Cerrito vs Oriental La-Paz
Football · Segunda Division
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-1
· first seen 3h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
4052
4051 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−213.2u
over 4051u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 766 | 55.4%52%–59% | −0.6pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1522 | 62.5%60%–65% | −3.7pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1542 | 70.3%68%–73% | −4.7pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 207 | 71.5%65%–77% | −8.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−3pp
948
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±86.9u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2041 | 68.7% | −81.4u |
| Match winner | 2011 | 60.3% | −131.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 744 | 67.3% | −20.4u |
| Superleague | 343 | 61.5% | −39.8u |
| League 1 | 326 | 67.2% | −10.8u |
| MLBMLB league page | 209 | 59.3% | +18.5u |
| League 2 | 153 | 60.8% | −17.3u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 104 | 65.4% | −5.2u |
| Serie B | 101 | 62.4% | −7.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 79 | 63.3% | −5.8u |
| Championship | 76 | 65.8% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4052 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Segunda Division
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Ligue 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 5h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Primera B Metropolitana
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Primera B Metropolitana
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Division 2. Group 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 47m before
Football · Division 2. Group 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · Women. Major League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 47m before
Football · MLS
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 12d 4h before
Football · Round of 16. Second leg
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 6d 4h before
Football · Serie B
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3d 4h before
Football · Round of 16. Second leg
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 6d 2h before
Football · Second leg
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 6d 2h before
Football · Qualifying stage. Final. First leg
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 5h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 6h before
Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 5h before
Football · Qualifying stage. Final. First leg
X2Double Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · Qualifying stage. Final. First leg
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 5h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 5h before
Football · National League. South
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerrito vs Oriental La-PazFootball · Segunda Division | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Haugesund vs RaufossFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.27 · 0.0% CLV | 7-2 | WON |
| Metz vs GuingampFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98from 2.12 · +7.1% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Dunav Ruse vs Arda KardzhaliFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 4.10+31031/103.10+3.10-0.32from 3.75 · −8.5% CLV | 0-2 | LOST |
| Deportivo Flandria vs UAI UrquizaFootball · Primera B Metropolitana | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Brown Adrogue vs ExcursionistasFootball · Primera B Metropolitana | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Kvik Halden vs Mjondalen IFFootball · Division 2. Group 1 | first seen 47m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Jerv vs VidarFootball · Division 2. Group 1 | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18from 1.18 · 0.0% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Eskilstuna United (w) vs Kristianstads (w)Football · Women. Major League | first seen 47m before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Minnesota United vs Atlanta UnitedFootball · MLS | first seen 12d 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Montevideo City Torque vs TigreFootball · Round of 16. Second leg | first seen 6d 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Vila Nova vs Ponte PretaFootball · Serie B | first seen 3d 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 6-0 | WON |
| Atletico Mineiro vs BragantinoFootball · Round of 16. Second leg | first seen 6d 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 3.10+21021/102.10+2.10-0.48from 3.25 · +4.8% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras SPFootball · Second leg | first seen 6d 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Celtic vs LASKFootball · Qualifying stage. Final. First leg | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.63 · −6.9% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Boston Red Sox vs Arizona DiamondbacksBaseball · MLB | first seen 6h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | — | 6-7 | LOST |
| Atletico Madrid vs MalagaFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/27 | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.33 · −1.5% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo/GlimtFootball · Qualifying stage. Final. First leg | first seen 5h before | X2Double Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Slovan Bratislava vs CeljeFootball · Qualifying stage. Final. First leg | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.70 · −8.1% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Chicago Cubs vs Chicago White SoxBaseball · MLB | first seen 5h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 0-3 | WON |
| Farnborough vs Chesham UnitedFootball · National League. South | first seen 5h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Metalac vs Smederevo 1924Football · League 1 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Minnesota Twins vs Atlanta BravesBaseball · MLB | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived | — | 6-4 | LOST |
| Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo GallantsFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.25 · 0.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Javor Ivanjica vs Jedinstvo UbFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.