Norrby vs Sandvikens
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-1
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
4027
4026 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−214.2u
over 4026u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 763 | 55.4%52%–59% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1513 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1529 | 70.3%68%–73% | −4.7pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 207 | 71.5%65%–77% | −8.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
923
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±86.7u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2028 | 68.6% | −85.5u |
| Match winner | 1999 | 60.4% | −128.7u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 739 | 67.3% | −21.1u |
| Superleague | 341 | 61.3% | −40.4u |
| League 1 | 325 | 67.1% | −11.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 207 | 59.4% | +18.8u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 104 | 65.4% | −5.2u |
| Serie B | 101 | 62.4% | −7.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 79 | 63.3% | −5.8u |
| Championship | 76 | 65.8% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4027 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Ligue 1. Season 26/27
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League. Season 26/27
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division Nationale
X2Double Chance
· first seen 51m before
Football · Division 2. North
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 51m before
Football · Division 2. North
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 51m before
Football · Division 2. South
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 51m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 51m before
Football · Division Nationale
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 51m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 51m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 51m before
Football · Division 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 49m before
Football · Premier League. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 49m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 49m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 49m before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 34m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norrby vs SandvikensFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Atletico Madrid vs VillarrealFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.85 · +2.8% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Le Havre vs MonacoFootball · Ligue 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.97-10397/1000.97-1.03+0.97from 1.92 · −2.5% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Teplice vs Zbrojovka BrnoFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Loznica vs Bor 1919Football · League 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.60 · +6.7% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Trencin vs Spartak TrnavaFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 1.75 · −6.4% CLV | 0-4 | WON |
| Puszcza Niepolomice vs Unia SkierniewiceFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Real Sireti vs Dacia BuiucaniFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Cambuur vs FeyenoordFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.30 · +8.3% CLV | 2-5 | WON |
| Hammarby vs GAISFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.35 · −3.6% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Brommapojkarna vs DegerforsFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Dynamo Makhachkala vs KrasnodarFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Victoria Rosport vs WiltzFootball · Division Nationale | first seen 51m before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 4-0 | LOST |
| Hammarby Talang vs PiteaFootball · Division 2. North | first seen 51m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.14-7147/500.14-7.14+0.14from 1.14 · 0.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Arlanda vs FBK KarlstadFootball · Division 2. North | first seen 51m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 5-1 | WON |
| Skovde AIK vs Kristianstad FCFootball · Division 2. South | first seen 51m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Paide Linnameeskond vs Nomme UnitedFootball · Superleague | first seen 51m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.40 · −6.7% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Swift Hesperange vs HostertFootball · Division Nationale | first seen 51m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Danubio vs Racing MontevideoFootball · Premier League | first seen 51m before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| HB Torshavn vs 07 VesturFootball · Premier League | first seen 51m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.35 · +3.8% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Benjamin Aceval vs Deportivo SantaniFootball · Division 2 | first seen 49m before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 2-3 | WON |
| Manchester City vs BournemouthFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 49m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.50 · +2.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Dynamos vs Chicken InnFootball · Premier League | first seen 49m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98from 1.98 · 0.0% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Brage vs United NordicFootball · League 1 | first seen 49m before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie LubinFootball · Superleague | first seen 34m before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
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