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black.swan

Publishes on Blogabet · first tracked 2026-08-12

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

38

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Blogabet or with black.swan, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Blogabet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Published prices

Indicativen=89

Prices as published by the tipster — profit here is a return someone could have taken.

Settled

104

89 graded · 15 void

Win rate

39.3%

95% CI 30%–50%

Profit

−21.6u

over 115u staked

Yield

−18.7%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

6

Longest losing streak

12

Current streak

L4

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

−31.1u

from a +0.3u peak · bottomed 2026-09-04

Performance charts

Computed from published prices only, level stakes.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 89

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends inside the shaded band (±26.1u) — the range a bettor with no edge lands in 95% of the time, so this record is not yet distinguishable from chance.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Asian handicap3938.2%−15.2u
Unmapped2833.3%−4.0u
Asian over under1958.3%+3.4u
Over/Under1540.0%−4.7u
Draw no bet2——
Handicap1—−1.0u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Livebet6343.4%−7.6u
Premier League9—−3.3u
Superleague5—+0.8u
Serie C. Cup. Round of 32↗Serie C. Cup. Round of 32 league page3—−4.0u
U21. Premier League 2. Division 1↗U21. Premier League 2. Division 1 league page3—−6.0u
Women. Primera division↗Women. Primera division league page3—−4.0u
Liga Leumit↗Liga Leumit league page2—+2.1u
Primera B Metropolitana↗Primera B Metropolitana league page2—−1.0u
U20. Women. Group stage2—−4.0u
2 division↗2 division league page1—−1.0u
Bundesliga 2↗Bundesliga 2 league page1—+1.4u
League 11——

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 38h before kickoff — median over 13 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

GOSK Gabela vs NK Zvijezda Gradacac

Football · Livebet

Lost

Over 1.5GOSK Gabela Goals

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06*

Real Madrid (w) vs Eibar (w)

Football · Women. Primera division

Lost

Over 1.5Real Madrid (W) Goals

Tipster odds
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06*

Lille U19 vs Chartres U19

Football · Livebet

Won

Over 2.5Lille U19 Goals

Tipster odds
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06*

Catania vs Savoia 1908

Football · Serie C. Cup. Round of 32

Lost

Over 1.5Catania Goals

Tipster odds
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-02*

Glasgow City (W) vs Spartans (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

Over 5.5Glasgow City (W) Goals

Tipster odds
2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-30*

Rayo Majadahonda vs Villarreal B

Football · Livebet

Lost

Over 3.5Goal Line

Tipster odds
5.50+4509/24.50+4.50-0.22
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29*

Norwich City U21 vs Stoke City U21

Football · U21. Premier League 2. Division 1

Lost

Over 1.5Norwich U21 Goals

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-28*

Verl vs Fortuna Cologne

Football · Livebet

Won

Over 1.5Goal Line

Tipster odds
2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29*

Banaat vs Nasaf

Football · Livebet

Won

Over 4.5Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Tel Aviv

Football · Premier League

Won

Over 2.5Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals

Tipster odds
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29 · tipped 5d 23h before

Frosinone vs Juventus

Football · Serie A. Season 26/27

Lost

Over 1.5Juventus Goals

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

CD Quintanar del Rey vs Huracan Balazote

Football · Livebet

Lost

Over 2.5Goal Line

Tipster odds
2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

KuPS Kuopio vs IFK Mariehamn

Football · Livebet

Lost

Over 6.5Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

Hapoel Rishon Lezion vs Hapoel Kfar Saba

Football · Liga Leumit

Won

Over 1.5Goal Line

Tipster odds
2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-18 · tipped 45h before

Moreirense vs Braga

Football · Premier League

Lost

Over 2.5Braga Goals

Tipster odds
3.75+27511/42.75+2.75-0.36
Feed close
—
Score
—

—

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
GOSK Gabela vs NK Zvijezda GradacacFootball · Livebet2026-09-06*Over 1.5GOSK Gabela Goals1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83——LOST
Real Madrid (w) vs Eibar (w)Football · Women. Primera division2026-09-06*Over 1.5Real Madrid (W) Goals1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80——LOST
Lille U19 vs Chartres U19Football · Livebet2026-09-06*Over 2.5Lille U19 Goals2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91——WON
Catania vs Savoia 1908Football · Serie C. Cup. Round of 322026-09-02*Over 1.5Catania Goals1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80——LOST
Glasgow City (W) vs Spartans (W)Football · Livebet2026-08-30*Over 5.5Glasgow City (W) Goals2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83——WON
Rayo Majadahonda vs Villarreal BFootball · Livebet2026-08-29*Over 3.5Goal Line5.50+4509/24.50+4.50-0.22——LOST
Norwich City U21 vs Stoke City U21Football · U21. Premier League 2. Division 12026-08-28*Over 1.5Norwich U21 Goals2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00——LOST
Verl vs Fortuna CologneFootball · Livebet2026-08-29*Over 1.5Goal Line2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97——WON
Banaat vs NasafFootball · Livebet2026-08-23*Over 4.5Goal Line1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90——WON
Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Tel AvivFootball · Premier League2026-08-29tipped 5d 23h beforeOver 2.5Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91——WON
Frosinone vs JuventusFootball · Serie A. Season 26/272026-08-23*Over 1.5Juventus Goals2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00——LOST
CD Quintanar del Rey vs Huracan BalazoteFootball · Livebet2026-08-23*Over 2.5Goal Line2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80——LOST
KuPS Kuopio vs IFK MariehamnFootball · Livebet2026-08-23*Over 6.5Goal Line1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83——LOST
Hapoel Rishon Lezion vs Hapoel Kfar SabaFootball · Liga Leumit2026-08-18tipped 45h beforeOver 1.5Goal Line2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97——WON
Moreirense vs BragaFootball · Premier League—Over 2.5Braga Goals3.75+27511/42.75+2.75-0.36——LOST

* date as the source published it — not matched to a feed fixture.

1–15 of 15· 6 won / 9 lost · −4.7u · −24.9% yield · of 104 total

Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.