Vitkovice vs Vrchovina
Football · League 3
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 0-1
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
4027
4026 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−214.2u
over 4026u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 763 | 55.4%52%–59% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1513 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1529 | 70.3%68%–73% | −4.7pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 207 | 71.5%65%–77% | −8.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
923
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±86.7u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2028 | 68.6% | −85.5u |
| Match winner | 1999 | 60.4% | −128.7u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 739 | 67.3% | −21.1u |
| Superleague | 341 | 61.3% | −40.4u |
| League 1 | 325 | 67.1% | −11.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 207 | 59.4% | +18.8u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 104 | 65.4% | −5.2u |
| Serie B | 101 | 62.4% | −7.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 79 | 63.3% | −5.8u |
| Championship | 76 | 65.8% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4027 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · League 3
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · National League. South
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 50m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · Championship
X2Double Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 57m before
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 57m before
Football · Victoria.National Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3m before
Football · Serie B
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3m before
Football · New South Wales. National Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · NPB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Division 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · National League. South
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · League 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 50m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · Tasmania. National Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · National league. North
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 50m before
Football · National League. South
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 50m before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 50m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitkovice vs VrchovinaFootball · League 3 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Fortuna Sittard vs AZ AlkmaarFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.60 · +3.2% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Crewe Alexandra vs Northampton TownFootball · League 2 | first seen 50m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Cove Rangers vs PeterheadFootball · League 1 | first seen 50m before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 3-0 | LOST |
| Maidenhead United vs FarnboroughFootball · National League. South | first seen 50m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.85 · +5.7% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Ajman vs Hatta DubaiFootball · Premier League | first seen 50m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 4-3 | WON |
| Raith Rovers vs Ayr UnitedFootball · Championship | first seen 50m before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-0 | LOST |
| Slavia Mozyr vs GomelFootball · Premier League | first seen 57m before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| SalPa vs OLS OuluFootball · League 2 | first seen 57m before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 4-1 | LOST |
| South Melbourne vs Heidelberg UnitedFootball · Victoria.National Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.60 · +2.0% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Cacahuatique vs Municipal LimenoFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 1-3 | LOST |
| Heerenveen vs PEC ZwolleFootball · Premier League | first seen 3m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.55 · +6.9% CLV | 0-2 | LOST |
| Puerto Montt vs IquiqueFootball · Serie B | first seen 3m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 0-4 | WON |
| Sydney Olympic vs Marconi StallionsFootball · New South Wales. National Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Yomiuri Giants vs Hiroshima Toyo CarpBaseball · NPB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 2-3 | LOST |
| Al-Ahli Jeddah vs AbhaFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19from 1.20 · +0.8% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Lierse Kempenzonen vs Patro Eisden MaasmechelenFootball · Division 2 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Fastav Zlin vs Slovan LiberecFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.85 · +4.5% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Folkestone Invicta vs Chelmsford CityFootball · National League. South | first seen 50m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Montrose vs East KilbrideFootball · League 1 | first seen 50m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.60 · −3.0% CLV | 3-0 | LOST |
| Wycombe Wanderers vs Plymouth ArgyleFootball · League 1 | first seen 50m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| South Hobart vs Devonport CityFootball · Tasmania. National Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-3 | LOST |
| Macclesfield vs Brackley TownFootball · National league. North | first seen 50m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.82 · +10.3% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Dorking Wanderers vs Maidstone UnitedFootball · National League. South | first seen 50m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.45 · +19.5% CLV | 2-3 | LOST |
| Kelty Hearts vs DumbartonFootball · League 2 | first seen 50m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.