Sollentuna vs IF Karlstad
Football · Division 2. North
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
- Feed close
- 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.77 · +4.1% CLV
- Score
- 2-1
· first seen 50m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
4035
4034 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−216.6u
over 4034u staked
Yield
−5.4%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 764 | 55.4%52%–59% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1516 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1533 | 70.3%68%–72% | −4.7pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 207 | 71.5%65%–77% | −8.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
931
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±86.7u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2031 | 68.6% | −84.3u |
| Match winner | 2004 | 60.3% | −132.2u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 739 | 67.3% | −21.1u |
| Superleague | 343 | 61.5% | −39.8u |
| League 1 | 325 | 67.1% | −11.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 207 | 59.4% | +18.8u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 104 | 65.4% | −5.2u |
| Serie B | 101 | 62.4% | −7.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 79 | 63.3% | −5.8u |
| Championship | 76 | 65.8% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4035 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Division 2. North
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 50m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · National league. North
X2Double Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · National League. South
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · National league. North
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · Championship
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 50m before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · League 2
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 50m before
Football · National League. South
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · National League. South
X2Double Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · Division 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 57m before
Football · Division 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 57m before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 57m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 57m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 57m before
Football · Division 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 57m before
Football · League 1. Season 26/27
X2Double Chance
· first seen 57m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 42m before
Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · National league
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Ligue 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sollentuna vs IF KarlstadFootball · Division 2. North | first seen 50m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.77 · +4.1% CLV | 2-1 | LOST |
| Zulte Waregem vs SK BeverenFootball · Premier League | first seen 50m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 4-0 | WON |
| Wrexham vs WatfordFootball · Championship | first seen 50m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Spennymoor Town vs Oxford CityFootball · National league. North | first seen 50m before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-4 | WON |
| Salisbury vs Hemel Hempstead TownFootball · National League. South | first seen 50m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Central Espanol vs Juventud Las PiedrasFootball · Premier League | first seen 50m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Southport vs Bedford TownFootball · National league. North | first seen 50m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 4-1 | WON |
| Preston North End vs WolverhamptonFootball · Championship | first seen 50m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.80 · −10.0% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Laci vs ElbasaniFootball · Superleague | first seen 50m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Shrewsbury Town vs BarnetFootball · League 2 | first seen 50m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 1.87 · −3.1% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Tonbridge Angels vs Truro CityFootball · National League. South | first seen 50m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Braintree Town vs HorshamFootball · National League. South | first seen 50m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Atletico Tembetary vs Fernando de la MoraFootball · Division 2 | first seen 57m before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Vizela vs AmaranteFootball · Division 2 | first seen 57m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Kelantan Red Warrior vs SelangorFootball · Superleague | first seen 57m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.10-10001/100.10-10.00+0.10from 1.05 · −4.5% CLV | 1-4 | WON |
| Bulawayo Chiefs vs CAPS UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 57m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Terengganu vs MelakaFootball · Superleague | first seen 57m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Kloetinge vs Kozakken BoysFootball · Division 2 | first seen 57m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 3-3 | WON |
| Volga Ulyanovsk vs ShinnikFootball · League 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 57m before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Korona Kielce vs Motor LublinFootball · Superleague | first seen 42m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.93 · +8.4% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Tampere United vs RoPSFootball · League 2 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 2.03 · +5.2% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Boston United vs AltrinchamFootball · National league | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.85 · +12.1% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Metz vs LavalFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.75 · 0.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Qingdao West Coast vs Shandong TaishanFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Beijing Guoan vs Yunnan YukunFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.47 · −2.0% CLV | 3-3 | LOST |
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