Cardiff Metropolitan vs The New Saints
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
- Feed close
- 1.22-45511/500.22-4.55+0.22from 1.32 · +8.2% CLV
- Score
- 0-5
· first seen 40m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
4042
4041 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−216.3u
over 4041u staked
Yield
−5.4%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W3
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 765 | 55.4%52%–59% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1517 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1538 | 70.2%68%–72% | −4.7pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 207 | 71.5%65%–77% | −8.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
938
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±86.8u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2035 | 68.6% | −84.2u |
| Match winner | 2007 | 60.3% | −132.1u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 741 | 67.2% | −21.7u |
| Superleague | 343 | 61.5% | −39.8u |
| League 1 | 326 | 67.2% | −10.8u |
| MLBMLB league page | 208 | 59.6% | +19.5u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 104 | 65.4% | −5.2u |
| Serie B | 101 | 62.4% | −7.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 79 | 63.3% | −5.8u |
| Championship | 76 | 65.8% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4042 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 40m before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 10m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 55m before
Football · Serie C. Group C
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 55m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 25m before
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 40m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Serie C. Group A
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · Division 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 25m before
Football · Division 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Ligue 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Serie C. Group C
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · Serie A
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Primera Nacional
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 25m before
Football · Division 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Ligue 1. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 40m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 40m before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 57m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 25m before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 25m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff Metropolitan vs The New SaintsFootball · Premier League | first seen 40m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.22-45511/500.22-4.55+0.22from 1.32 · +8.2% CLV | 0-5 | WON |
| Olimpija Ljubljana vs Nafta LendavaFootball · Superleague | first seen 10m before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Vllaznia Shkoder vs Skenderbeu KorceFootball · Superleague | first seen 55m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.42 · −8.4% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Bari vs CaveseFootball · Serie C. Group C | first seen 55m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.32 · −12.0% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Admira Wacker Modling vs First ViennaFootball · League 1 | first seen 25m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Vysocina Jihlava vs MAS TaborskoFootball · League 2 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Holywell Town vs Barry TownFootball · Premier League | first seen 40m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.42 · +7.6% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Wacker Innsbruck vs St PoltenFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Alcione vs RenateFootball · Serie C. Group A | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Deportivo Capiata vs GuairenaFootball · Division 2 | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Vicenza vs CatanzaroFootball · Serie B | first seen 25m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
| Sol de America vs ResistenciaFootball · Division 2 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Dunkerque vs MontpellierFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Potenza vs CasaranoFootball · Serie C. Group C | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 4-1 | WON |
| Jaguares Cordoba vs Boyaca ChicoFootball · Serie A | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.80 · +7.1% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Atletico San Telmo vs Deportivo MoronFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 25m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.45 · +4.3% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| LDU Portoviejo vs 22 de JulioFootball · Division 2 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.58 · +15.3% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Marseille vs StrasbourgFootball · Ligue 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 40m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.75 · +1.7% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| FC Dundalk vs GalwayFootball · Premier League | first seen 40m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Emmen vs Jong AZ AlkmaarFootball · Division 1 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 2.20 · +18.9% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Marsaxlokk vs HiberniansFootball · Premier League | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta BravesBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Alianza Atletico vs Sporting CristalFootball · Premier League | first seen 57m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 3-1 | LOST |
| Fatih Karagumruk vs BursasporFootball · League 1 | first seen 25m before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Erzurumspor BB vs GalatasarayFootball · Superleague | first seen 25m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.47 · −3.9% CLV | 0-4 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.