Dordrecht vs Roda Kerkrade
Football · Division 1
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 0-1
· first seen 4h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
4044
4043 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−216.8u
over 4043u staked
Yield
−5.4%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 766 | 55.4%52%–59% | −0.6pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1518 | 62.5%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1538 | 70.2%68%–72% | −4.7pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 207 | 71.5%65%–77% | −8.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
940
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±86.8u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2036 | 68.7% | −83.7u |
| Match winner | 2008 | 60.2% | −133.1u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 741 | 67.2% | −21.7u |
| Superleague | 343 | 61.5% | −39.8u |
| League 1 | 326 | 67.2% | −10.8u |
| MLBMLB league page | 209 | 59.3% | +18.5u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 104 | 65.4% | −5.2u |
| Serie B | 101 | 62.4% | −7.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 79 | 63.3% | −5.8u |
| Championship | 76 | 65.8% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4044 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Division 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Regional League. East
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Challenge League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Regional League. East
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Regional League. East
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Challenge League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · 2 division
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · 1st Division
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Division 2. North
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 3
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Regional League. West
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1. Season 26/27
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · 1st Division
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Virsliga
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dordrecht vs Roda KerkradeFootball · Division 1 | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Karvina vs Viktoria ZizkovFootball · League 2 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.33 · 0.0% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| FCM Traiskirchen vs SV LeobendorfFootball · Regional League. East | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 5-4 | WON |
| Neuchatel Xamax vs Stade Lausanne-OuchyFootball · Challenge League | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Wiener SK vs SC Wiener ViktoriaFootball · Regional League. East | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.43 · +2.1% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Aldosivi vs Union Santa FeFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-3 | LOST |
| Petrolul Ploiesti vs Rapid BucurestiFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Horn vs DonauFootball · Regional League. East | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.28 · −6.6% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Nyonnais vs Etoile-CarougeFootball · Challenge League | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Vikingur Gota vs B-36 TorshavnFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Zamalek vs Al Ittihad AlexandriaFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.50 · +11.1% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Sirius vs HackenFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.80 · +7.8% CLV | 0-3 | LOST |
| Thisted vs SkiveFootball · 2 division | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Fredericia vs Aarhus FremadFootball · 1st Division | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.50 · −3.2% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Stockholm Internazionale vs JärfällaFootball · Division 2. North | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.14-7147/500.14-7.14+0.14from 1.20 · +5.3% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Cajamarca vs Atletico GrauFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 2.20 · +12.8% CLV | 1-3 | LOST |
| Hranice vs HavirovFootball · League 3 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 6-0 | LOST |
| Sportfreunde Siegen vs Borussia Monchengladbach 2Football · Regional League. West | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Bregalnica Stip vs Bashkimi KumanovoFootball · Division 1 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Floriana vs Sliema WanderersFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Torpedo Moscow vs Spartak KostromaFootball · League 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Opava vs TrinecFootball · League 2 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.70 · −5.6% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Vejle vs EsbjergFootball · 1st Division | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.52 · +6.3% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
| Haka vs SJK AkatemiaFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.25 · −2.3% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| FC Liepaja vs GrobinasFootball · Virsliga | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.57 · +1.3% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.