) vs Czarni Sosnowiec (w)

Football · Livebet

Lost

Away +0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-02*

Catania vs Savoia 1908

Football · Serie C. Cup. Round of 32

Lost

Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
2.63+163163/1001.63+1.63-0.61
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-02*

Catania vs Savoia 1908

Football · Serie C. Cup. Round of 32

Lost

Over 1.5Catania Goals

Tipster odds
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-02*

Catania vs Savoia 1908

Football · Serie C. Cup. Round of 32

Lost

Home -1Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-02*

Hapoel Umm Al Fahm vs Hapoel Nof HaGalil

Football · Liga Alef

Lost

Away 0.0,-0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.83+183183/1001.83+1.83-0.55
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-05 · tipped 29h before

Boavista Saquarema U20 vs Marica U20

Football · U20. Carioca

Won

Away +1Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-05 · tipped 28h before

Zarzis vs Diambars

Football · Qualification. Semi-finals. First leg

Won

Home 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83
Feed close
—
Score
3:1

2026-09-04*

Universitatea Alba Iulia vs ACS Viitorul Arad

Football · Livebet

Won

Away 0.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-04*

Nasaf vs Neftchi Fargona

Football · Superleague

Won

Over 7Goal Line

Tipster odds
2.83+183183/1001.83+1.83-0.55
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-04*

Darmstadt 98 vs Hannover 96

Football · Bundesliga 2

Won

Away 0.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-30*

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Lille U19 vs Chartres U19Football · Livebet2026-09-06*Home -0.5Asian Handicap1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85——WON
Wolfsburg (w) vs Werder Bremen (w)Football · Women. Bundesliga2026-09-06*Over 4Goal Line1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93——WON
Jordan U20 vs Tajikistan U20Football · Livebet2026-09-06*Away 0.0Asian Handicap2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77——WON
Viimsi JK (W) vs FC Flora Tallinn (W)Football · Livebet2026-09-06*Over 11st Half Goal Line1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80——WON
Lech Poznan vs Rakow CzestochowaFootball · Superleague2026-09-06*Home -0.5Asian Handicap2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00——WON
Fortuna Cologne vs Fortuna DusseldorfFootball · Livebet2026-09-06*Away 0.0Asian Handicap1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78——VOID
Real Madrid (w) vs Eibar (w)Football · Women. Primera division2026-09-06*Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00——LOST
GOSK Gabela vs NK Zvijezda GradacacFootball · Livebet2026-09-06*Over 1.5GOSK Gabela Goals1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83——LOST
Real Madrid (w) vs Eibar (w)Football · Women. Primera division2026-09-06*Over 1.5Real Madrid (W) Goals1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80——LOST
Real Madrid (w) vs Eibar (w)Football · Women. Primera division2026-09-06*Over 1Goal Line2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83——LOST
Lille U19 vs Chartres U19Football · Livebet2026-09-06*Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves3.40+24012/52.40+2.40-0.42——WON
Paris FC (W) vs Nantes (W)Football · Livebet2026-09-06*Home - Paris FC (W)Half Time/Full Time1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95——WON
Spain U20 (w) vs Nigeria U20 (w)Football · U20. Women. Group stage2026-09-07tipped 26h beforeHome -0.5,-1.01st Half Asian Handicap1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83——LOST
Spain U20 (w) vs Nigeria U20 (w)Football · U20. Women. Group stage2026-09-07tipped 26h beforeOver 11st Half Goal Line1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98——LOST
Lille U19 vs Chartres U19Football · Livebet2026-09-06*Over 2.5Lille U19 Goals2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91——WON
OH Leuven (W) vs Czarni Sosnowiec (w)Football · Livebet2026-09-02*Away +0.5Asian Handicap1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95——LOST
Catania vs Savoia 1908Football · Serie C. Cup. Round of 322026-09-02*Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves2.63+163163/1001.63+1.63-0.61——LOST
Catania vs Savoia 1908Football · Serie C. Cup. Round of 322026-09-02*Over 1.5Catania Goals1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80——LOST
Catania vs Savoia 1908Football · Serie C. Cup. Round of 322026-09-02*Home -1Asian Handicap2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97——LOST
Hapoel Umm Al Fahm vs Hapoel Nof HaGalilFootball · Liga Alef2026-09-05tipped 29h beforeAway 0.0,-0.5Asian Handicap2.83+183183/1001.83+1.83-0.55——LOST
Boavista Saquarema U20 vs Marica U20Football · U20. Carioca2026-09-05tipped 28h beforeAway +1Asian Handicap2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00——WON
Zarzis vs DiambarsFootball · Qualification. Semi-finals. First leg2026-09-04*Home 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83—3:1WON
Universitatea Alba Iulia vs ACS Viitorul AradFootball · Livebet2026-09-04*Away 0.0Asian Handicap1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65——WON
Nasaf vs Neftchi FargonaFootball · Superleague2026-09-04*Over 7Goal Line2.83+183183/1001.83+1.83-0.55——WON
Darmstadt 98 vs Hannover 96Football · Bundesliga 22026-08-30*Away 0.0Asian Handicap1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68——WON

* date as the source published it — not matched to a feed fixture.

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