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Alvaro Dorado freepicks

Publishes on Blogabet · first tracked 2026-08-09

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Tipzy Score

47

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Blogabet or with Alvaro Dorado freepicks, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Blogabet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Published prices

Unprovenn=28

Prices as published by the tipster — profit here is a return someone could have taken.

Settled

29

28 graded · 1 void

Win rate

60.7%

95% CI 42%–76%

Profit

+31.1u

over 120u staked

Yield

+25.9%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

7

Longest losing streak

6

Current streak

W1

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

−24.0u

from a +34.5u peak · bottomed 2026-09-01

Performance charts

Computed from published prices only, level stakes.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 28

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends inside the shaded band (±44.5u) — the range a bettor with no edge lands in 95% of the time, so this record is not yet distinguishable from chance.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Over/Under1060.0%+20.0u
Unmapped8—+5.9u
Handicap7—+6.4u
Match winner4—−1.2u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
ATP Challenger↗ATP Challenger league page1266.7%+19.8u
Livebet5—+3.6u
Grand Slam (W)↗Grand Slam (W) league page4—−16.0u
Other4—+7.5u
Shanghai. Hard↗Shanghai. Hard league page2—+7.2u
Beijing. Hard1—+9.0u
Montreal. Hard↗Montreal. Hard league page1——

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 6h before kickoff — median over 21 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Roman Safiullin vs Alcaraz

Grand Slam (W)

Lost

yesSafiullin, Roman to win a set

Tipster odds
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67
Feed close
—
Score
0:3

2026-08-31* · tipped 6h before

Jurij Rodionov vs Mpetshi Perricard G

Grand Slam (W)

Lost

Over 42.5Total Games 2 Way

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
3:0

2026-08-31* · tipped 6h before

Matteo Berrettini vs Stan Wawrinka

Grand Slam (W)

Lost

Over 39.5Total Games 2 Way

Tipster odds
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-31* · tipped 7h before

Grigor Dimitrov vs Popyrin A

Grand Slam (W)

Lost

Home -3.5Match Handicap (games)

Tipster odds
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-31* · tipped 11h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Roman Safiullin vs AlcarazGrand Slam (W)2026-08-31*tipped 6h beforeyesSafiullin, Roman to win a set1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67—0:3LOST
Jurij Rodionov vs Mpetshi Perricard GGrand Slam (W)2026-08-31*tipped 6h beforeOver 42.5Total Games 2 Way1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83—3:0LOST
Matteo Berrettini vs Stan WawrinkaGrand Slam (W)2026-08-31*tipped 7h beforeOver 39.5Total Games 2 Way1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80——LOST
Grigor Dimitrov vs Popyrin AGrand Slam (W)2026-08-31*tipped 11h beforeHome -3.5Match Handicap (games)1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90——LOST

* date as the source published it — not matched to a feed fixture.

1–4 of 4· 0 won / 4 lost · −16.0u · −100.0% yield · of 29 total

Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.