Le Mans vs Stade Brestois 29
Football · Ligue 1. Season 26/27
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 2-2
· first seen 42m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
4028
4027 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−215.2u
over 4027u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L2
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 764 | 55.4%52%–59% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1513 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1529 | 70.3%68%–73% | −4.7pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 207 | 71.5%65%–77% | −8.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
924
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±86.7u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2028 | 68.6% | −85.5u |
| Match winner | 2000 | 60.3% | −129.7u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 739 | 67.3% | −21.1u |
| Superleague | 341 | 61.3% | −40.4u |
| League 1 | 325 | 67.1% | −11.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 207 | 59.4% | +18.8u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 104 | 65.4% | −5.2u |
| Serie B | 101 | 62.4% | −7.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 79 | 63.3% | −5.8u |
| Championship | 76 | 65.8% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4028 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Ligue 1. Season 26/27
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 42m before
Football · Ligue 1. Season 26/27
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 42m before
Football · Primera B Metropolitana
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Primera B Metropolitana
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Primera B Metropolitana
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Serie A. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie A
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie A
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Liga Nacional
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Women. Series A1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 50m before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie C
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie B
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3m before
Football · Division 2
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Mans vs Stade Brestois 29Football · Ligue 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 42m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Nice vs LorientFootball · Ligue 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 42m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Ituzaingo vs Deportivo MerloFootball · Primera B Metropolitana | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Argentino Merlo vs Arsenal SarandiFootball · Primera B Metropolitana | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Talleres Remedios vs ExcursionistasFootball · Primera B Metropolitana | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis CardinalsBaseball · MLB | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 12-3 | WON |
| Inter Milan vs MonzaFootball · Serie A. Season 26/27 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.17-58817/1000.17-5.88+0.17from 1.19 · +1.7% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Deportivo Maldonado vs Penarol MontevideoFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Independiente vs Independiente RivadaviaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Huachipato vs Deportes LimacheFootball · Serie A | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.45 · −3.9% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Cobreloa vs Union EspanolaFootball · Serie B | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.85 · +12.1% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Cuiaba vs GoiasFootball · Serie B | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.17 · −7.7% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Tecnico Universitario vs Guayaquil CityFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 2-3 | WON |
| Deportes Tolima vs Atletico BucaramangaFootball · Serie A | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 3.15 · +37.0% CLV | 0-0 | WON |
| Atletico Independiente Siguatepeque vs Deportivo GenesisFootball · Liga Nacional | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.60+1608/51.60+1.60-0.63from 2.30 · −11.5% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Gremio (w) vs Botafogo RJ (w)Football · Women. Series A1 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19from 1.20 · +0.8% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Colchester United vs OldhamFootball · League 2 | first seen 50m before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Milton Keynes Dons vs HuddersfieldFootball · League 1 | first seen 50m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Airdrieonians vs Ross CountyFootball · League 1 | first seen 50m before | X2Double Chance | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Edinburgh City vs Annan AthleticFootball · League 2 | first seen 50m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98from 2.25 · +13.6% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Exeter City vs Accrington StanleyFootball · League 2 | first seen 50m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Cavalry vs Atletico OttawaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.55 · +4.7% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Volta Redonda vs FlorestaFootball · Serie C | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Empoli vs CremoneseFootball · Serie B | first seen 3m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Comerciantes vs Union MinasFootball · Division 2 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 5.50+4509/24.50+4.50-0.22from 6.50 · +18.2% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.